Morsa Images/DigitalVision via Getty Images After recovering in the North American afternoon for the second consecutive session yesterday, the dollar has been sold again in Asia and Europe today. The market has mostly shrugged off news of new hostilities in the Middle East. As is often the case, the ceasefire has been frayed but appears to remain intact. Ostensibly, it runs until May 17. Late yest...
Morsa Images/DigitalVision via Getty Images After recovering in the North American afternoon for the second consecutive session yesterday, the dollar has been sold again in Asia and Europe today. The market has mostly shrugged off news of new hostilities in the Middle East. As is often the case, the ceasefire has been frayed but appears to remain intact. Ostensibly, it runs until May 17. Late yesterday, a federal trade court issued a narrow ruling on 2-1 vote to grant a request by a group of small businesses and Washington state to stop the US from collecting the Section 122 tariffs. The focus shifts to the US jobs report. Ahead of the report, the Fed funds futures have about two basis points of tightening discounted for this year, down from nearly eight at the beginning of the week. Given the uncertainties surrounding the Middle East, the market may pare risk exposure before the weekend. The dollar is mostly softer, and the drubbing of the UK’s Labour Party and the surprising drop in German industrial output failed to have much market impact. Prices G10 • The euro traded firmly yesterday but was unable to extend Wednesday’s rally, which took it to almost $1.1800. For the second consecutive session, the euro was sold in the North American afternoon. Disappointed longs appeared to move to the sidelines and sent the euro back to around $1.1735. Despite new hostilities in the Middle East and an unexpected decline in German industrial output, the euro has risen steadily and is challenging the $1.1775 area in Europe. There are options for 1.77 bln euros at $1.18 and 1.57 bn euros at $1.1750 that expire today. • What appears to be two rounds of BOJ intervention (April 30 and May 6) succeeded in driving the dollar from around JPY160.70 to almost JPY155 on Wednesday. It held above JPY156 yesterday and set the session high near JPY156.65 in North America. The dollar reached almost JPY157 today, where options for $620 mln expire today. Some observers look at the Fed’s custody...
Megadrought: We Just Experienced The Driest First Three Months Of A Year In US History Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, January, February and March were insanely dry . In fact, in all of U.S. history conditions have never been so dry during the first three months of the year. Just think about that for a moment. Not even during the Dust Bowl days of the 1930s were conditio...
Megadrought: We Just Experienced The Driest First Three Months Of A Year In US History Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog, January, February and March were insanely dry . In fact, in all of U.S. history conditions have never been so dry during the first three months of the year. Just think about that for a moment. Not even during the Dust Bowl days of the 1930s were conditions this dry. Many were hoping that 2026 would be the year when our multi-year drought would finally break. Needless to say, that hasn’t happened. Scientists are telling us that the southwestern U.S. is in the midst of the worst multi-year drought in at least 1,200 years. We really are experiencing a “megadrought”, and this is something that experts such as Steve Quayle and Dane Wigington have been talking about for a long time. Unfortunately, it appears that our seemingly endless “megadrought” has gone to an entirely new level in 2026. If it simply doesn’t rain, there is not much that farmers and ranchers can do. Right now approximately 63 percent of the continental United States is experiencing at least some level of drought, and the first quarter of this year was one for the record books … Winter wheat is dying in Kansas fields that should be green by now. Ranchers in New Mexico are selling cattle they cannot afford to feed. Reservoir levels along the Colorado River system are dropping weeks ahead of the season when mountain snowmelt is supposed to refill them. Across roughly 63% of the contiguous United States, drought rated moderate to exceptional on the federal scale has taken hold, and the first three months of 2026 were the driest the nation has recorded in 131 years of continuous measurement. This isn’t just a crisis. This is catastrophic. It appears that the winter wheat crop in the U.S. is going to be a disaster. At this stage, more than 81 percent of the Southern Plains is experiencing drought… Heading into the harvesting season for the key winter wheat crop, muc...
