Techa Tungateja/iStock via Getty Images I previously rated Twilio Inc. ( TWLO ) as a Buy in March 2026, thanks to its AI beneficiary status through the diversified communication offerings, including Voice AI. In this article, I shall discuss why I am downgrading TWLO to a Hold, attributed to the overdone rally post FQ1'26 earnings call and the consequently reduced margin of safety. TWLO Proves The...
Techa Tungateja/iStock via Getty Images I previously rated Twilio Inc. ( TWLO ) as a Buy in March 2026, thanks to its AI beneficiary status through the diversified communication offerings, including Voice AI. In this article, I shall discuss why I am downgrading TWLO to a Hold, attributed to the overdone rally post FQ1'26 earnings call and the consequently reduced margin of safety. TWLO Proves Their AI Beneficiary Status TWLO 1Y Stock Price ( TradingView ) Since my last Buy rating, TWLO has already delivered a robust stock price recovery of +16.2% compared to the wider market at +9.1%, with a similar outperformance also observed in its Customer Experience as a Service/AI peers in varying degrees. Part of their outperformance is attributed to the overly done AI SaaS fears in early 2026, with the Q1'26 earnings season already reiterating the durability of the Enterprise/Commercial SaaS spending trends. These developments trigger the consequent recovery in market sentiments, as observed in the iShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF's ( IGV ) recent recovery by +12.3% from the March 2026 bottom. 1. Growing Demand For Voice AI TWLO has also fed the exuberance through the robust FQ1'26 performance metrics, across: the consumption-based revenue growth to $1.4B (+20% YoY), the expanding multiproduct customer count by +29% YoY, the higher Dollar-Based Net Expansion Rate of 114% (+7 points YoY), and the adj income from operations at $279M (+31% YoY), ... with it underscoring the growing adoption/cross-selling trends of their SaaS offerings while naturally invalidating the prior pessimism that new AI tools may potentially disrupt the SaaS sector's monetization prospects . Most of TWLO's growth tailwinds are attributed to the growing multi-product adoption trend across: the messaging segment at +25% YoY compared to a year ago at +20.6% YoY, thanks to the robust growth in SMS/WhatsApp/Rich Communication Services [RCS], and the voice segment at +20% YoY, with adoption accelera...
trait2lumiere/iStock via Getty Images Blue Owl Proves That Fundraising Remains Incredibly Resilient Is the worst selloff in the private credit space finally over? For alternative asset managers like Blue Owl Capital Inc. ( OWL ), I think any form of respite couldn't have come any sooner. After enduring what was the worst decline in the last four to five years that saw the stock plunge almost 70% f...
trait2lumiere/iStock via Getty Images Blue Owl Proves That Fundraising Remains Incredibly Resilient Is the worst selloff in the private credit space finally over? For alternative asset managers like Blue Owl Capital Inc. ( OWL ), I think any form of respite couldn't have come any sooner. After enduring what was the worst decline in the last four to five years that saw the stock plunge almost 70% from its early 2025 highs, those diamond hands left behind might even be questioning their own conviction for staying any longer. However, just as you thought that the worst could be still over the horizon, it’s also a fact that all the April losses have been recovered. Plus, OWL has also clawed back most of the March downside, and appears ready to crawl its way out of the gutter. By now, I believe it’s increasingly clear why my decision to upgrade OWL stock has proved timely. Fundraising statistics (Blue Owl Capital) Blue Owl’s Q1 earnings scorecard has clearly reaffirmed the highly constructive fundraising climate in the alternative asset space, despite the doom and gloom media narrative that preceded the release. New capital commitments came in at $11B for the quarter. And the fund raise was well received across the credit, real assets, and GP channels. The overall raised amount of >$44B in the past 12 months should downplay the worries that OWL could face significant trouble in attracting inflows. If anything, Blue Owl now has a war chest amounting to "$30 billion or so of dry powder." Back in my last write-up, I highlighted that OWL’s valuations have largely been discounted. Private Credit Headwinds Largely Limited To Retail Channel Private Credit fundraising for institutional investors (Bloomberg) In addition, the cornerstone institutional investors have also not bailed out in a hurry. I think it clearly indicates that while there are stresses in the wealth management channel, the pressure hasn’t percolated more broadly. Limited redemptions for OWL's private credit fun...
