primeimages/iStock via Getty Images Hycroft Mining Update Data by YCharts Way back in January 2023, I published, " AMC’s Hycroft Investment: A Sequel To A Nightmare For Investors " and rated HYMC a Sell, and that has turned out to be a painfully wrong call. My thesis at the time was straightforward: Hycroft had a massive but uneconomic gold resource, falling production, and the company was lightin...
primeimages/iStock via Getty Images Hycroft Mining Update Data by YCharts Way back in January 2023, I published, " AMC’s Hycroft Investment: A Sequel To A Nightmare For Investors " and rated HYMC a Sell, and that has turned out to be a painfully wrong call. My thesis at the time was straightforward: Hycroft had a massive but uneconomic gold resource, falling production, and the company was lighting cash on fire (burning ~$5 million a month); the AMC investment felt like a meme-stock sideshow, not a strategic lifeline. I valued the company at roughly $20 million, or basically net cash plus a small optionality premium, against a market cap of about $148 million at the time. So, what happened? Slide from my previous article in 2023 (Seeking Alpha) The stock was trading around $3.00 (split-adjusted). Today, as I write this, HYMC trades near $42, up roughly 1,300% . Over the same period, the S&P 500 has returned approximately 87%. Gold itself has surged from about $1,896/oz to above $5,000, or 166% higher, since my last coverage. This was a horrible call by any measure, plain and simple. I’m going to own this call. If you shorted HYMC based on my article, you got hurt (although I certainly didn’t recommend shorting then). That’s on me. In the gold sector, I’ve had far more winners than losers, but this one belongs firmly in the loss column (for now, at least). But price and thesis are two different things. And as much as the chart has moved against my bearish call, it's worth asking the follow-up question: has the fundamental story actually changed, or has a rising gold tide simply lifted a boat that still has no engine? HYMC has always attracted retail buyers. This is, after all, the stock that AMC Entertainment decided to invest in , and in a market where gold is rising and speculative appetite is running high, momentum alone can do a lot of heavy lifting. The Resource Is Big, That's Not the Point Hycroft Mining Hycroft Mining On February 18, Hycroft released some inte...
The creator economy is evolving fast, and ad revenue alone isn’t cutting it anymore. YouTubers are launching product lines, acquiring startups, and building actual business empires. In fact, MrBeast’s company bought fintech startup Step, and his chocolate business is outearning his media arm. This isn’t just one creator’s strategy. For many, it’s the new playbook. On this episode of TechCrunch’s E...
The creator economy is evolving fast, and ad revenue alone isn’t cutting it anymore. YouTubers are launching product lines, acquiring startups, and building actual business empires. In fact, MrBeast’s company bought fintech startup Step, and his chocolate business is outearning his media arm. This isn’t just one creator’s strategy. For many, it’s the new playbook. On this episode of TechCrunch’s Equity podcast, hosts Kirsten Korosec, Anthony Ha, and Rebecca Bellan unpack how creators are diversifying beyond ads, […]
LONG BEACH, Calif., February 20, 2026--Si2, IEEE, and IEEE EDS are sponsoring the second edition of the International Compact Modeling Conference (ICMC). Paper deadline extended to March 2
LONG BEACH, Calif., February 20, 2026--Si2, IEEE, and IEEE EDS are sponsoring the second edition of the International Compact Modeling Conference (ICMC). Paper deadline extended to March 2
Gobs of good stocks can turn $1,000 per month into $1 million or more. It just takes disciplined investing, a fair amount of time, and, of course, a good stock -- or stocks. Here's one such stock from the financial sector: SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) . It has been averaging annual gains of 43% over the past three years, though it's down 25% year to date. That presents an attractive buying opp...
Gobs of good stocks can turn $1,000 per month into $1 million or more. It just takes disciplined investing, a fair amount of time, and, of course, a good stock -- or stocks. Here's one such stock from the financial sector: SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) . It has been averaging annual gains of 43% over the past three years, though it's down 25% year to date. That presents an attractive buying opportunity. Image source: Getty Images. Continue reading
Contradictory Reports Of US Evacuating Troops From Exposed Qatar, Bahrain Bases We previously went through some plausible escalation scenarios in the event President Trump orders military strikes on Iran. The problem with a supposedly 'limited' attack is that Tehran's response could be devastating, targeting American military bases across the region. This would then turn into all-out war in the re...