lcva2/iStock Editorial via Getty Images This is my first coverage of Microsoft Corporation ( MSFT ), and I must confess I was quite overwhelmed by the bullish sentiment on Seeking Alpha. Indeed, the Strong Buys from Wall Street and Quant reveal superb fundamentals, but if one looks closely, one sees a sudden change of heart, at least with respect to Quant. What was considered a Hold for the better...
lcva2/iStock Editorial via Getty Images This is my first coverage of Microsoft Corporation ( MSFT ), and I must confess I was quite overwhelmed by the bullish sentiment on Seeking Alpha. Indeed, the Strong Buys from Wall Street and Quant reveal superb fundamentals, but if one looks closely, one sees a sudden change of heart, at least with respect to Quant. What was considered a Hold for the better part of three years has flipped, literally overnight, and is now a Strong Buy, with nary a change in the five grades but a significant 144bps bump in the score between May 4 and 5. Seeking Alpha For the life of me, I cannot understand this sudden bullishness. The Street, at least, has been more consistent, having a Strong Buy rating for MSFT since October 2023 . Seeking Alpha Moreover, the stock itself has loyally, if somewhat meanderingly, followed the path of the Street's ever-higher price targets, and while sell-side enthusiasm appears to be flagging in recent months, it is only because year-ago expectations may have been a little unrealistic. My own thesis for MSFT is that strong revenue growth rates that we saw in Q3 2026 reported late last month may not translate into superior capital appreciation in the medium term. Until the market can validate the company's $190 billion intended CapEx for CY 2026 and see tangible returns on these unheard-of investment amounts, I believe it will remain on the fence with regard to MSFT stock. I rate MSFT a Sell for now but this DOES NOT equate to fully liquidating one's position, only to trimming it to where the opportunity cost is minimal but there is still significant skin in the game. To be even more precise, I would recommend cutting down one's MSFT weighting to where it comfortably fits into the "high-risk, high reward" component of one's portfolio, with room for other, similar stocks such as NVDA. In stark contrast to my Strong Sell thesis on NVDA , this hesitance to award a Buy or even a Hold rating to MSFT is not based on th...
Check out the companies making the biggest moves premarket: Akamai Technologies — Shares surged 27% after the cybersecurity and cloud computing company said a leading U.S.-based frontier model provider has committed to $1.8 billion over seven years for its Cloud Infrastructure Services. Akamai also reported a first-quarter adjusted earnings beat, while its revenue came in line with expectations. C...
Check out the companies making the biggest moves premarket: Akamai Technologies — Shares surged 27% after the cybersecurity and cloud computing company said a leading U.S.-based frontier model provider has committed to $1.8 billion over seven years for its Cloud Infrastructure Services. Akamai also reported a first-quarter adjusted earnings beat, while its revenue came in line with expectations. CoreWeave — The cloud infrastructure company slid 7% as its second-quarter revenue guidance disappointed Wall Street. CoreWeave sees revenue ranging from $2.45 billion to $2.6 billion. The midpoint of $2.53 billion fell short of the $2.69 billion LSEG consensus call. Microchip Technology — The stock rose 3% after the company reported an earnings and revenue beat in its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings report. It also delivered better-than-expected guidance for the current quarter. Microchip sees revenue coming in between $1.44 billion to nearly $1.47 billion in its fiscal first quarter, compared to analysts polled by FactSet expectations for $1.34 billion. IREN Limited — Shares jumped more than 8% after the data center owner and operator announced a deal with chipmaker giant Nvidia to deploy up to five gigawatts of artificial intelligence infrastructure. Nvidia will also invest $2.1 billion in the company. Gen Digital — The software stock popped 6% after sharing current-quarter and full-year revenue guidance that exceeded analysts' expectations, per FactSet. Gen Digital also posted a fiscal fourth-quarter adjusted earnings and revenue beat. Upwork — Shares tumbled 23% after the company announced a restructuring plan that includes reducing its workforce by 24%. Upwork said it was doing this to make sure the company remains profitable as work evolves. It also reported first-quarter earnings and revenue that came in slightly lower than expected, according to StreetAccount. Trade Desk — The advertising technology stock plummeted almost 13% after Trade Desk reported current-quarter...