First-quarter earnings season is delivering Wall Street better-than-expected results, propelling US equities’ run from one record to the next. As earnings wind down for two-thirds of the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, the proportion of companies missing analysts’ estimates is hovering at the lowest level since 2021. It’s not just due to blowout earnings from technology giants, which were expected to...
First-quarter earnings season is delivering Wall Street better-than-expected results, propelling US equities’ run from one record to the next. As earnings wind down for two-thirds of the stocks in the S&P 500 Index, the proportion of companies missing analysts’ estimates is hovering at the lowest level since 2021. It’s not just due to blowout earnings from technology giants, which were expected to lead the charge. S&P 500 companies outside of the tech realm have been posting the sharpest positive earnings surprises since the fourth quarter of 2024, according to Seaport Research Partners. For Wall Street investors, that’s a vote of confidence in Corporate America’s profit machine, which keeps humming along despite an oil price shock, tariff turmoil and rising worries about the health of the US consumer. “As I look at how companies have reported results, I would argue that resilient is almost too modest of a word. There’s real, obvious strength,” said Marta Norton , chief market strategist at Empower. “The foundation of the economy is proving to be very, very strong.” The strength is showing up across sectors. Small caps are on a tear, bank profits are booming and firms keep plowing past macroeconomic obstacles, though some worries still linger. Here are five themes that investors are watching play out in this reporting period: Spending Spree Microsoft Corp. , Amazon.com Inc. , Alphabet Inc. , Meta Platforms Inc. and Apple Inc. — which make up roughly a quarter of the S&P 500’s total market capitalization — were the headliners this week. Their earnings were generally better than expected, though Meta and Microsoft retreated amid concerns around the companies’ capital spending plans. Meanwhile, the rally in semiconductor stocks extended. Intel Corp. topped the leaderboard, soaring 114% in April, helped by an estimate-shattering sales forecast . Texas Instruments Inc. was also a notable earnings-driven gainer . After soaring nearly 50% during an 18-session winning strea...
High tariffs, stubborn inflation, government shutdowns, war with Iran, rising oil prices — nothing in the turbulent past year has poked a hole in a seemingly unsinkable U.S. economy.
High tariffs, stubborn inflation, government shutdowns, war with Iran, rising oil prices — nothing in the turbulent past year has poked a hole in a seemingly unsinkable U.S. economy.
(Bloomberg) -- First-quarter earnings season is delivering Wall Street better-than-expected results, propelling US equities’ run from one record to the next.Most Read from BloombergSupertanker Appears to Have Crossed the Strait of HormuzWorld’s Largest Container Carrier Plans Route Avoiding HormuzBeijing Tells China Firms to Ignore US Sanctions on RefinersPhilippines Says Thousands Evacuated as Ma...
(Bloomberg) -- First-quarter earnings season is delivering Wall Street better-than-expected results, propelling US equities’ run from one record to the next.Most Read from BloombergSupertanker Appears to Have Crossed the Strait of HormuzWorld’s Largest Container Carrier Plans Route Avoiding HormuzBeijing Tells China Firms to Ignore US Sanctions on RefinersPhilippines Says Thousands Evacuated as Mayon Volcano EruptsIran Juggles Oil Cuts and Storage Strain to Resist US BlockadeAs earnings wind dow
Analysts Conflicted on These Technology Names: Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA), CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings (CCC) and Apple (AAPL) The Globe and Mail
Analysts Conflicted on These Technology Names: Zeta Global Holdings Corp (ZETA), CCC Intelligent Solutions Holdings (CCC) and Apple (AAPL) The Globe and Mail
Hongkongers are forming long queues at betting stations for the chance to win a share of the HK$228 million (US$29.1 million) snowball draw – the city’s largest Mark Six jackpot. The winning numbers are set to be announced late on Saturday evening, with the turnover reaching more than six times the amount for the previous draw of over HK$63 million. For the latest draw, bettors have wagered more t...
Hongkongers are forming long queues at betting stations for the chance to win a share of the HK$228 million (US$29.1 million) snowball draw – the city’s largest Mark Six jackpot. The winning numbers are set to be announced late on Saturday evening, with the turnover reaching more than six times the amount for the previous draw of over HK$63 million. For the latest draw, bettors have wagered more than HK$391 million as of 8.30pm. Earlier on Saturday, a South China Morning Post photographer...
