teamtime/iStock Editorial via Getty Images It’s been a long time since I wrote an article about Grab Holdings Limited ( GRAB ), and actually, my article was Grab vs. Sea ( SE ), which you can check out in full here . At the time, I gave a hold rating for SE stock and a buy rating for Grab, and although Grab really has performed much better in this period, we are still talking about a 20% decline i...
teamtime/iStock Editorial via Getty Images It’s been a long time since I wrote an article about Grab Holdings Limited ( GRAB ), and actually, my article was Grab vs. Sea ( SE ), which you can check out in full here . At the time, I gave a hold rating for SE stock and a buy rating for Grab, and although Grab really has performed much better in this period, we are still talking about a 20% decline in the stock. At the time, I already liked Grab's valuation, because the solid growth prospects could already justify the market cap; that is, it really wasn't a super undervalued company or anything like that, but it was a company that was growing a lot, with dozens of optionalities and relevant moats. And now, in my view, little has changed in the Grab case. The Q4 results were not so encouraging, it's true, but they in no way invalidate the thesis. Actually, what changed most was not the long-term case itself, which, in my view, remains intact. What changed most was the market's perception and, consequently, the valuation, which opened a more interesting margin of safety. Grab's Risks And Why Market Seems Disappointed Starting with Q4, Grab disappointed the market by missing revenue by $34 million. It is a minor difference, but in revenue, the surprise was almost -4%, which is already something to be considered. But besides that, the outlook was also not super encouraging in the market's view. For 2026, Grab gave guidance of 20% to 22% of revenue growth and 20% for the period between 2025 and 2028. Grab Presentation Okay, these figures are very good, but the truth is that the market expected a bit more. For instance, for 2026, the market still estimates a YoY growth of 21%, in the middle of the guidance range, but a few months ago, the expectation was slightly better. For 2027 and 2028, the expectation is also 19%, and note that there were revisions of -7% for the 2028 top line, besides the long-term revisions that occurred in the last month. Seeking Alpha And this is a r...