CIA Tells Iranians: 'We Want To Help You' - As US Bombers Loom The US Central Intelligence Agency has never been shy about letting it be known it is seeking to recruit informants from places like China, North Korea and Iran. The agency has in the recent past released messages in Mandarin, Korean, and Farsi. As a CIA spokesman once said during a prior recruitment effort, "We want to make sure indiv...
CIA Tells Iranians: 'We Want To Help You' - As US Bombers Loom The US Central Intelligence Agency has never been shy about letting it be known it is seeking to recruit informants from places like China, North Korea and Iran. The agency has in the recent past released messages in Mandarin, Korean, and Farsi. As a CIA spokesman once said during a prior recruitment effort, "We want to make sure individuals in other authoritarian regimes know that we're open for business ." On Tuesday the CIA issued a special message once again for Iranians in particular, but now the timing is more interesting, given the Trump administration stands on the precipice of deciding on pursuing war or diplomacy with Tehran . He's also gearing up to give his State of the Union Address, and Iran will be high on the agenda. The CIA posted to X, Instagram, and other officially verified platforms a video in Farsi which encourages Iranians to contact the agency, while featuring instructions for using Tor and other encrypted methods to ensure anonymity, and so local Iranian authorities can't uncover the communications. The CIA in the message while addressing Iranians in the context of the recent anti-government protests stressed the agency "can hear your voice" and "wants to help you" . According to some of the brief video details : The video walks viewers through several steps that should be taken to ensure that any contact with the CIA from within Iran will be kept private and to ensure that the identity of the dissident cannot be found out. It suggests that anyone wishing to contact the CIA should do so from a burner device and using the most up-to-date version of their internet browser of choice. The person should also use the browser’s incognito mode and clear the browser and device history after making contact, it says. It also strongly encourages anyone who contacts the agency from Iran to use Tor or a VPN to encrypt the communication, and provides instructions on how to use Tor, warning that...
本文作者:龙玥 来源:硬AI 当AI产品变得更容易复制,市场开始重新给电网、管道、基础设施与长期产能这类“难以复制的实体资产”定价。 2月24日,高盛全球投资研究部发布最新报告《HALO影响力:AI领域的重资产、低淘汰》(The HALO effect: Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence in the AI era)提出:在更高实际利率、地缘政治碎片化、供应链重构与AI...
本文作者:龙玥 来源:硬AI 当AI产品变得更容易复制,市场开始重新给电网、管道、基础设施与长期产能这类“难以复制的实体资产”定价。 2月24日,高盛全球投资研究部发布最新报告《HALO影响力:AI领域的重资产、低淘汰》(The HALO effect: Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence in the AI era)提出:在更高实际利率、地缘政治碎片化、供应链重构与AI资本开支浪潮叠加之下,股市的核心定价逻辑正在从 “可扩张的轻资产叙事”,转向“可建造、难替代的实体产能与网络”。 高盛把这种变化概括为“稀缺性重新定价”。 “ 更高的实际收益率、地缘政治碎片化和供应链重构,正把股票领导权拉回到有形的生产性资产。市场正在奖励产能、网络、基础设施和工程复杂度——这些资产复制成本高,也更不容易被技术淘汰。 ” 什么是HALO? 高盛将这类公司称为 HALO ,它指的是“重资产”与“低过时”的结合体,即 Heavy Assets, Low Obsolescence 。 重资产(Heavy Assets): 商业模式建立在庞大的实物资本基础之上,具有很高的复制壁垒——如成本、监管、建设时间、工程复杂性或网络整合难度。 低淘汰率(Low Obsolescence): 这些资产的经济相关性能够穿越技术周期而持久存在。 典型例子包括输电网、油气管道、公用事业、交通基础设施、关键设备,以及更换周期相对于数字创新更为缓慢的各种工业产能类别。 这类资产很难被凭空创造。在数字技术日新月异的今天,这类实物资产的替换周期极其缓慢。技术创新无法轻易替代一条跨国输油管道,也无法用代码取代一张庞大的国家电网。 高盛观测到,当下企业正在决定性地重返实体资产。产能、基础设施和长周期资产正在迎来史无前例的价值回归。 AI时代,轻资产神话为何在终结? 过去十余年,全球金融危机后的零利率和充裕流动性,造就了以可扩展性而非实物资本为核心的商业模式。科技股和轻资产行业享受了极高的估值溢价。 但这种平衡已经被打破。人工智能的快速崛起,正对全球股市施加一股强大的“双重压力”。 首先,AI正在颠覆过去十年占据主导地位的“新经济”模式,让部分轻资产行业的“利润率与终值”变得更不确定。高盛直言:“AI革命正在对软件和IT服务的利润率及终端价值提出质疑。” 报告点名软件、IT服务、出版、游戏、物流平...
Jonas Hanacek/iStock via Getty Images What is happening with the S&P 500 this year has probably been long overdue. The gist is that the disproportionate nature of its gains in the previous years is being adjusted as bellwethers that are collectively known as the Magnificent Seven are grappling with some visible softness, while the so-called 493 cohort is shining (with a few nuances though). In oth...
Jonas Hanacek/iStock via Getty Images What is happening with the S&P 500 this year has probably been long overdue. The gist is that the disproportionate nature of its gains in the previous years is being adjusted as bellwethers that are collectively known as the Magnificent Seven are grappling with some visible softness, while the so-called 493 cohort is shining (with a few nuances though). In other words, this is capital rotation, and it is completely reasonable to consider a way to benefit from it. Here, smart-beta strategies, and especially those featuring equal weighting schemes, might finally look quite appealing, with the Invesco Russell 1000 Equal Weight ETF ( EQAL ) representing one of them. My point today is that despite looking like at least a tactical solution to the S&P 500's top-heaviness problem, EQAL has a few disadvantages that make it a Hold at best. The fact is, since its inception in 2014, EQAL has not only failed to generate higher cumulative and annualized returns than both the iShares Core S&P 500 ETF ( IVV ) and the iShares Russell 1000 ETF ( IWB ) but also trailed them and the Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight ETF ( RSP ) in terms of risk-adjusted returns, delivering the weakest maximum drawdowns in the group and high downside capture ratios (something that equal weighting should, in theory, protect against). Also, in terms of its exposure to style factors, I do not see anything meaningful enough to support a bullish stance. EQAL Strategy and Portfolio As we know from the Invesco website , the basis for EQAL is the Russell 1000® Equal Weight Index. The principles that lie at the crux of the index are relatively simple. In essence, this is almost the Russell 1000® Index but reweighted: The Index is composed of securities in the Russell 1000® Index and is equally weighted across 11 sector groups with each security within the sector receiving equal weight. The Fund and Index are re-weighted at the close of the third Friday in March, September, and D...
All eyes on Wednesday will be on how the government plans to give a big push to its latest investment darling, the Hong Kong Investment Corporation, its three-year-old vehicle that has yielded impressive early gains. Sources told the South China Morning Post that HKIC would come up as a key highlight in Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po’s budget statement to be delivered on Wednesday. It will be...
All eyes on Wednesday will be on how the government plans to give a big push to its latest investment darling, the Hong Kong Investment Corporation, its three-year-old vehicle that has yielded impressive early gains. Sources told the South China Morning Post that HKIC would come up as a key highlight in Financial Secretary Paul Chan Mo-po’s budget statement to be delivered on Wednesday. It will be tasked to work closely with regional and international long-term capital to “guide investment...