Contradictory Reports Of US Evacuating Troops From Exposed Qatar, Bahrain Bases We previously went through some plausible escalation scenarios in the event President Trump orders military strikes on Iran. The problem with a supposedly 'limited' attack is that Tehran's response could be devastating, targeting American military bases across the region. This would then turn into all-out war in the region. Iran has every interest in establishing deterrence quickly, in order to get the US administration and its allies second-guessing the pursuit of full regime change, which would probably require ground forces and not just an aerial bombardment operation . With the countdown ticking toward some level of military operations, and even as US officials claim diplomacy is still happening, it appears the Pentagon is taking drastic actions and precaution - ordering the evacuation of some 'exposed' Gulf bases . However, Fox's Pentagon correspondent has cited US officials who deny this is happening - but the officials might simply be running cover. Al-Udaid Airbase, via X The NY Times reports Friday that " Hundreds of troops have now been evacuated from Al Udeid base in Qatar , Pentagon officials said, and there have been evacuations at the cluster of U.S. bases in Bahrain that house the Navy’s 5th Fleet." There could be more such evacuations or at least personnel reductions to come, as "There are also American troops at bases in Iraq, Syria, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Jordan and the United Arab Emirates ," the same report notes. It must be remembered that Iran launched a "devastating and powerful" missile attack on the Al Udeid last June , in retaliation for the 12-day Israeli assault, and US bombing campaign of Iranian nuclear sites. US military planners are concerned even by how close the two US carriers in the region get to Iran's feared ballistic missiles : A second American military official said that U.S. Central Command is keeping two aircraft carriers deployed in the Middle E...
Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) , deep-water oil and gas exploration and production, closed Friday at $2.16, up 22.03%. The stock moved higher after Ghana ratified license extensions on Kosmos Energy’s core offshore blocks through 2040. Investors will be watching how expanded drilling plans and hedging will reshape reserves and future cash flows. The company’s trading volume reached 45.8 million shares, ...
Kosmos Energy (NYSE:KOS) , deep-water oil and gas exploration and production, closed Friday at $2.16, up 22.03%. The stock moved higher after Ghana ratified license extensions on Kosmos Energy’s core offshore blocks through 2040. Investors will be watching how expanded drilling plans and hedging will reshape reserves and future cash flows. The company’s trading volume reached 45.8 million shares, which is approximately 151% above compared with its three-month average of 18.2 million shares. Kosmos Energy went public in 2011 and has fallen 88% since going its IPO. S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) rose 0.70% to 6,910, while the Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) gained 0.90% to finish at 22,886. Within oil & gas exploration & production names, Occidental Petroleum (NYSE:OXY) closed at $51.84 (+0.60%) and Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) ended at $44.30 (-0.60%). Continue reading
helt2/iStock via Getty Images On 2/12/26 the EPA eliminated the 2009 endangerment finding with regard to greenhouse gas emissions. While the initial deregulation is aimed primarily at vehicle emissions, it has significant implications for the utilities sector ETF ( XLU ), which I last wrote about in September . This is a highly politicized topic so I will start with my standard disclaimer. I will ...
helt2/iStock via Getty Images On 2/12/26 the EPA eliminated the 2009 endangerment finding with regard to greenhouse gas emissions. While the initial deregulation is aimed primarily at vehicle emissions, it has significant implications for the utilities sector ETF ( XLU ), which I last wrote about in September . This is a highly politicized topic so I will start with my standard disclaimer. I will make no commentary on whether the deregulation is good or bad for America or the environment, and instead focus on the financial implications for the related companies. If I am writing correctly, the reader should have no idea what my personal opinions are. With that out of the way, let us examine how this may affect utilities. Endangerment finding and power generation In 2009, the EPA came out with an endangerment finding stipulating that certain greenhouse gases, including CO2, endanger public health. This ruling formed the basis for further regulation against CO2 emissions. It proved to be quite impactful to power generation as the U.S. electric grid derives 60% of energy from fossil fuels. Most relevant to today’s discussion is the 16.2% of electricity that comes from coal, but natural gas is affected as well. EIA Using similar endangerment concepts, the G7 countries agreed to phase out coal by 2030-2035 and/or capture emissions. The U.S. was following a similar schedule with a 2024 EPA ruling under Biden administration forcing coal plants to either retire or capture emissions . As capturing emissions is quite expensive relative to the value of power, many coal plants and some other CO₂-emitting plants planned retirement. The following plants were scheduled for retirement in 2025: EIA Since then, 2 factors have completely changed the dynamic: Demand for electricity has surged in a way that was previously not anticipated Trump was elected and has a very different stance on coal Surge in electricity demand makes retirement more difficult to overcome For decades, overall e...
Yuriy T/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Markets peaked a year ago before plunging to a post-Liberation Day low in early April. The S&P 500 plummeted 19%, with steep losses in the US Dollar Index and rising volatility in Treasury rates. At the heart of the selling pressure were US megacaps. Tariff fears, concentration risk, and overall valuations spooked investors then. Zooming in on the top 100 ...
