Gogo (GOGO) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -166.67% and +3.36%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Gogo (GOGO) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -166.67% and +3.36%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +433.33% and -2.39%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +433.33% and -2.39%, respectively, for the quarter ended December 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?
winhorse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images As I’ve covered in the past , I saw HSBC Holdings Plc ( HSBC ) investment case more geared to income rather than value over the past few years, but despite that, its shares have performed quite well as investor sentiment continues to be positive toward the global banking sector and valuations keep increasing, supported by strong profitability levels and ...
winhorse/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images As I’ve covered in the past , I saw HSBC Holdings Plc ( HSBC ) investment case more geared to income rather than value over the past few years, but despite that, its shares have performed quite well as investor sentiment continues to be positive toward the global banking sector and valuations keep increasing, supported by strong profitability levels and good capital return prospects. HSBC has been no exception, and, as shown in the next graph, its valuation based on the price-to-book value multiple has gradually increased over the past three years to a current level around 1.7x book value. P/BV multiple (Seeking Alpha) This is the highest valuation multiple HSBC has been trading over the last decade, showing that investors have been willing to value its business at much higher multiples than in the past. Indeed, HSBC was valued at a bottom P/BV multiple of only 0.4x back in 2020 and less than book value at the end of 2024, showing that its strong share price performance over the last year was largely due to a re-rating of its shares rather than earnings or book value growth. Indeed, the bank has recently released its earnings related to 2025 , which showed a positive operating performance, but that was not that impressive that justifies a very strong re-rating of its shares, in my opinion. Its reported revenues amounted to $68.3 billion during last year, up by just 4% YoY, supported by higher net interest income and fee growth. On the other hand, its revenues were impacted by business disposals performed during 2024, namely in Argentina and Canada, plus the dilution of its stake in BOCOM ( BCMXY ) following a capital increase last June also had a negative effect on HSBC’s revenue. These items impacted HSBC’s revenues by close to $2 billion in 2025, while adjusted for these impacts, its revenues would have been around $71 billion last year, up by 5% YoY. While its top-line growth was not fantastic, this can be considered a ...
We Are/DigitalVision via Getty Images Introduction & Investment Thesis Celsius Holdings ( CELH ) reported their Q4 FY25 earnings yesterday, where revenue surged 117% YoY, led by the acquisition of Alani Nu, which grew 136% YoY on a pro forma basis, contributing to over 51% of Total Revenue, along with Rockstar Energy adding $45M to their total Energy Portfolio. I have been rating the stock a “buy”...
We Are/DigitalVision via Getty Images Introduction & Investment Thesis Celsius Holdings ( CELH ) reported their Q4 FY25 earnings yesterday, where revenue surged 117% YoY, led by the acquisition of Alani Nu, which grew 136% YoY on a pro forma basis, contributing to over 51% of Total Revenue, along with Rockstar Energy adding $45M to their total Energy Portfolio. I have been rating the stock a “buy” since January 2025 , and since then the stock has been up over 86%, hugely outperforming the S&P 500. Although the stock is down 14% since the time of my October “buy” rating, I believe there is still a 19% potential upside left in the short to medium term. In this post, I will explain why. Revenue surged 117% as Celsius Portfolio represents 20% of the US Energy Market Celsius reported its Q4 FY25 earnings yesterday, where revenue surged 117% YoY to $721M, led by the acquisition of Alani Nu, contributing $370M and growing at 136% on a pro forma basis, and Rockstar Energy, adding another $45M to total revenue. Their combined portfolio now represents approximately 20% of the US energy market in tracked channels, up 800 basis points compared to the previous year, inching closer to Monster Beverage ( MNST ) at the Number 2 position with a 27.3% market share and Red Bull at the Number 1 position with a 35.9% market share. Q4 FY25 Earnings Slides: Market share of Celsius brand profile relative to competitors in the US What is also impressive, in my opinion, is how the acquisition of Alani Nu in Q2 contributed to the company’s contribution to category growth, which has been inching higher every single quarter since. Q4 FY25 Earnings Slides: Growing contribution to category growth, spearheaded by Alani Nu acquisition As management discussed , their Energy portfolio is well positioned to capture the structural consumer behavior shift towards zero sugar, functional energy drinks that fit into daily routines and drive growth in the category as they continue to drive innovation and le...