Earnings Call Insights: ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Q1 2026 Management view "We're pleased to report that our first quarter results exceeded our expectations that we discussed in March." (Executive Chairman & President Matthew Wilks) He tied Q1 variability to weather, saying "harsh winter conditions... created some operational disruptions that resulted in approximately $9 million of adjusted EBIT...
Earnings Call Insights: ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) Q1 2026 Management view "We're pleased to report that our first quarter results exceeded our expectations that we discussed in March." (Executive Chairman & President Matthew Wilks) He tied Q1 variability to weather, saying "harsh winter conditions... created some operational disruptions that resulted in approximately $9 million of adjusted EBITDA impact," and added that the market tightened as "activity accelerated... characterized by calendar tightening and a reduction in white space." (Executive Chairman & President Wilks) "We have successfully implemented price increases for the majority of our active fleet." (Executive Chairman & President Wilks) He said the increases "layer in throughout the latter half of the second quarter and into the back half of the year" and concluded, "Based on these factors, we expect Q2 to trend higher sequentially." (Executive Chairman & President Wilks) "In March, we delivered record efficiency performance with average pumping hours per active fleet exceeding 600 hours." (Chief Executive Officer Ladd Wilks) He highlighted a fleet that "recorded an exceptional 682 pumping hours in the Eagle Ford in March" and added, "We have sustained efficiency levels through April and into May." (CEO Wilks) "The first quarter presented some challenges" in proppant, and "operational challenges and unplanned downtime have negatively impacted utilization and sales into the second quarter." (CEO Wilks) He said, "As a result, we expect volumes to be down from the first quarter." (CEO Wilks) "In the first quarter, revenues were $450 million" and "we generated $54 million of adjusted EBITDA with an adjusted EBITDA margin of 11.9%." (Chief Financial Officer Austin Harbour) He also said "free cash flow was negative $25 million" and that the winter storm "resulted in an estimated $9.3 million reduction to consolidated adjusted EBITDA." (CFO Harbour) Outlook "These increases layer in throughout the latter h...
Array Digital Infrastructure press release ( AD ): Q1 GAAP EPS of $2.08 misses by $1.61 . Revenue of $52.01M (+92.8% Y/Y) misses by $2.02M . On January 13, 2026, Array closed on the sale of certain 3.45 GHz and 700 MHz wireless spectrum licenses for $1,018.0 million and recorded a book gain of $156.6 million ($117.5 million net of tax expense) during the first quarter of 2026. 2026 Estimated Resul...
Array Digital Infrastructure press release ( AD ): Q1 GAAP EPS of $2.08 misses by $1.61 . Revenue of $52.01M (+92.8% Y/Y) misses by $2.02M . On January 13, 2026, Array closed on the sale of certain 3.45 GHz and 700 MHz wireless spectrum licenses for $1,018.0 million and recorded a book gain of $156.6 million ($117.5 million net of tax expense) during the first quarter of 2026. 2026 Estimated Results Array's current estimates of full-year 2026 results are shown below. Such estimates represent management's view as of May 8, 2026 and should not be assumed to be current as of any future date. Array undertakes no duty to update such estimates, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. There can be no assurance that final results will not differ materially from estimated results. 2026 Estimated Results Previous Current (Dollars in millions) Total operating revenues $200-$215 vs. $209.28M consensus Unchanged Adjusted OIBDA 1 (Non-GAAP) $50-$65 Unchanged Adjusted EBITDA 1 (Non-GAAP) $200-$215 Unchanged Capital expenditures $25-$35 Unchanged Click to enlarge Actual Results 2026 EstimatedResults Three Months Ended March 31, 2026 Year EndedDecember 31, 2025 (Dollars in millions) Net income from continuing operations (GAAP) N/A $180 $172 Add back: Income tax expense (benefit) N/A 52 (31) Income before income taxes (GAAP) $770-$785 $232 $141 Add back or deduct: Interest expense 45 7 28 Depreciation, amortization and accretion expense 50 13 48 EBITDA (Non-GAAP) 1 $865-$880 $252 $218 Add back or deduct: Expenses related to strategic alternatives review — — 2 Loss on impairment of licenses — — 48 (Gain) loss on asset disposals, net — 1 2 (Gain) loss on license sales and exchanges, net (590) (157) (6) Short-term imputed spectrum lease income (75) (34) (69) Adjusted EBITDA (Non-GAAP) 1 $200-$215 $62 $194 Deduct: Equity in earnings of unconsolidated entities 140 40 174 Interest and dividend income 10 4 19 Adjusted OIBDA (Non-GAAP) 1 $50-$65 $18 $1 Click to e...