Yuriy T/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Markets peaked a year ago before plunging to a post-Liberation Day low in early April. The S&P 500 plummeted 19%, with steep losses in the US Dollar Index and rising volatility in Treasury rates. At the heart of the selling pressure were US megacaps. Tariff fears, concentration risk, and overall valuations spooked investors then. Zooming in on the top 100 S&P 500 names, I’m revisiting the iShares S&P 100 ETF ( OEF ). I was neutral on the fund in January 2025 . It has posted a +17% return since then, but that has come with intense volatility and a steep early-2025 drawdown. Today, I reiterate a hold rating. I see falling relative strength among the biggest US stocks, while valuation remains a concern. What’s more, global equities and domestic SMID caps are outperforming—the rotation trade and equity-performance dispersion appear durable, just as the S&P 500 logs its worst start to a year in at least three decades. The trend of rising S&P 500 volatility is not exactly a sanguine signal, either. US Megacaps Lagging Global Stocks YoY Stockcharts.com US vs Ex-US: Worst Start to a Year in More than 30 Years Augur Infinity High S&P 500 Concentration Augur Infinity VIX Higher Highs, Higher Lows Stockcharts.com According to the issuer , OEF offers investors exposure to the 100 largest US companies in a single ETF. It can be used as a long-term core holding, though I continue to encourage investors to consider diversification through other funds that feature exposure to domestic SMID caps and non-US equities. The ETF seeks to track the investment results of an index composed of 100 large-capitalization U.S. equities. OEF is a large ETF, now with $29.4 billion in assets under management as of February 18, 2026. That’s up from $14.7 billion 13 months ago. The annual expense ratio is low at 20 basis points, while the trailing 12-month dividend yield is modest at just 0.83%, about 0.4 percentage points below that of the broader SPX. Share...
Former U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo discusses the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision striking down global tariffs implemented during the Trump administration. She speaks with Romaine Bostick and Katie Greifeld on "The Close." (Source: Bloomberg)
Former U.S. Secretary of Commerce Gina Raimondo discusses the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision striking down global tariffs implemented during the Trump administration. She speaks with Romaine Bostick and Katie Greifeld on "The Close." (Source: Bloomberg)
Stefan Sutka/iStock Editorial via Getty Images I have been peripherally looking at construction company peers to those I cover, such as Heidelberg Materials. One of the companies I have been looking at is CRH plc ( CRH ). It's fair to say that CRH is a very good company, fundamentally. It's equally fair to say that the market has, over the past few years, pushed the company to valuation levels tha...
Stefan Sutka/iStock Editorial via Getty Images I have been peripherally looking at construction company peers to those I cover, such as Heidelberg Materials. One of the companies I have been looking at is CRH plc ( CRH ). It's fair to say that CRH is a very good company, fundamentally. It's equally fair to say that the market has, over the past few years, pushed the company to valuation levels that we had previously not really seen for the business. My objective in this article is several-fold. First, I want to establish what CRH is and does, from my perspective as a value-oriented investor. Secondly, I want to put the company in the context of the sector. How attractive is CRH, and what could happen to the business here going forward? Thirdly, that forecast - how does it "gel" with forecasts? Do we have a company that in some ways could outperform as a result of AEPS growth, and where the rise in multiple premiumization is a direct consequence of increased company appeal? Or is it more a matter of the market "inflating" this company? Market inflation can happen from a few things. It can happen due to the entire sector going up. My recent coverage of the worldwide utility sector is a perfect example of this, in my view. Most utilities, even riskier ones, are suddenly seeing surges because of demand from AI and similar things, even though these don't necessarily have good forecast visibility. Or, an inflation can happen due to company-specific expectations or exuberance. It's usually one or the other - market or company (or even a bit of both). Here, my preliminary look tells me it's a bit of both. CHR has been a very volatile business in the past. Between 2009 and 2015, the company basically went nowhere, due to significant trouble internally and in end markets. Then we had years of up and down (but AEPS growth), and then the earnings growth rate surged between 2021 and 2024. That, in turn, caused a surge in valuation to where the company trades at over 22-23x P/E, ...
Look no further than the hundreds of billions of dollars pouring into data centers to see that this artificial intelligence (AI) gold rush is no fluke. What started with OpenAI's ChatGPT and other bots is becoming autonomous AI agents that could begin replacing human workers in some roles over the coming years. Additionally, new and innovative technologies will emerge that, eventually, become just...
Look no further than the hundreds of billions of dollars pouring into data centers to see that this artificial intelligence (AI) gold rush is no fluke. What started with OpenAI's ChatGPT and other bots is becoming autonomous AI agents that could begin replacing human workers in some roles over the coming years. Additionally, new and innovative technologies will emerge that, eventually, become just another part of modern life. That potential has investors excited. Holding the right tech stocks could mean life-changing investment returns. However, two companies that are winning big in AI have already built fortunes for early shareholders. More importantly, they can still deliver strong returns in the future. Continue reading