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Since our last review of Micron Technology ( MU ) ( MU:CA ) ( ZMIC:CA ) about a year ago, the company has experienced an extraordinary upward trend, rising 294%. This is largely attributable to sharply rising spot prices for DRAM and NAND, as supply is under pressure from hyperscalers and LLM providers locking in their demand for production-intensive HBM wi...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Since our last review of Micron Technology ( MU ) ( MU:CA ) ( ZMIC:CA ) about a year ago, the company has experienced an extraordinary upward trend, rising 294%. This is largely attributable to sharply rising spot prices for DRAM and NAND, as supply is under pressure from hyperscalers and LLM providers locking in their demand for production-intensive HBM with long lead times, and OpenAI reportedly securing up to 40% of global DRAM supplies for the coming years. In this earlier article, we expressed our view that investors could still benefit indirectly from the favorable developments in AI at a cheap valuation compared to Nvidia. This seems to have worked out well, as demand for HBM is less cyclical, with production for the 2025 calendar year already sold out at that time. A year later, however, we have come to realize that HBM has become more of a bottleneck for AI data centers than a building block, leading to the current situation of an expected undersupply for DRAM in the coming years, further accelerating the current AI memory cycle. Therefore, in this article, we will revisit the current state of the DRAM and NAND markets, Micron's latest results, and an updated valuation framework. Furthermore, we will discuss our reasons for believing that, although the AI memory boom will continue in the near future, the company in our view is correctly valued based on current prices, with the possibility of further upside potential if we see clear signs of the current supply constraints extending beyond 2028. Data by YCharts A Quarter Of Imbalance Although in our previous article, we laid out the thesis that Micron was a buy, given it would still provide investors with AI tailwinds with HBM likely being a bottleneck for the industry, we have to admit that we weren't expecting the imbalances to become this grave. On the positive side, it made Micron set another record quarter with revenue reaching $13.64BN as of fiscal Q1, up 57% YoY...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Since our last review of Micron Technology ( MU ) ( MU:CA ) ( ZMIC:CA ) about a year ago, the company has experienced an extraordinary upward trend, rising 294%. This is largely attributable to sharply rising spot prices for DRAM and NAND, as supply is under pressure from hyperscalers and LLM providers locking in their demand for production-intensive HBM wi...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Since our last review of Micron Technology ( MU ) ( MU:CA ) ( ZMIC:CA ) about a year ago, the company has experienced an extraordinary upward trend, rising 294%. This is largely attributable to sharply rising spot prices for DRAM and NAND, as supply is under pressure from hyperscalers and LLM providers locking in their demand for production-intensive HBM with long lead times, and OpenAI reportedly securing up to 40% of global DRAM supplies for the coming years. In this earlier article, we expressed our view that investors could still benefit indirectly from the favorable developments in AI at a cheap valuation compared to Nvidia. This seems to have worked out well, as demand for HBM is less cyclical, with production for the 2025 calendar year already sold out at that time. A year later, however, we have come to realize that HBM has become more of a bottleneck for AI data centers than a building block, leading to the current situation of an expected undersupply for DRAM in the coming years, further accelerating the current AI memory cycle. Therefore, in this article, we will revisit the current state of the DRAM and NAND markets, Micron's latest results, and an updated valuation framework. Furthermore, we will discuss our reasons for believing that, although the AI memory boom will continue in the near future, the company in our view is correctly valued based on current prices, with the possibility of further upside potential if we see clear signs of the current supply constraints extending beyond 2028. Data by YCharts A Quarter Of Imbalance Although in our previous article, we laid out the thesis that Micron was a buy, given it would still provide investors with AI tailwinds with HBM likely being a bottleneck for the industry, we have to admit that we weren't expecting the imbalances to become this grave. On the positive side, it made Micron set another record quarter with revenue reaching $13.64BN as of fiscal Q1, up 57% YoY...
U.S. President Donald J. Trump delivers the first State of the Union address of his second term to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber of the United States Capitol in Washington, D.C., U.S.,on Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026. Kenny Holston | The New York Times | Via Reuters Amid tariff uncertainty , President Donald Trump this week revisited the idea of using tariff revenue to help offset inco...
