In late October, prediction market traders were giving Bitcoin (BTC +0.76%) a 60% chance of hitting a price of $150,000 by the end of March 2026. At the time, Bitcoin was trading near an all-time high of $126,000 and its future looked very bright indeed. But, my, how times have changed. Bitcoin has since crashed down to the $72,000 price level, and shows no signs of heading higher any time soon. A...
In late October, prediction market traders were giving Bitcoin (BTC +0.76%) a 60% chance of hitting a price of $150,000 by the end of March 2026. At the time, Bitcoin was trading near an all-time high of $126,000 and its future looked very bright indeed. But, my, how times have changed. Bitcoin has since crashed down to the $72,000 price level, and shows no signs of heading higher any time soon. As a result, prediction markets are paying just pennies for "yes" on $150,000 Bitcoin by the end of March. How should you weigh this collapse of prediction market sentiment when considering Bitcoin's trajectory over the next 12 months? The four-year Bitcoin cycle It's important to keep in mind that Bitcoin historically has followed a four-year cycle of boom and bust. Three good years are typically followed by one very bad year in which Bitcoin loses 57% or more of its value. Expand CRYPTO : BTC Bitcoin Today's Change ( 0.76 %) $ 508.55 Current Price $ 67809.00 Key Data Points Market Cap $1.4T Day's Range $ 65727.00 - $ 68110.00 52wk Range $ 60255.56 - $ 126079.89 Volume 44B If history is any guide, then Bitcoin is in line for one of those very bad years in 2026. After all, previous Bitcoin price collapses have occurred in 2014, 2018, and 2022. So it makes sense that Bitcoin could suffer another major price collapse in 2026. Bitcoin is already down 25% for the year, and there's likely more pain on the way. Some bearish analysts are already talking about $40,000 Bitcoin and even $20,000 Bitcoin. Things could get really nasty, really fast. If you believe in the four-year Bitcoin cycle, then prediction markets appear to be offering a clear warning to investors: "Stay away." In other words, this is not your typical buy-the-dip opportunity with Bitcoin. Some have already drawn a parallel to the crypto winter of 2022, when Bitcoin fell in price by 64%. Can you make money betting against Bitcoin? The obvious conclusion here is that you should be buying up those March 2026 event cont...
Key Points On Polymarket, Bitcoin has just a 1% chance of hitting $150,000 by the end of March. Bitcoin typically follows a four-year cycle of boom and bust, and prediction markets appear to be confirming this. If history is any guide, Bitcoin will continue to fall further this year before eventually recovering in 2027. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › In late October, prediction market tra...
Key Points On Polymarket, Bitcoin has just a 1% chance of hitting $150,000 by the end of March. Bitcoin typically follows a four-year cycle of boom and bust, and prediction markets appear to be confirming this. If history is any guide, Bitcoin will continue to fall further this year before eventually recovering in 2027. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › In late October, prediction market traders were giving Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) a 60% chance of hitting a price of $150,000 by the end of March 2026. At the time, Bitcoin was trading near an all-time high of $126,000 and its future looked very bright indeed. But, my, how times have changed. Bitcoin has since crashed down to the $72,000 price level, and shows no signs of heading higher any time soon. As a result, prediction markets are paying just pennies for "yes" on $150,000 Bitcoin by the end of March. How should you weigh this collapse of prediction market sentiment when considering Bitcoin's trajectory over the next 12 months? Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » The four-year Bitcoin cycle It's important to keep in mind that Bitcoin historically has followed a four-year cycle of boom and bust. Three good years are typically followed by one very bad year in which Bitcoin loses 57% or more of its value. If history is any guide, then Bitcoin is in line for one of those very bad years in 2026. After all, previous Bitcoin price collapses have occurred in 2014, 2018, and 2022. So it makes sense that Bitcoin could suffer another major price collapse in 2026. Bitcoin is already down 25% for the year, and there's likely more pain on the way. Some bearish analysts are already talking about $40,000 Bitcoin and even $20,000 Bitcoin. Things could get really nasty, really fast. If you believe in the four-year Bitcoin cycle, then prediction mar...
