yalcinsonat1/iStock via Getty Images In the coming weeks, a new Federal Reserve Chairman will be installed in Kevin Warsh. This is not a business-as-usual appointment. It is a continuation of Trump Administration policies to shrink government. The Warsh appointment occurs as multiple macro factors are lining up to threaten the economy. The conditions could not be riper for an economic shock with a...
yalcinsonat1/iStock via Getty Images In the coming weeks, a new Federal Reserve Chairman will be installed in Kevin Warsh. This is not a business-as-usual appointment. It is a continuation of Trump Administration policies to shrink government. The Warsh appointment occurs as multiple macro factors are lining up to threaten the economy. The conditions could not be riper for an economic shock with a major correction for stocks, bonds, crypto, and real estate. If that shock occurs and we see an economic slowdown with resulting asset price declines, the next test will be whether it sets up another long run of growth and asset price appreciation or is the prelude to a deeper economic downturn. As members at Margin of Safety Investing know, I believe " all roads lead to QE. " The problem is that for Kevin Warsh, or his successor, to get to QE, we are likely to first see a debt-driven financial crisis. What to Know About Kevin Warsh Kevin Warsh is not a career economist; he is a lawyer by training and worked at Morgan Stanley as an M&A banker. He served in the George W. Bush White House before being appointed the youngest Fed governor ever in 2006 at the age of 35. During the 2008 Financial Crisis, Warsh was a liaison to Wall Street for Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke. Warsh resigned from the Board of Governors, an unexpected and rare move, in 2011 after opposing the Fed 's plan to buy $600 billion in U.S. Treasuries, aka QE. Immediately after leaving the Federal Reserve, Warsh joined billionaire investor Stanley Druckenmiller's Duquesne Family Office as a partner and advisor. Warsh has also held a fellowship at the Hoover Institution , which has roots in classical liberal free market economics and the Chicago School monetarist supply-side traditions. It is important to know that the economic theory of the Hoover Institution is often viewed as leaning heavily libertarian and reliant on Austrian economic theories of rules based cyclical economies. Ideas like the " Taylor Rule " a...
Investing.com -- Semiconductor stocks declined Tuesday after South Korean policymakers proposed a "citizen dividend" funded by taxes on AI profits, sparking concerns about potential levies on chipmakers.
Investing.com -- Semiconductor stocks declined Tuesday after South Korean policymakers proposed a "citizen dividend" funded by taxes on AI profits, sparking concerns about potential levies on chipmakers.
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell: Under Armour — The sportswear company slid 14% after posting a loss of 3 cents on revenue of $1.17 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG were anticipating a loss of 2 cents on revenue of $1.68 billion. GameStop , eBay — Shares of GameStop dropped more than 4% after online retailer eBay turned down a $56 billion takeover bid Tuesday from the elec...
Check out the companies making headlines before the bell: Under Armour — The sportswear company slid 14% after posting a loss of 3 cents on revenue of $1.17 billion. Analysts polled by LSEG were anticipating a loss of 2 cents on revenue of $1.68 billion. GameStop , eBay — Shares of GameStop dropped more than 4% after online retailer eBay turned down a $56 billion takeover bid Tuesday from the electronics retailer over doubts over the financing of the deal. Shares of Ebay were slightly lower. On Holding — The running shoes maker fell 5% in the premarket even after it reported first-quarter earnings and revenue that beat analyst expectations. On also reiterated its full-year net sales growth outlook and increased its earnings guidance. Wendy's — Shares rallied more than 23% after The Financial Times reported , citing people familiar with the matter, that Nelson Peltz's Trian Fund Management was looking to raise funds for a bid to take the fast food chain private. ZoomInfo Technologies — Shares of the market intelligence platform tumbled more than 33% after cutting full year revenue guidance to a range of $1.185 billion to $1.205 billion. The company's prior forecased ranged between $1.247 billion and $1.267 billion. Plug Power — The hydrogen fuel supply company rallied more than 7% after posting a narrower-than-expected loss of 8 cents in the first quarter, on an adjusted basis. Analysts polled by FactSet expected a loss of 10 cents per share. Revenue of $163.5 million exceeded a consensus estimate of $139.9 million. Hims & Hers Health — Shares tumbled 14% after the telehealth company issued disappointing earnings guidance . AST SpaceMobile — The developer of satellites tumbled 12% after it reported a larger-than-expected loss for the first quarter. The company also reaffirmed its full-year revenue guidance or $150 million to $200 million. GitLab — Shares plunged 11% after CEO Bill Staples outlined a broad restructuring plan tied to the software company's move into ag...