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s cash pile jumped to its highest level ever, reaching $397 billion, inGreg Abel’s first quarter as chief executive officer. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst Matthew Palazola joins David Gura and Christina Ruffini on Bloomberg This Weekend to discuss. (Source: Bloomberg)
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.’s cash pile jumped to its highest level ever, reaching $397 billion, inGreg Abel’s first quarter as chief executive officer. Bloomberg Intelligence Senior Analyst Matthew Palazola joins David Gura and Christina Ruffini on Bloomberg This Weekend to discuss. (Source: Bloomberg)
Spirit Airlines 'Bites The Dust' As All Flights Canceled; Trump Admin To Provide 'Relief' To Customers, Workers The collapse of bankrupt Spirit Airlines is now official. After several failed attempts by the Trump administration to engineer a rescue package, including a proposed $500 million financing deal that could have left the U.S. government with control of up to 90% of the budget carrier, neg...
Spirit Airlines 'Bites The Dust' As All Flights Canceled; Trump Admin To Provide 'Relief' To Customers, Workers The collapse of bankrupt Spirit Airlines is now official. After several failed attempts by the Trump administration to engineer a rescue package, including a proposed $500 million financing deal that could have left the U.S. government with control of up to 90% of the budget carrier, negotiations broke down late this week. By Saturday morning, Spirit had begun winding down operations, with all flights canceled and the carrier entering liquidation mode. The outcome marks the final flight for the budget airline, crushed by years of operational stress, failed merger attempts, mounting debt, and a brutal jet-fuel price shock that derailed its efforts to emerge from bankruptcy this summer. Well… oops https://t.co/Ahv3e2M8vU — zerohedge (@zerohedge) May 1, 2026 The Trump administration was willing to explore an extraordinary state-backed rescue to save nearly 7,500 jobs. Now, however, Transportation Secretary Sean Duffy has announced "ACTION to bring relief to Spirit customers and its workforce." This will include other airlines (United, Delta, JetBlue & Southwest) agreeing to cap ticket prices for Spirit customers who have been left in the lurch, reduced fares on 'high-volume Spirit routes", while American Airlines and United "are creating microsites for Spirit employees looking to continue a career in aviation." In coordination with our airline partners, we’re taking ACTION to bring relief to Spirit customers and its workforce. From capped ticket prices for flyers who need to rebook to employees looking for job opportunities, there’s a lot of information you should be aware of.… — Secretary Sean Duffy (@SecDuffy) May 2, 2026 Spirit's statement about winding down operations: It is with great disappointment that Spirit Airlines has started winding down its global operations, effective immediately. All flights have been cancelled, and customer service is no longe...
Tom Werner/DigitalVision via Getty Images By Vinay Thapar, CFA and Jane Bleeg How can medical technology companies diversify an equity allocation to healthcare? Investors are questioning the staying power of medical technology (medtech) stocks, which have fallen from grace since the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet we think innovation continues to create exciting opportunities in companies that march to a d...
Tom Werner/DigitalVision via Getty Images By Vinay Thapar, CFA and Jane Bleeg How can medical technology companies diversify an equity allocation to healthcare? Investors are questioning the staying power of medical technology (medtech) stocks, which have fallen from grace since the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet we think innovation continues to create exciting opportunities in companies that march to a different beat than the rest of the healthcare sector. For much of the past decade, medtech stocks outperformed the broader healthcare sector ( Display ). The popularity of medtech stocks—represented by the MSCI World Healthcare Equipment and Supplies industry—peaked during the pandemic, driven by accelerated spending on medical equipment. Since 2021, medtech shares have lagged, and in recent months, sentiment further soured amid struggles at key industry bellwethers. Beneath the surface, a more nuanced picture is emerging. Valuations have reset while the underlying innovation and business drivers that have long supported medtech remain firmly in place. For equity investors willing to look past recent disappointments, the divergence within the industry deserves attention. Medtech vs. Pharma: Distinct Business Models The starting point is to distinguish between medtech and other healthcare industries. Medtech makes up 17% of the broader MSCI World Healthcare Index, which is dominated by pharmaceutical companies ( Display ). For pharma companies, economics are often defined by patent cycles: drugmakers enjoy periods of strong growth and high profitability followed by abrupt cliffs as exclusivity expires. Medtech, by contrast, tends to evolve through continuous product iteration. Many medtech firms are more like technology or consumer businesses than classical drug developers. In subindustry segments such as therapeutic devices, surgical tools and diagnostics ( Display, above ), companies build out installed bases of devices, associated consumables and services that are refresh...