Dilok Klaisataporn/iStock via Getty Images In August 2023, I wrote an article on the Simplify Volatility Premium ETF ( SVOL ) which at that time seemed to offer an unique investment exposure for yield-seeking investors. By unique I mean high option income that stems from other sources than covered call premiums and which come with attached tail risk protection. At that time, the stood at ~17% whic...
Dilok Klaisataporn/iStock via Getty Images In August 2023, I wrote an article on the Simplify Volatility Premium ETF ( SVOL ) which at that time seemed to offer an unique investment exposure for yield-seeking investors. By unique I mean high option income that stems from other sources than covered call premiums and which come with attached tail risk protection. At that time, the stood at ~17% which in combination with seemingly de-risked strategy seemed very compelling. Since then SVOL has returned ~13%. Obviously, this implies a negative alpha and totally unacceptable return considering that a) most assets have delivered much stronger returns and b) on an inflation adjusted basis the outcome is barely positive. This is how SVOL has performed since its inception to December 2024. Ycharts SVOL was actually delivered quite solid results. Of course, the only negative was that the underlying NAV was slowly but surely eroding. So, for this reason the Simply ETF (asset manager of SVOL) embarked on a strategy change in January 2025. And I have to say that when it comes to results, there are more questions than answers: Ycharts With this in mind, let me now revisit my thesis on SVOL. Thesis Review The main trigger for SVOL's strategy change was the structurally bleeding NAV. Even though the distributions were juicy enough to warrant solid total return performance, it was only a matter of time until they would decrease (adjust closer to the NAV base). Now, the reason behind NAV erosion was the increased correlation (beta factor) between short VIX positions and the S&P 500 ( SPY ): Simplify ETFs Sound fancy, but this is how we could think about it: SVOL was profiting ( still is ) from decrease in volatility. Based on its option and physical exposure structure, SVOL was effectively long the large-cap market risk. When the market started to tumble (small dips), the VIX tended to react in a magnified fashion which introduced problems from two sides: 1) losing money from falling ...
Investors have been bidding up the price of MP Materials (NYSE: MP) ahead of the company's first quarter 2026 earnings release. Over the past month alone, the shares have risen by more than 30%. However, the stock is still down more than 30% from its 52-week high. That said, the company turned a profit in the fourth quarter of 2025, so it may have hit an important turning point as a business. Is i...
Investors have been bidding up the price of MP Materials (NYSE: MP) ahead of the company's first quarter 2026 earnings release. Over the past month alone, the shares have risen by more than 30%. However, the stock is still down more than 30% from its 52-week high. That said, the company turned a profit in the fourth quarter of 2025, so it may have hit an important turning point as a business. Is it worth buying? MP Materials is well-positioned to be a vital supplier of rare-earth metals. The miner and rare-earth metal processor has been preparing for this for some time, as it looks to provide customers with an alternative to buying rare-earth metals from China. China has proven it will use access to rare-earth metals as a political bargaining chip, a situation which most companies would likely prefer to avoid. Image source: Getty Images. Continue reading
Sundry Photography GlobalFoundries ( GFS ) was upgraded at Susquehanna to Positive from Neutral after the semiconductor foundry reported better-than-expected results and offered up a strong outlook for the second quarter. Shares rose 1.3% in premarket trading. "Rationale for our upgrade despite the stock doubling since Nov 2025: (1) Smartphone-related revenue (1/3 of total) marked a bottom in 1Q26...
Sundry Photography GlobalFoundries ( GFS ) was upgraded at Susquehanna to Positive from Neutral after the semiconductor foundry reported better-than-expected results and offered up a strong outlook for the second quarter. Shares rose 1.3% in premarket trading. "Rationale for our upgrade despite the stock doubling since Nov 2025: (1) Smartphone-related revenue (1/3 of total) marked a bottom in 1Q26. (2) Comm Infrastructure bottomed in 2Q25. At that trough, SiPh accounted for 23% of the Comm Infrastructure mix and less than 3% of total company revenue. (3) Forecasting Comm Infrastructure revenue to grow at 35% CAGR (2025-2028) assuming GFS maintains its 20% market share," analyst Mehdi Hosseini wrote in a note to clients. "This would lift the segment to 18% of total revenue by 2028, up from 11% in 2025. (4) SiPh is the fastest-growing subsegment within Comm Infrastructure with GFS's SCALE platform, where the laser is co-packaged with PIC+EIC, gains traction as a second source to TSMC's COUPE. (5) Technology Services revenue growing at 15% CAGR (2025-2028) as MIPS and Synopsys IP contributions become material and scalable. (6) Utilization rates improving toward 95%+ through 2028, even as additional wafer capacity is added. (7) Expect GM/OM to improve toward 32/25, respectively, up from the reported 29/17 in 1Q26. (8) $4 of annualized EPS by 2028." Hosseini also raised his price target on GlobalFoundries to $100 from $50. More on GLOBALFOUNDRIES GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. (GFS) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcript GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation GlobalFoundries: I'm Maintaining A Neutral View After The Secondary Offering GlobalFoundries outlines Q2 2026 revenue of $1.76B while targeting silicon photonics to exceed $1B run rate by exit 2028 GlobalFoundries rises after Q2 outlook beat
The White House is looking into an executive order that would create a vetting system for new artificial intelligence models like Anthropic PBC ’s Mythos in a bid to protect business and government networks from AI-related cyber risks, a top economic adviser said Wednesday. “We’re studying, possibly an executive order to give a clear roadmap to everybody about how this is going to go and how futur...