wallix/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Siemens ( SIEGY ) is exploring a potential acquisition of Mer Mec, an Italian maker of signaling and communications equipment for trains, in a deal that could be valued at slightly more than €1B (~$1.2B), Bloomberg reported Tuesday. An acquisition of Mer Mec, which could be announced this week, would be intended to strengthen the technology and software ...
wallix/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Siemens ( SIEGY ) is exploring a potential acquisition of Mer Mec, an Italian maker of signaling and communications equipment for trains, in a deal that could be valued at slightly more than €1B (~$1.2B), Bloomberg reported Tuesday. An acquisition of Mer Mec, which could be announced this week, would be intended to strengthen the technology and software part of Siemens Mobility, the group's trainmaking division. The Italian company, which is owned by investment holding company Angel Holding, makes inspection and measuring technologies for railways, as well as train signaling systems and electrification and communication systems; its products and services are used in ~60 countries. More on Siemens Siemens: Prospects Appear Baked In For Now Siemens: A Case To Be Made For The Macro-Related Downside Siemens Q1 2026 Earnings Call Presentation
Summit Ridge Energy has completed a 1.62 MW rooftop community solar project in Melrose Park, Illinois, as part of the Illinois Shines program, which supports equitable access to clean energy. The project, developed alongside LBA Logistics and Black Bear Energy, will provide over 2 million kWh of renewable energy annually, enough to power over 200 homes, and promises utility bill savings of 10–20% ...
Summit Ridge Energy has completed a 1.62 MW rooftop community solar project in Melrose Park, Illinois, as part of the Illinois Shines program, which supports equitable access to clean energy. The project, developed alongside LBA Logistics and Black Bear Energy, will provide over 2 million kWh of renewable energy annually, enough to power over 200 homes, and promises utility bill savings of 10–20% for subscribers, particularly benefiting low-to-moderate income households in an Environmental...
Income investors holding iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (NASDAQ:EUFN) are sitting on a fund that has done two things at once: handed them a roughly 3.5% yield and delivered a 28% one-year return. The question every EUFN holder should be asking is whether the income side of that equation is built on durable bank and ... Why EUFN’s Juicy Payouts Could Vanish Overnight Without U.S. Bank ETF Safeg...
Income investors holding iShares MSCI Europe Financials ETF (NASDAQ:EUFN) are sitting on a fund that has done two things at once: handed them a roughly 3.5% yield and delivered a 28% one-year return. The question every EUFN holder should be asking is whether the income side of that equation is built on durable bank and ... Why EUFN’s Juicy Payouts Could Vanish Overnight Without U.S. Bank ETF Safeguards
Bet_Noire/iStock via Getty Images I started coverage of Whirlpool ( WHR ) back in 2024 with an initial neutral rating , I turned more bullish in 2024, primarily based on the firm's attractive dividend payments, and attractive valuation metrics at that time. Earlier this year, I once again became more cautious and downgraded WHR from buy to hold. The main reasons for my downgrade were the weak hous...