U.S. President Donald J. Trump delivers the first State of the Union address of his second term to a joint session of Congress in the House Chamber of the United States Capitol in Washington, D.C., U.S.,on Tuesday, Feb. 24, 2026. Kenny Holston | The New York Times | Via Reuters Amid tariff uncertainty , President Donald Trump this week revisited the idea of using tariff revenue to help offset income taxes . "As time goes by, I believe the tariffs paid for by foreign countries will, like in the past, substantially replace the modern-day system of income tax," Trump said during his State of the Union address . It's an idea Trump previously floated during his 2024 presidential campaign and has revisited while in office . Federal income tax changes would require Congressional action. Meanwhile, some policy experts say they are skeptical. "To put it simply, the math just doesn't work," said Alex Durante, a senior economist at the Tax Foundation, a nonprofit tax policy think tank. The organization has analyzed Trump's tariff policy , including whether it could replace income tax . Read more CNBC personal finance coverage Trump said tariffs may 'substantially replace' income taxes. What policy experts say Some student loan borrowers are getting Navient settlement checks — who qualifies Trump accounts aren't exactly 'tax-free,' as the president said. How they work Trump said beef, egg and chicken prices are falling. Here's what the data shows Trump pitches new retirement plan with a match of up to $1,000 — who may benefit Think of active managers and index funds as portfolio 'teammates,' not 'rivals': CFP Many workers want a career change. Are you one of them? ACA health coverage subsidy lapse hit 22 million people. Here are some of their stories Trump's $2,000 tariff dividend checks just got a lot less likely, experts say Student loan forgiveness is taxable again. How to plan for a five-figure IRS bill What the Trump administration's Harvard lawsuit could mean for future a...
Amid 2026 market volatility, HSBC, STN and CRM stand out after announcing fresh dividend hikes, offering investors steady income as uncertainty lingers.
Amid 2026 market volatility, HSBC, STN and CRM stand out after announcing fresh dividend hikes, offering investors steady income as uncertainty lingers.
Torsten Asmus MidCap Financial Investment ( MFIC ), a business development company affiliated with Apollo Global Management ( APO ), reduced its quarterly dividend and recorded losses due to weakness at some of the software companies it lends to. The company reported net realized and change in unrealized losses on investments of $45.3M for the quarter, up from $7.9M in the prior quarter. During Q4...
Torsten Asmus MidCap Financial Investment ( MFIC ), a business development company affiliated with Apollo Global Management ( APO ), reduced its quarterly dividend and recorded losses due to weakness at some of the software companies it lends to. The company reported net realized and change in unrealized losses on investments of $45.3M for the quarter, up from $7.9M in the prior quarter. During Q4 2025, it reported a net change in unrealized losses of $31.9M and a net change in realized losses at $16.8M. That led to a net decrease in net assets resulting from operations of -$12.7M vs. $24.1M in Q3. During Q4, the BDC put investments in Bird Rides, Banner Solutions, and Renovo on non-accrual status, meaning it no longer expects to collect interest on them. However, non-accrual investments as a percentage of MidCap's total portfolio declined to 2.6% in Q4 2025 from 3.1% in Q3. The company's net asset value (NAV) per share at Dec. 31, 2025, fell 3.3% to $14.18 from $14.66 as of Sept. 30, 2025, mostly driven by a "handful of investments predominantly from 2022 and earlier vintages." With the pressure on some parts of the software sector, MidCap ( MFIC ) decided to cut its quarterly dividend by 18% to $0.31 per share " In light of changes in base rates and other factors, we have re-assessed the long-term earnings power of the company, and the Board has concluded that it was prudent to adjust the dividend at this time," said CEO Tanner Powell. With the evolving market conditions, MidCap shifted to stock buybacks to boost its NAV. "During the fourth quarter, the market presented us with what we viewed as an attractive opportunity to repurchase MFIC stock at a significant discount to NAV, generating approximately three cents per share of NAV accretion for stockholders," Powell said. "At these trading levels, we continue to believe allocating capital toward stock repurchases is more accretive than deploying capital into new investments." MidCap Financial ( MFIC ) announced a...
Global Partners press release ( GLP ): Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.54 misses by $0.06 . Revenue of $4.64B (+10.7% Y/Y) misses by $2.3B . Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) was $94.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with $94.6 million in the same period of 2024. EBITDA was $378.8 million for full-year 2025 compared with $389.4 million for full-year 2024. Adj...
