Goldman Says Food Companies Struck An "Overall Cautious Tone" On The Consumer The latest read on the American consumer comes from Goldman analysts led by Leah Jordan, who compiled the most important commentary from food companies on consumer behavior trends in the fourth quarter. It's worth noting, however, that this snapshot predates the energy shock triggered by the U.S.-Iran conflict. Jordan's ...
Goldman Says Food Companies Struck An "Overall Cautious Tone" On The Consumer The latest read on the American consumer comes from Goldman analysts led by Leah Jordan, who compiled the most important commentary from food companies on consumer behavior trends in the fourth quarter. It's worth noting, however, that this snapshot predates the energy shock triggered by the U.S.-Iran conflict. Jordan's food and retail stock coverage includes 15 companies: Albertsons Companies, Conagra Brands, Cal-Maine Foods, General Mills, Grocery Outlet, Hormel Foods, Hershey, Kraft Heinz, Kroger, Mondelez International, Once Upon a Farm, Pilgrim's Pride, Sprouts Farmers Market, Tyson Foods, and United Natural Foods. On fourth quarter earnings results, the analyst said, "Overall, we continue to favor grocers that should benefit from ongoing consumption shifts toward fresh and private label, along with support from scale as the balance of power shifts toward retailers, highlighting Buy-rated ACI, KR, and SFM." She added, "While some headwinds persist for certain areas of packaged food, our Buy ratings for HSY (on CL), MDLZ, OFRM, HRL, SFD, and TSN are underpinned by solid top-line growth given category/region exposure, along with idiosyncratic and self-help margin drivers." The analyst then summarized what each company and retailer was saying about the consumer. The biggest takeaway is that the K-shaped economy remains an uncomfortable reality for the Trump administration. Jordan noted that the companies in her coverage struck an "overall cautious tone" regarding the consumer. She continued: We observed a continuation of cautious commentary around the consumer in 4Q, noting the majority of food retailers and manufacturers highlighted declining consumer sentiment along with an increased focus on affordability, especially for lower- and middle-income cohorts . Specifically, companies highlighted increased consumer engagement with items on promotion, smaller baskets, channel shifts toward c...