Bet_Noire/iStock via Getty Images I started coverage of Whirlpool ( WHR ) back in 2024 with an initial neutral rating , I turned more bullish in 2024, primarily based on the firm's attractive dividend payments, and attractive valuation metrics at that time. Earlier this year, I once again became more cautious and downgraded WHR from buy to hold. The main reasons for my downgrade were the weak housing market, poor consumer sentiment and elevated energy prices - but I still found the firm attractive based on its dividends. This is no longer the case, however, as the firm suspended its dividend payments, due to the extreme margin compression, and shifted their focus on reducing debt. Without the dividend, I no longer think it is worth holding the stock to wait for a turnaround to materialize. Results Let us start our discussion by looking at the most recent quarterly results and highlighting the key drivers why WHR is struggling so much right now. First, the net sales declined by as much as 9.6%, which was driven by a 6.1% organic decline due to poor demand. Q1 results (Whirlpool) The declining sales is not the only issue though. In the firm's largest segment MDA NAR, not only sales fell, but the margin also contracted very dramatically. And by very dramatic I mean roughly 95% YoY. MDA NAR (Whirlpool) Furthermore, the firm also expects the headwinds to keep negatively impacting the results in full year 2026. As a result, their guidance hit a much more pessimistic tone than before, expecting sales and EBIT to be both declining. Segment guidance (Whirlpool) Overall, they hit a very negative tone, when talking about the results, comparing the current collapse in demand and margins to previous crisis environments, like 2001, 2007-2009 and 2020. Industry decline (Whirlpool) In my view, based on these fundamentals, it is no longer worth owning WHR. When looking at consumer confidence, a key leading economic indicator, I also cannot get too optimistic about a quick turnaround...
Welcome to our guide to the commodities driving the global economy. Today, reporter Alex Longley looks at the factors helping to shield the oil market from the effects of the Iran war and the risks ahead. Ever since the war in Iran began, the oil market has been pulling every lever it can to make sure the world has enough supply. In the past few weeks, two measures in particular have come to the f...
Welcome to our guide to the commodities driving the global economy. Today, reporter Alex Longley looks at the factors helping to shield the oil market from the effects of the Iran war and the risks ahead. Ever since the war in Iran began, the oil market has been pulling every lever it can to make sure the world has enough supply. In the past few weeks, two measures in particular have come to the fore. Traders are now questioning how much longer they can be sustained. The first has been an unprecedented surge in US exports. Toward the end of last month, the country was exporting more than 14 million barrels of crude and refined products a day, an all-time high. The increase has been propelled in part by efforts to tap emergency stockpiles , with the latest weekly drawdown totaling a record 1.22 million barrels a day. Those releases have more room to run. But they can’t continue indefinitely, and pressure on inventories is likely to intensify as the summer driving season approaches. The other key factor keeping a lid on prices has been less obvious, but arguably more impactful — a sudden collapse in Chinese crude purchases. Some of the nation’s large oil companies have been reselling cargoes from West Africa in recent weeks. The move came shortly after state refiners were given permission to draw from commercial storage, helping to ease supply pressures. Crude futures are up almost 50% since the start of the war, with the effective closure of the crucial Strait of Hormuz keeping vast quantities locked up in the Persian Gulf. But prices haven’t breached levels seen in 2022, when Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine drove benchmark Brent toward $130 a barrel. The boss of trading house Mercuria Energy Group Ltd. said late last month that Chinese selling had “taken out a lot of demand from various countries,” but that the move could only continue for another three weeks or so. Morgan Stanley also said that China’s slowing imports — and America’s robust exports — can’t ...
Over the last 7 days, the United States market has risen 2.6% and is up 26% over the last 12 months, with earnings forecasted to grow by 17% annually. In this favorable environment, growth companies with strong insider ownership can be particularly appealing as they often align management's interests with those of shareholders, potentially driving long-term value creation.
Over the last 7 days, the United States market has risen 2.6% and is up 26% over the last 12 months, with earnings forecasted to grow by 17% annually. In this favorable environment, growth companies with strong insider ownership can be particularly appealing as they often align management's interests with those of shareholders, potentially driving long-term value creation.