The White House is looking into an executive order that would create a vetting system for new artificial intelligence models like Anthropic PBC ’s Mythos in a bid to protect business and government networks from AI-related cyber risks, a top economic adviser said Wednesday. “We’re studying, possibly an executive order to give a clear roadmap to everybody about how this is going to go and how future AIs that also potentially create vulnerabilities should go through a process so that they’re released to the wild after they’ve been proven safe, just like an FDA drug,” National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett told Fox Business. The directive is taking shape weeks after Anthropic revealed that its breakthrough Mythos model was adept at finding network vulnerabilities and could pose a global cybersecurity risk. The company has limited access for now to a handful of large tech and financial companies, and the Trump administration has been pressing to make Mythos available to federal agencies to test government systems. Hassett acknowledged that effort on Wednesday. “We have scrambled an all of government effort and all the private sector to coordinate and make sure that before this model is released out into the wild, that it’s been tested left and right, to make sure that it doesn’t cause any harm to the American businesses or the American government,” Hassett said. Anthropic’s Mythos announcement spurred Trump administration officials into accelerating existing efforts to shape AI policy. White House Chief of Staff Susie Wiles and other senior administration officials met with Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei last month, where topics discussed included Mythos. Hassett said it’s “really quite likely” that any testing spelled out under the order would ultimately extend to all AI companies. “I think that, that Mythos is the first of them, but it’s incumbent on us to build a system,” he said. “And that’s really pretty much what we’re working almost full time on right now.”...
Nike (NYSE:NKE) currently trades around $44, while Wall Street’s consensus price target is about $62 per share, implying roughly 41% upside today if analysts are right. Nike remains the world’s largest athletic footwear and apparel company, now working through CEO Elliott Hill’s “Win Now” turnaround. The stock has been under heavy pressure, but analysts are still ... Nike’s 65% 3-Year Plunge Could...
Nike (NYSE:NKE) currently trades around $44, while Wall Street’s consensus price target is about $62 per share, implying roughly 41% upside today if analysts are right. Nike remains the world’s largest athletic footwear and apparel company, now working through CEO Elliott Hill’s “Win Now” turnaround. The stock has been under heavy pressure, but analysts are still ... Nike’s 65% 3-Year Plunge Could Lead to 41% Upside Today
IURII BUKHTA/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Harley Davidson's ( HOG ) stock has been getting hammered, but who's afraid of a downtrend on a value hunt? Not me. This once-iconic brand is a little under-the-weather, but the heritage is immense and the turnaround is tangible. Down 25% since my last Hold rating , when I warned against the investment, has me confident that we might be at a better lo...
IURII BUKHTA/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Harley Davidson's ( HOG ) stock has been getting hammered, but who's afraid of a downtrend on a value hunt? Not me. This once-iconic brand is a little under-the-weather, but the heritage is immense and the turnaround is tangible. Down 25% since my last Hold rating , when I warned against the investment, has me confident that we might be at a better long-term entry point here due to operational synergies now bearing light at the end of the tunnel. I'm targeting a bull-case two-year annualized CAGR of 35% from the investment, but the downside 12-month risk from pure execution is about a -30% loss. If you're comfortable with that asymmetry and believe in the turnaround dynamics, this could make for a strong investment. Back to the Bricks Harley just posted Q1 earnings , with North America retail up 14%, global retail up 8%, dealer inventory down 22%, and shipments falling 3%. This shows real traction with real consumer demand, not just channel stuffing. The dealer network is being repositioned as the operating center of the brand, and by making stores more profitable, active, and central to rider culture, dealers drive new and used bike sales, service, customization, apparel, events, and local loyalty. This should help in Harley's cultural resurgence, which is much-needed. It's win-win for the rider community and Harley if the latter reforms the energy of its culture from "vintage" to "modern iconic nostalgia." It's key that the company's heritage remains intact: freedom, V-twin sound, customization, rallies, American mechanical mythology, and even outlaw fringe. After all, that cultural electricity, Hells Angels and all, is what drove generations to be enamored by the bikes. The old problem with the brand was over-monetization. If you turn a rebel motorbike brand into a corporate shareholder project, you're diluting the essence of the revolutionary energy at the core. FY25 exposed the damage of this approach, with global ...
