The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has more than doubled since the current bull market began in October 2022, and the index currently trades near its record high. But the stock market may run into trouble when Kevin Warsh potentially replaces Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in May. Last week, the Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Warsh's nomination to the full Senate, but the vote fell enti...
The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has more than doubled since the current bull market began in October 2022, and the index currently trades near its record high. But the stock market may run into trouble when Kevin Warsh potentially replaces Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell in May. Last week, the Senate Banking Committee voted to advance Warsh's nomination to the full Senate, but the vote fell entirely along party lines for the first time in history. Democrats are concerned Warsh will push for unnecessary rate cuts to appease President Trump, who has repeatedly attacked Powell for keeping interest rates "too high." However, investors should be more concerned about Warsh's ambition to shrink the Fed's balance sheet, which could actually put upward pressure on interest rates. That could be bad news for the stock market, particularly because the S&P 500 already trades at a rich valuation. Continue reading
Federico Luppi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Ferrari N.V. ( RACE ) released its Q1 results, and we are back to comment on the financials after our Buy Rating upgrade . Our readers know that we have been long on Ferrari, and then after a meaningful valuation reset, we re-enter the equity investment. This was supported by 1) governance visibility with the renewal of the shareholder agreement, 2)...
Federico Luppi/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Ferrari N.V. ( RACE ) released its Q1 results, and we are back to comment on the financials after our Buy Rating upgrade . Our readers know that we have been long on Ferrari, and then after a meaningful valuation reset, we re-enter the equity investment. This was supported by 1) governance visibility with the renewal of the shareholder agreement, 2) continued expansion in lifestyle, and 3) tailor-made car offerings that well support earnings growth. Even with a more conservative multiple, Ferrari was screening as a buy; however, since our rating upgrade, shares have declined by more than 10% (Fig. 1). Author Rating Update Fig 1 Q1 Results and Our Upside Case The company kicked off 2026 with solid results. Ferrari delivered 3% revenue growth (6% at constant FX) to €1.85 billion (Fig. 2). Profitability remained strong with an EBITDA of €722 million and a margin of 39.1%. Going down to the P&L, at first sight, the core operating profit was only up 1% to €548 million compared to Q1 2025. However, Ferrari EBIT was up 8% at constant FX with a margin of 29.7%. EBITDA and EBIT increases were attributable to higher personalization and product MIX (F80 and Special Series). On the other hand, the company reported a higher D&A due to new model launches. At the net income level, the company was negatively impacted by FX headwinds and positively influenced by lower net financial expenses and a lower tax rate. This was attributable to the new Patent Box. This is an Italian tax incentive designed for companies that develop and exploit intellectual property, and companies can apply a "super deduction" of ~110% to R&D costs associated with eligible intangible assets. This is hard to forecast, but we believe it is not a one-off and could provide earnings growth upside. Ferrari Q1 Results in a Snap Fig 2 Why are we positive? The start of the year is usually the weakest quarter. However, the company reported supportive sales and margin pe...
What are the smartest business moves of all time? Amazon 's (NASDAQ: AMZN) decision to expand into cloud services has to rank near the top of the list. Amazon Web Services (AWS) now has an annualized revenue run rate of $150 billion. It generates nearly 60% of Amazon's total operating income. Now, Amazon could be about to have a new AWS-like business on its hands. CEO Andy Jassy told analysts in h...
What are the smartest business moves of all time? Amazon 's (NASDAQ: AMZN) decision to expand into cloud services has to rank near the top of the list. Amazon Web Services (AWS) now has an annualized revenue run rate of $150 billion. It generates nearly 60% of Amazon's total operating income. Now, Amazon could be about to have a new AWS-like business on its hands. CEO Andy Jassy told analysts in his company's fiscal 2026 first-quarter earnings call that Amazon Leo, which will soon provide satellite internet services, is "reminiscent of AWS" in some ways. Given AWS's impact on Amazon's stock trajectory, investors should be paying close attention to the company's latest endeavor. Image source: Getty Images. Continue reading
RistoArnaudov UK's service PMI at 52.7 in April, up from March's 11-month low of 50.5 and signalled a moderateexpansion of service sector output. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global UK PMI Composite Output Index registered 52.6, up from 50.3 in March and indicative of a moderate upturn in output levels. The S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI climbed to 53.7 in April 2026 from 51 in the prior month, sl...
RistoArnaudov UK's service PMI at 52.7 in April, up from March's 11-month low of 50.5 and signalled a moderateexpansion of service sector output. The seasonally adjusted S&P Global UK PMI Composite Output Index registered 52.6, up from 50.3 in March and indicative of a moderate upturn in output levels. The S&P Global UK Manufacturing PMI climbed to 53.7 in April 2026 from 51 in the prior month, slightly above the preliminary estimate of 53.6. "April data signalled a modest recovery in UK service sector output growth after the considerable loss of momentum seen in March. However, this improvement could easily prove short-lived as new business intakes remained subdued in comparison to the start of 2026. Survey respondents widely noted that the Middle East conflict and subsequent global supply chain disruptions had weighed heavily on business and consumer confidence." said Tim Moore, Economics Director at S&P Global Market Intelligence. More on UK GBP/USD Potential Trade Setups: Two Opportunities On The Bullish Retest And Breakout Play EUR/USD, GBP/USD Overview - FX Picks Up Again, U.S. Dollar Tumbles After The ECB And BOE Dollar Reasserts Itself As Global Tensions Shift Currency Markets Europe markets dip on renewed geopolitical concerns ECB surveys see inflation easing back to 2% target by 2027
Plans to be included in king’s speech will allow tougher action against proxies for foreign powers such as Iran UK politics live – latest updates Offenders who commit antisemitic attacks backed by foreign powers such as Iran will face 14 years in prison under legislation to be included in the king’s speech next week. Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, will be given the power under the National S...
Plans to be included in king’s speech will allow tougher action against proxies for foreign powers such as Iran UK politics live – latest updates Offenders who commit antisemitic attacks backed by foreign powers such as Iran will face 14 years in prison under legislation to be included in the king’s speech next week. Shabana Mahmood, the home secretary, will be given the power under the National Security Act to designate proxy groups, such as those thought to be behind the recent attacks on the Jewish community, as a foreign intelligence service. Continue reading...