Global Partners press release ( GLP ): Q4 GAAP EPS of $0.54 misses by $0.06 . Revenue of $4.64B (+10.7% Y/Y) misses by $2.3B . Earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) was $94.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with $94.6 million in the same period of 2024. EBITDA was $378.8 million for full-year 2025 compared with $389.4 million for full-year 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $94.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 versus $97.8 million in the same period of 2024. Adjusted EBITDA was $383.0 million for full-year 2025 versus $389.1 million for full-year 2024. Distributable cash flow (DCF) was $38.4 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with $45.7 million in the same period of 2024. DCF was $189.1 million for full-year 2025 compared with $205.8 million for full-year 2024. Adjusted DCF was $38.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with $46.1 million in the same period of 2024. Adjusted DCF was $190.9 million for full-year 2025 compared with $208.2 million for full-year 2024. Gross profit was $263.1 million in the fourth quarter of 2025 compared with $268.8 million in the same period of 2024. Gross profit was $1.1 billion for full-year 2025 and 2024. More on Global Partners Global Partners: Upgrading To Strong Buy As Market Fear Creates Value Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on Global Partners Historical earnings data for Global Partners Dividend scorecard for Global Partners Financial information for Global Partners
After years of appeals, Google has finally won approval to export high-precision geographic information out of South Korea and provide proper Google Maps services in the country, including walking and real-time driving directions.
After years of appeals, Google has finally won approval to export high-precision geographic information out of South Korea and provide proper Google Maps services in the country, including walking and real-time driving directions.
Japan's Fair Trade Commission raided Microsoft Japan offices as part of an antitrust investigation into Azure business practices. Regulators are examining whether Microsoft restricted Azure customers from using rival cloud services. The case adds to broader regulatory attention on NasdaqGS:MSFT across major markets, including Japan and the US. For you as an investor, this centers on Microsoft's cl...
Japan's Fair Trade Commission raided Microsoft Japan offices as part of an antitrust investigation into Azure business practices. Regulators are examining whether Microsoft restricted Azure customers from using rival cloud services. The case adds to broader regulatory attention on NasdaqGS:MSFT across major markets, including Japan and the US. For you as an investor, this centers on Microsoft's cloud segment, where Azure is a core pillar of the NasdaqGS:MSFT story. Authorities are looking...
ServiceNow’s 50% drop has pushed it into extreme oversold territory, but decent fundamentals and bullish price targets make an attractive risk/reward profile.
ServiceNow’s 50% drop has pushed it into extreme oversold territory, but decent fundamentals and bullish price targets make an attractive risk/reward profile.
BlackRock TCP Capital press release ( TCPC ): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of -$1.05 misses by $1.32 . Net asset value per share was $7.07 as of December 31, 2025, compared to $8.71 as of September 30, 2025. Net decrease in net assets from operations on a GAAP basis for the quarter ended December 31, 2025 was $118.3 million, or $1.39 per share, compared to a $24.4 million, or $0.29 per share, net increase in n...
BlackRock TCP Capital press release ( TCPC ): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of -$1.05 misses by $1.32 . Net asset value per share was $7.07 as of December 31, 2025, compared to $8.71 as of September 30, 2025. Net decrease in net assets from operations on a GAAP basis for the quarter ended December 31, 2025 was $118.3 million, or $1.39 per share, compared to a $24.4 million, or $0.29 per share, net increase in net assets from operations for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. As of December 31, 2025, investments on non-accrual status represented 4.0% of the portfolio at fair value and 9.7% at cost, compared to 3.5% of the portfolio at fair value and 7.0% at cost as of September 30, 2025 and 5.6% of the portfolio value at fair value and 14.4% at cost as of December 31, 2024. Total investment acquisitions and dispositions during the quarter ended December 31, 2025 were approximately $35.5 million and $80.7 million, respectively. As of December 31, 2025, net regulatory leverage was 1.41x compared to 1.20x at September 30, 2025. For the three months ended December 31, 2025, Tennenbaum Capital Partners, LLC, the Company’s investment adviser (the “Advisor”) waived $1.8 million in management fees, or $0.02 per share. For the year ended December 31, 2025, the Advisor waived $7.3 million in management fees, or $0.09 per share. On February 27, 2026, our Board of Directors declared a first quarter dividend of $0.17 per share, payable on March 31, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on March 17, 2026. More on BlackRock TCP Capital BlackRock TCP: Q4 Earnings Are Likely To Disappoint BlackRock TCP Capital stock plunges after loan writedowns What's in store for BDCs in 2026? Seeking Alpha’s Quant Rating on BlackRock TCP Capital Historical earnings data for BlackRock TCP Capital