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Resources Connection Inc (NASD: RGP), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a "Dividend Run" any
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Resources Connection Inc (NASD: RGP), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a "Dividend Run" any
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for ClearBridge Energy MLP Opportunity Fund (NYSE: EMO), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a "Di
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for ClearBridge Energy MLP Opportunity Fund (NYSE: EMO), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a "Di
Microsoft is considering delaying or abandoning its 2030 goal of matching its entire hourly electricity use with renewable energy purchases, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The expensive and energy-intensive push for data centers is reshaping the feasibility of Microsoft's climate commitments that were made before the AI era and rank among the indus...
Microsoft is considering delaying or abandoning its 2030 goal of matching its entire hourly electricity use with renewable energy purchases, Bloomberg News reported on Wednesday, citing people familiar with the matter. The expensive and energy-intensive push for data centers is reshaping the feasibility of Microsoft's climate commitments that were made before the AI era and rank among the industry's most ambitious targets, the report said. The discussions were ongoing and no final decision has been made, Bloomberg News added.
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Western Asset Emerging Markets Income Fund (NYSE: EMD), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Western Asset Emerging Markets Income Fund (NYSE: EMD), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all, what is a
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Flaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund Incorporated (NYSE: FLC), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all
This morning a "Potential Dividend Run Alert" went out for Flaherty & Crumrine Total Return Fund Incorporated (NYSE: FLC), at our DividendChannel.com Dividend Alerts service (a free email alerts feature). Let's look at the situation in greater detail, shall we? First of all
PepeLaguarda/E+ via Getty Images Investment Overview Yesterday (May 4th), Crispr Therapeutics AG ( CRSP ), the Swiss-based, commercial stage CRISPR gene editing pioneer, announced its Q1 2026 earnings. The company reported $1m of collaboration revenue, and $458k of grant revenue. R&D costs were reported as $69m, G&A costs $17.2m, and collaboration expense $46m. Total operating expenses came to $13...
PepeLaguarda/E+ via Getty Images Investment Overview Yesterday (May 4th), Crispr Therapeutics AG ( CRSP ), the Swiss-based, commercial stage CRISPR gene editing pioneer, announced its Q1 2026 earnings. The company reported $1m of collaboration revenue, and $458k of grant revenue. R&D costs were reported as $69m, G&A costs $17.2m, and collaboration expense $46m. Total operating expenses came to $132m, and net loss $(122m), down from $(135m) in Q1 2026. Crispr Therapeutics also reported cash and equivalents of $423m, and marketable securities of $2bn, with no meaningful debt. Shares fell slightly in trading yesterday, dropping ~2% to a value of $52.3, reflecting a market cap valuation of $5.1bn. The stock has barely budged in value year-to-date, is up ~38% on a 12-month basis (at the time of writing), but down 55% on a five-year basis. Since its 2016 IPO, shares have risen in value by >270%. Let's start our analysis by discussing performance of CRISPR's only commercial-stage asset, the sickle cell disease ("SCD") / beta thalassemia ex vivo cell therapy Casgevy. Casgevy Revenues Fall Sequentially - Here's Why I Don't Think Shareholders Should Be Concerned Crispr Therapeutics secured FDA approval for its landmark ex-vivo sickle cell disease therapy Casgevy (exagamglogene autotemcel, or "exa-cel," for short) In December 2023 , and secured approval for Casgevy to treat transfusion dependent beta thalassemia a few months later. The drug has subsequently been approved in Canada, the U.K., the EU, Switzerland, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the Kingdom of Bahrain, Qatar, the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and Kuwait. Crispr Therapeutics earns a 40% share of net profits from sales of Casgevy, with partner Vertex ( VRTX ) earning a 60% share (Vertex paid CRISPR ~$900m to change its share from 50% to 60% back in 2021). The revenue figure in Q1 2026 is $43m, which is in fact less than the figure in Q4 2025 of $54m - Casgevy earned a total of $116m of revenues in 2025 as a whole. On a...
