EschCollection/DigitalVision via Getty Images About four months after the publication of my previous coverage , Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. ( MCB ) still delivered 9.0% returns despite my cautious outlook before. Somehow, I still understand the optimistic move of the market, driven by the policy easing cycle last quarter. However, this still doesn’t erase the fact that it’s overpriced for its ...
EschCollection/DigitalVision via Getty Images About four months after the publication of my previous coverage , Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. ( MCB ) still delivered 9.0% returns despite my cautious outlook before. Somehow, I still understand the optimistic move of the market, driven by the policy easing cycle last quarter. However, this still doesn’t erase the fact that it’s overpriced for its valuation. Macroeconomic turbulence must also be considered due to the potential impact on its performance. Technicals adhere to it as momentum weakens amid the recent selling pressures. MCB Q4 2025: Growth And Profitability Still In Tandem In the latter part of 2025, everyone saw mixed macroeconomic conditions amid stubborn inflation and new tariff woes, offset by the policy easing cycle. As a bank, Metropolitan Bank Holding Corp. is susceptible to risks associated with volatility due to its highly cyclical nature. Even so, it continued to prove it could take advantage of the situation to sustain its growth potential. This was visible in its most recent performance. In Q4 2025, its interest income amounted to $137.5M , up by 14.6% YoY from $119.8M and 4.1% QoQ from $132.0M, which showed its sustained growth. This YoY increase was also stronger than in my previous coverage at 9.6%, which was impressive considering the rate cut cycle that could have also slashed the yields of its interest-earning assets. But MCB still took advantage of it through its disciplined and prudent investment diversification and lending policies. As you can see, its interest-earning assets increased a lot in just five quarters. For instance, loans increased by 13.3% YoY. But I like that it remains heavily focused on commercial rather than consumer loans. I will explain this more later. Meanwhile, its interest expense decreased because the reduction in interest rates lowered the cost of deposits and debts. As a result, its net interest income also rose noticeably. Meanwhile, its non-interest income a...
A large-scale job fair for university students in Heilongjiang province on March 24, 2026. Photo: VCG China’s recruitment market heated up after the Lunar New Year holiday, with demand surging in humanoid robotics and AI agents, according to weekly data from job platform Zhaopin. Zhaopin said in a spring hiring report released over four consecutive weeks that, one month after workers returned from...
A large-scale job fair for university students in Heilongjiang province on March 24, 2026. Photo: VCG China’s recruitment market heated up after the Lunar New Year holiday, with demand surging in humanoid robotics and AI agents, according to weekly data from job platform Zhaopin. Zhaopin said in a spring hiring report released over four consecutive weeks that, one month after workers returned from the holiday, the number of companies hiring rose 7.4% from a year earlier while the number of job seekers increased 4.1%. Among the 20 fastest-growing industries by year-over-year hiring, sectors tied to what China calls “new quality productive forces” dominated the list.
Chinese government bonds are emerging as a viable alternative reserve asset after holding up through recent geopolitical shocks including the Iran war, according to Gavekal Research. The report challenges a core assumption of global reserve management that US government bonds and the dollar act as “shelters in a storm.” Sovereign bonds in China have held firm amid the recent Middle East tensions, ...
Chinese government bonds are emerging as a viable alternative reserve asset after holding up through recent geopolitical shocks including the Iran war, according to Gavekal Research. The report challenges a core assumption of global reserve management that US government bonds and the dollar act as “shelters in a storm.” Sovereign bonds in China have held firm amid the recent Middle East tensions, analysts Charles Gave and Louis‑Vincent Gave wrote in a report on Tuesday. China’s long-tenor bonds rose in the year following Covid-19 pandemic and stayed relatively flat in the 12 months after the war in Ukraine. US Treasury performance after adjusting for currency moves and gold prices have been unimpressive in comparison during these periods, they wrote. Meanwhile, China’s sovereign debt is underpinned by its ability to produce more electricity at a lower cost than anyone else, according to the report, insulating its bond market from any oil-driven inflation shock. The strategists point out that since 2012, Chinese bonds have been among the few fixed-income markets that beat US inflation. The appeal of China’s sovereign debt as a global reserve asset is also supported by Beijing’s dominance as the world’s industrial and trading superpower, according to Gavekal. This industrial strength suggests that the era of undervalued currency may come to an end. “In an inflationary world, tariffs and the maintenance of a significantly undervalued currency would likely fall by the wayside,” the analysts wrote. “Instead of trade wars, we could see trade deals, more solar panels to the US, more freely flowing rare earths, a stronger renminbi.” “In such a world, the marginal bid would shift away from gold and US Treasuries and toward renminbi and other Asian-currency-denominated assets that offer a yield,” they wrote. Gavekal Has a Provocative Thought on Chinese Bonds: China Today
Tippapatt/iStock via Getty Images The fund posted returns of 1.88% (Institutional shares) and 1.81% (Investor A shares, without sales charge) for the fourth quarter of 2025. Long duration (high interest rate sensitivity) and yield curve positioning, coupled with strong selection in the health care, transportation, and education sectors, drove the fund's positive performance. Idiosyncratic position...
Tippapatt/iStock via Getty Images The fund posted returns of 1.88% (Institutional shares) and 1.81% (Investor A shares, without sales charge) for the fourth quarter of 2025. Long duration (high interest rate sensitivity) and yield curve positioning, coupled with strong selection in the health care, transportation, and education sectors, drove the fund's positive performance. Idiosyncratic positions and modest allocation effects, including underweight positions in the tax-backed sectors, detracted amid outflows at quarter-end and market volatility. The fund had overweight positions in long maturity and positively convex (the rate at which duration changes in response to interest rate movements) bonds, and maintained significant allocations to the health care, transportation, and education sectors. It had underweight positions in short maturity bonds and tax-backed state credits, which reflected a focus on yield, credit quality, and sector resilience. Contributors Strong security selection in the health care, transportation, and education sectors was the primary driver of positive performance. The fund's long duration and yield curve positioning benefited from the Federal Reserve's (Fed) dovish policy shift and the subsequent rate rally. An exposure to resilient Pennsylvania credits and diversified allocations across essential service sectors further supported returns. Active management of portfolio structure and reinvestment of cash flows maximized income during a period of robust supply and demand and favorable credit conditions. Detractors Weak performance was primarily driven by underweight positions in bonds maturing in 15 or fewer years, which performed well during the quarter. Modest negative contributions also resulted from select sector allocations, particularly an underweight exposure to tax-backed state bonds. Additionally, short call bonds performed weakly in the market rally, which further detracted from results. Further insight The fund's solid quarterly...