The U.S. stock market has stumbled in 2026. The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.33%) has fallen more than 3% even though most companies reported better-than-expected earnings in the fourth quarter. Investors are worried about valuations, especially among artificial intelligence stocks. In fact, the S&P 500 sounded an alarm in February: A popular valuation metric reached its highest level since the dot-...
The U.S. stock market has stumbled in 2026. The benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC 1.33%) has fallen more than 3% even though most companies reported better-than-expected earnings in the fourth quarter. Investors are worried about valuations, especially among artificial intelligence stocks. In fact, the S&P 500 sounded an alarm in February: A popular valuation metric reached its highest level since the dot-com crash. Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tax and trade policies has added to the sense of disquiet. While the administration has relentlessly promoted tariffs as a path to greater prosperity, recent economic data challenges that idea. Here's what investors should know. Investors get bad news about President Trump's economy Trump says his tariffs are an "economic miracle" that brought America back from the brink of disaster. But recent data suggests his tariffs have actually been an economic headwind, just as countless experts predicted they would be. GDP and jobs growth numbers in 2025 were the worst since 2020 Gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.2% last year, the slowest economic growth since COVID-19 caused a recession in 2020. And excluding the pandemic, 2025 was the worst year for the U.S. economy since 2016, a particularly unsettling fact given that artificial intelligence spending accounted for more than one-third of GDP growth last year. In other words, GDP growth would have been dismal without AI. Meanwhile, businesses navigated uncertainty created by Trump's tariffs by hiring fewer employees. The U.S. economy added 181,000 in 2025, down from 1.5 million in the previous year. In fact, the jobs market has not been so sluggish since COVID-19 forced business closures in 2020. And excluding the pandemic, 2025 was the worst year for jobs growth since 2009. Gasoline prices just hit levels last seen in the summer of 2024 Gas has generally become less expensive under Trump, but that changed when the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran. Brent crude oil ...
Key Points The S&P 500 is down 3% from its high because investors are worried about rich valuations and the economic impact of President Trump's policies. In 2025, the U.S. economy expanded at its slowest pace since the pandemic in 2020; the economy also added fewer jobs than in any year since 2020. In February, the S&P 500 recorded an average CAPE multiple of 39.8, its most expensive valuation si...
Key Points The S&P 500 is down 3% from its high because investors are worried about rich valuations and the economic impact of President Trump's policies. In 2025, the U.S. economy expanded at its slowest pace since the pandemic in 2020; the economy also added fewer jobs than in any year since 2020. In February, the S&P 500 recorded an average CAPE multiple of 39.8, its most expensive valuation since the dot-com crash in October 2000. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › The U.S. stock market has stumbled in 2026. The benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has fallen more than 3% even though most companies reported better-than-expected earnings in the fourth quarter. Investors are worried about valuations, especially among artificial intelligence stocks. In fact, the S&P 500 sounded an alarm in February: A popular valuation metric reached its highest level since the dot-com crash. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » Meanwhile, uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tax and trade policies has added to the sense of disquiet. While the administration has relentlessly promoted tariffs as a path to greater prosperity, recent economic data challenges that idea. Here's what investors should know. Investors get bad news about President Trump's economy Trump says his tariffs are an "economic miracle" that brought America back from the brink of disaster. But recent data suggests his tariffs have actually been an economic headwind, just as countless experts predicted they would be. GDP and jobs growth numbers in 2025 were the worst since 2020 Gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.2% last year, the slowest economic growth since COVID-19 caused a recession in 2020. And excluding the pandemic, 2025 was the worst year for the U.S. economy since 2016, a particularly unsettling fact given t...
Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says A senior Israeli defense official tells NPR that Israel needs three more weeks to accomplish its goal of decimating Iran's military forces. Politics Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says Audio will be available later today. A senio...
Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says A senior Israeli defense official tells NPR that Israel needs three more weeks to accomplish its goal of decimating Iran's military forces. Politics Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says Israel needs weeks to destroy Iran's military, defense official says Audio will be available later today. A senior Israeli defense official tells NPR that Israel needs three more weeks to accomplish its goal of decimating Iran's military forces. Sponsor Message Sponsor Message
A leading European investor will pump fresh funding into Yorkshire Water including helping to cover a £600m loan, despite recent heavy sewage fines and a scandal over executive pay at the utility firm. EQT, a Swedish private equity group, said on Monday it would take a 42% stake in Kelda Holdings, the Jersey-registered parent company of Yorkshire Water, which has 5.7 million customers across Yorks...
A leading European investor will pump fresh funding into Yorkshire Water including helping to cover a £600m loan, despite recent heavy sewage fines and a scandal over executive pay at the utility firm. EQT, a Swedish private equity group, said on Monday it would take a 42% stake in Kelda Holdings, the Jersey-registered parent company of Yorkshire Water, which has 5.7 million customers across Yorkshire and parts of the East Midlands and Lincolnshire. The move will effectively make it Yorkshire Water’s joint owner, bringing the stake of an existing shareholder, GIC, an investment firm, to 42%, and TCorp, the investment vehicle of Australia’s New South Wales public sector, to 16%. EQT said part of the deal would involve contributing to a £600m “inter-company loan repayment” that is due before March 2027, while it was “fully supportive” of spending plans to clean up Yorkshire’s record on sewage spills. The buyout group is already invested in four British plants that burn household and commercial rubbish to generate electricity, via a stake in the energy-from-waste company Encyclis, and water treatment operations spanning the US, Caribbean and Latin America, according to its website. The deal comes as Yorkshire Water faces mounting scrutiny over its environmental record and executive pay. It was handed a £700,000 fine last month for releasing sewage repeatedly into a stream. A succession of sewage pollution incidents in Pools Brook country park near Chesterfield from 2018 killed fish and insects and polluted the stream for more than half a mile, the Environment Agency found in February. Last year, the Guardian revealed that Nicola Shaw, its chief executive, had received £1.3m in previously undisclosed extra pay since 2023 via the offshore parent company. Shaw was handed £660,000 from Kelda in the 2023-24 and the 2024-25 financial years, and the size of the fees were not disclosed in Yorkshire’s annual report. That led to a government decision to close loopholes that allo...
Hims & Hers Health Inc. surged after Novo Nordisk A/S was said to have ended its public feud with the company with an agreement to sell its weight-loss drugs on the Hims platform. Novo and Hims plan to announce a new partnership as soon as Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. The two companies had a similar agreement last year, but Novo a...
Hims & Hers Health Inc. surged after Novo Nordisk A/S was said to have ended its public feud with the company with an agreement to sell its weight-loss drugs on the Hims platform. Novo and Hims plan to announce a new partnership as soon as Monday, according to a person familiar with the matter, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. The two companies had a similar agreement last year, but Novo abruptly scrapped it after Hims refused to stop marketing and selling copycat medications. Hims shares soared 47% in trading before US exchanges opened. Novo climbed less than 1% in early trading in Copenhagen. The partnership is a surprising move for Novo, which sued Hims in February for launching a copycat version of its new Wegovy weight-loss pill, a linchpin of its growth strategy. The Danish drugmaker accused Hims of breaching the US patents on the ingredient behind its best-selling medications Ozempic and Wegovy. At the time, John Kuckelman , general counsel at Novo, said Hims’ announcement was “egregious.” A spokesperson for Novo said Friday that “we are always in conversation with companies that can help improve patient access to FDA-approved medicines for people living with chronic diseases. These talks happen on an ongoing basis.” Although Novo pioneered the weight-loss market, it has struggled to compete on several fronts. Compounding pharmacies such as Hims flooded the market with cheaper copycat drugs, while Eli Lilly & Co. lured patients with a rival shot, Zepbound, that has delivered more weight loss than Wegovy in clinical trials.