Key findings for Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) Weak Near-Term Sentiment Could Challenge Long-Term Strength Support is being tested. If it holds, expect resistance next. Exceptional 40.5:1 risk-reward setup targets 11.8% gain vs 0.3% risk Signals: 182.49 · 183.04 · 203.96 · 225.18 (bold = current price) 182.49 · · 203.96 · 225.18 Divergent Sentiment Across Horizons Suggests Choppy Conditions — ...
Key findings for Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) Weak Near-Term Sentiment Could Challenge Long-Term Strength Support is being tested. If it holds, expect resistance next. Exceptional 40.5:1 risk-reward setup targets 11.8% gain vs 0.3% risk Signals: 182.49 · 183.04 · 203.96 · 225.18 (bold = current price) 182.49 · · 203.96 · 225.18 Divergent Sentiment Across Horizons Suggests Choppy Conditions — See current SIGNALS for positioning and risk parameters. Institutional Trading Strategies Our AI models have generated three distinct trading strategies tailored to different risk profiles and holding periods. Each strategy incorporates sophisticated risk management parameters designed to optimize position sizing and minimize drawdown risk. Position Trading Strategy LONG Entry Zone $182.49 Target $203.96 Stop Loss $181.96 Momentum Breakout Strategy BREAKOUT Trigger $183.15 Target $187.80 Stop Loss $182.64 Risk Hedging Strategy SHORT Entry Zone $187.80 Target $178.41 Stop Loss $188.36
PeopleImages/iStock via Getty Images I had issued a Buy rating for the YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF ( TSLY ) in September last year because I had an uncertain thesis on Tesla at that time. My uncertainties about the underlying asset have remained since, but in between I have upgraded Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) to a Hold from a Sell recently. That upgrade in the underlying thesis warrants a r...
PeopleImages/iStock via Getty Images I had issued a Buy rating for the YieldMax TSLA Option Income Strategy ETF ( TSLY ) in September last year because I had an uncertain thesis on Tesla at that time. My uncertainties about the underlying asset have remained since, but in between I have upgraded Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) to a Hold from a Sell recently. That upgrade in the underlying thesis warrants a review of TSLY, and the situation actually looks even better for this income ETF. This is evident already in its performance since September, and I expect much of TSLY's performance to remain valid in the near future, as the environment has strongly turned favorable. Standout Performance Let us look at how Tesla and TSLY have moved from the time of my September Buy call on the latter. While Tesla is down by almost 11% since, TSLY's total returns are only down by ~4%. That is a huge 7 percentage point outperformance, something we did not even see in the deeper drawdown of April 2025 (only a 5% gap). Data by YCharts Data by YCharts TSLY's recent strong total returns can be attributed to a couple of factors working in favor of the strategy. First, the Tesla correction this time has been slower and less sharp. Structurally, a covered call provides limited protection on drawdowns. It can only magnify this impact if a drawdown is more protracted than happening over the course of a few days (like in April last year). That is, if Tesla is down by 35% within a month, the options overlay cushions the fall by the fixed premium gained from the covered call. This fixed cushion could add up if the drawdown happens over several months, which is what is happening today. The second factor has been in play for some time now, which is high volatility in the underlying that enables decent premiums to be reaped from sold options. Especially in a regime where upside capture is not the primary motive. The option layer obviously caps upsides too when Tesla rebounds strongly (below chart). That is t...
Torsten Asmus/iStock via Getty Images Dear Co-Investor As we close our fifth year managing the fund, we returned +30.78% in 2025 and +15.39% annualised since inception (benchmark return: 2025: +8.68% and +10.06% annualised since inception)1. The fourth quarter was volatile, resulting in a negative quarterly return1 - our first since 2022 - serving as a reminder that compounding is seldom a smooth ...
Torsten Asmus/iStock via Getty Images Dear Co-Investor As we close our fifth year managing the fund, we returned +30.78% in 2025 and +15.39% annualised since inception (benchmark return: 2025: +8.68% and +10.06% annualised since inception)1. The fourth quarter was volatile, resulting in a negative quarterly return1 - our first since 2022 - serving as a reminder that compounding is seldom a smooth progression. This letter also marks our firm's tenth anniversary, which serves as a waypoint on our 100-year journey to reflect on what we've learned, update you on our thinking, and discuss a few of our portfolio companies. Firstly, what did not go well in the quarter: Stronger ZAR: the strengthening rand has been a headwind for our largely non-ZAR-denominated portfolio. E-commerce Volatility: turbulence in our e-commerce portfolio companies, Sea Ltd ( SE ) (Southeast Asia) and MercadoLibre ( MELI ) (Latin America), amidst aggressive price wars. Blue Label / Cell C: continued uncertainty around Blue Label Unlimited (BLLLY) ('BLU') and the contentious Cell C IPO (more on this later). Launch of Our USD Global Opportunity Fund This week, we are launching our USD-denominated SaltLight Global Opportunity Fund. This new fund mirrors our existing opportunity set and will suit investors who've already externalised capital while opening a broader global investor base. The fund launches imminently —please reach out to us if you would like further information. Lessons from SaltLight's First Decade When we speak to potential investors, the first hurdle is often conceptual: SaltLight is deliberately hard to categorise. We're not cleanly "growth", "value", or even "tech". This ambiguity is not an identity crisis but a design choice, born of a painful lesson from the firm's early years. A decade ago, we ran what looked like a disciplined setup: one asset class (equities), one geographic market, and... focus. It felt logical. However, it was also structurally fragile. For five long years,...