Stock futures climbed on Friday as top semiconductor stocks gained ahead of a payrolls report that’s expected to show a modest increase in hiring. Oil held steady as the Iran ceasefire appeared intact even with overnight clashes near the Strait of Hormuz. S&P 500 futures were up 0.5% as of 7:20 a.m. in New York, and Nasdaq 100 contracts added 0.7%. Heavyweight chips stocks Nvidia Corp. , Micron Te...
Stock futures climbed on Friday as top semiconductor stocks gained ahead of a payrolls report that’s expected to show a modest increase in hiring. Oil held steady as the Iran ceasefire appeared intact even with overnight clashes near the Strait of Hormuz. S&P 500 futures were up 0.5% as of 7:20 a.m. in New York, and Nasdaq 100 contracts added 0.7%. Heavyweight chips stocks Nvidia Corp. , Micron Technology Inc. and Qualcomm Inc. rose while Microchip Technology Inc. climbed 2.4% after earnings beat estimates. West Texas Intermediate crude oil was little changed at about $95 a barrel. “ US equities are rebounding so far this morning as the Iran ceasefire looks to be holding despite the exchange of fire on Thursday,” Vital Knowledge founder Adam Crisafulli wrote in a note. A federal trade court finding President Trump’s 10% global tariffs unlawful is also positive, he said. Equities investors may be looking through the Iran conflict, according to Goldman Sachs strategist Christian Mueller-Glissmann . “A lot of the clients we speak to do very little in terms of taking a view on that conflict,” he told Bloomberg Television. He also highlighted strong earnings. In earnings news, payments company Block Inc. climbed 8.0% on a rosier outlook after AI-driven job cuts. Akamai Technologies Inc. soared 25% as it raised the outlook for its Cloud Infrastructure Services business after announcing a deal with a leading frontier AI-model provider. AI data-center operator CoreWeave Inc. fell 7.2% after a disappointing forecast sparked concerns about slowing growth. Overall earnings trends and better investor sentiment prompted RBC to raise their rolling 12-month-forward price target for the S&P 500 to 7,900 from 7,750. Strategist Lori Calvasina sees “more upside potential as stocks climb the proverbial wall of worry.” Meantime, on the consumer front, Bank of America US economist Aditya Bhave warned that card spending growth per household “slowed sharply across most categories (besides ...
How has this affected you? Have you been able to make alternative plans? People could see their travel plans upended as airlines cancel or consolidate flights to conserve jet fuel as the war in the Middle East disrupts supplies. Airlines are reviewing their timetables to see which flights can be cancelled in advance and cause the least delays. Continue reading...
How has this affected you? Have you been able to make alternative plans? People could see their travel plans upended as airlines cancel or consolidate flights to conserve jet fuel as the war in the Middle East disrupts supplies. Airlines are reviewing their timetables to see which flights can be cancelled in advance and cause the least delays. Continue reading...