The SaaS-pocalypse has caused quite a violent reset in the valuations of many software stocks. And while the disruptive wave of AI might not yet be done marking down prices across the SaaS scene, I do think that it makes sense to at least check out the prices on merchandise, which some folks might see ... The Same AI Wave Crushing SaaS Stocks May Be About to Rescue These 3 Names
The SaaS-pocalypse has caused quite a violent reset in the valuations of many software stocks. And while the disruptive wave of AI might not yet be done marking down prices across the SaaS scene, I do think that it makes sense to at least check out the prices on merchandise, which some folks might see ... The Same AI Wave Crushing SaaS Stocks May Be About to Rescue These 3 Names
US President Trump and Chinese President Xi will discuss China’s purchases of Iranian oil, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said on "Bloomberg Surveillance." The two leaders are scheduled to meet in Beijing on May 14 and 15. (Source: Bloomberg)
US President Trump and Chinese President Xi will discuss China’s purchases of Iranian oil, Trade Representative Jamieson Greer said on "Bloomberg Surveillance." The two leaders are scheduled to meet in Beijing on May 14 and 15. (Source: Bloomberg)
Welcome back to Bloomberg’s Real Estate Monitor , a weekly breakdown of emerging trends, strategic challenges and blockbuster deals shaping the industry. Sign up now if you’re not already on the list. This week, we’ll update you on the feud between New York’s mayor and Citadel’s Ken Griffin . There’s also a big data center IPO coming up, a rare bid to sell an Aspen hotel and some upbeat news for h...
Welcome back to Bloomberg’s Real Estate Monitor , a weekly breakdown of emerging trends, strategic challenges and blockbuster deals shaping the industry. Sign up now if you’re not already on the list. This week, we’ll update you on the feud between New York’s mayor and Citadel’s Ken Griffin . There’s also a big data center IPO coming up, a rare bid to sell an Aspen hotel and some upbeat news for housing markets in the US , Canada and the UK . There’s more, too, so let’s get into it. — Christine Maurus Market Snapshot Vornado Realty Trust $30.26 +2.0% Equity Residential $66.25 +1.5% AvalonBay Communities Inc $185.25 +1.5% Blackstone Inc $122.72 -0.3% Market data as of 09:10 AM ET. Data is subject to provider delays. The big story The spat between financier Ken Griffin and New York City’s mayor has ticked up a notch or two. First, a quick catch-up: Last month, Mayor Zohran Mamdani singled out Griffin and his $238 million penthouse purchase in a now-viral video that touted a proposed tax on pricey pieds-a-terre and accused their buyers of not contributing enough to the city’s finances. That angered the billionaire Citadel chief, who threatened to back away from plans to build a new office skyscraper on Park Avenue. On Tuesday, Steven Roth, the CEO of Vornado Realty Trust, one of the partners on the office project, appealed to Mamdani to correct his “blunder” in making the social media post — one he called “irresponsible and dangerous” — and urged the mayor to be more welcoming to businesses. Roth, whose company also sold Griffin his penthouse at 220 Central Park South, said he still expects Griffin to remain committed to the $6 billion tower, which has been years in the making and is one of the most anticipated construction projects in Manhattan. Speaking on Vornado’s earnings conference call, Roth promised more clarity this summer. Griffin already has started to take control of the project, designed to bring the growing New York headcounts for Citadel and Citadel Secu...
Fan groups have called prices a ‘monumental betrayal’ Fifa collects 30% cut on resale markets Fifa president Gianni Infantino has defended World Cup ticket prices, insisting that football’s global governing body was obliged to take advantage of US laws that allow tickets to be resold for thousands of dollars above face value. Fifa has faced searing criticism over the cost of World Cup tickets, wit...
Fan groups have called prices a ‘monumental betrayal’ Fifa collects 30% cut on resale markets Fifa president Gianni Infantino has defended World Cup ticket prices, insisting that football’s global governing body was obliged to take advantage of US laws that allow tickets to be resold for thousands of dollars above face value. Fifa has faced searing criticism over the cost of World Cup tickets, with fan organization Football Supporters Europe (FSE) calling the pricing structure “extortionate” and a “monumental betrayal”. FSE filed a lawsuit with the European Commission in March targeting Fifa over “excessive ticket prices” for the tournament. Continue reading...
If you wanted to short China at lunch and be flat by the closing bell, Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (NYSEARCA:YANG) is the tool. The fund aims to deliver three times the daily inverse return of the FTSE China 50 Index, the basket of large Chinese names that trade in Hong Kong. It ... How Investors Lost 89% Betting Against China — Even When Their Prediction Was Correct
If you wanted to short China at lunch and be flat by the closing bell, Direxion Daily FTSE China Bear 3X Shares (NYSEARCA:YANG) is the tool. The fund aims to deliver three times the daily inverse return of the FTSE China 50 Index, the basket of large Chinese names that trade in Hong Kong. It ... How Investors Lost 89% Betting Against China — Even When Their Prediction Was Correct