Earnings Call Insights: Sabre (SABR) Q1 2026 Management View "We are pleased with our first quarter performance as we delivered strong operating and financial results," said CEO Kurt Ekert, highlighting that "Revenue grew 8% and normalized adjusted EBITDA grew 21% year-on-year to $169 million." Ekert also said Sabre "achieved our highest rate of air distribution bookings growth in more than 2 year...
Earnings Call Insights: Sabre (SABR) Q1 2026 Management View "We are pleased with our first quarter performance as we delivered strong operating and financial results," said CEO Kurt Ekert, highlighting that "Revenue grew 8% and normalized adjusted EBITDA grew 21% year-on-year to $169 million." Ekert also said Sabre "achieved our highest rate of air distribution bookings growth in more than 2 years of 6%" and that "this growth materially outpaced the industry." Ekert tied the near-term setup to geopolitics and fuel, noting "approximately 11% of Sabre's air distribution bookings either originate in or transit through the Middle East region" and that "Taken together, we believe the combination of these impacts resulted in an approximate 7 percentage point headwind to total air distribution bookings in the month of March." He added, "Overall, air distribution bookings in March were roughly flat," and said April trends "continued." On strategy and product, Ekert said, "Sabre is a cloud-native platform and is a true super aggregator," and argued partners are "building on us, not around us." He cited new AI commercialization, including: "We have recently gone live with our ChatGPT OpenAI plug-in for Virgin Australia" and "launched the first phase of our MindTrip and PayPal partnership with Sabre providing the core air booking layer," adding, "Demand for our agentic APIs and MCP server is strong, with well over 30 potential partners in various stages of pilot or production." CFO Michael Randolfi said, "Our first quarter financial results were solid and came in ahead of the guidance we provided on our fourth quarter call," and reaffirmed, "we are reaffirming our full year guidance for pro forma adjusted EBITDA and free cash flow." Randolfi reported Q1 total revenue of $760 million and said normalized adjusted EBITDA was $169 million; he also said free cash flow was "negative $155 million" and that the company ended the quarter with "a cash balance of $665 million." Outlook ...
Earnings Call Insights: Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV) Q1 2026 Management View “The first quarter performed ahead of our expectations,” and the company reported “net revenue was $36.2 million and adjusted EBITDA was $0.3 million,” marking “our second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA,” said CEO Jeff Yurcisin. Yurcisin said the company believes “the first quarter of 2026 re...
Earnings Call Insights: Grove Collaborative Holdings, Inc. (GROV) Q1 2026 Management View “The first quarter performed ahead of our expectations,” and the company reported “net revenue was $36.2 million and adjusted EBITDA was $0.3 million,” marking “our second consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA,” said CEO Jeff Yurcisin. Yurcisin said the company believes “the first quarter of 2026 represents the revenue trough for the year,” adding, “The platform disruption that defined 2025 is largely behind us, and Grove is turning the page.” He described 2026 priorities as “growth, deepening our authority in human health, reaccelerating advertising spend responsibly and translating a stronger customer experience into durable momentum.” Yurcisin attributed margin progress to the loyalty program, stating, “A meaningful contributor to that margin performance is Grove Green Rewards,” which is “moving away from broad discounting and free gifts towards rewards-based incentives that deliver a higher gross margin.” CFO Tom Siragusa said, “Repeat order rates among recent cohorts have recovered to levels consistent with what we saw prior to the e-commerce migration,” and added, “Gross margin is expanding in a way that reflects structural change.” Outlook Siragusa said, “We are raising the top and bottom line guidance.” For full year 2026, “we now expect net revenue of $142.5 million to $152.5 million, an increase from $140 million to $150 million and adjusted EBITDA of breakeven to positive low single-digit millions, an increase from approximately breakeven.” Management reiterated expectations that “the first quarter [will] represent the trough for the year with sequential improvement in each remaining quarter,” with Yurcisin emphasizing, “we expect net revenue in the first quarter of 2026 to be the bottom.” The analysts estimates data provided does not include a valid fiscal quarter format (Q1-Q4), so no estimates comparison is included. Financial Results The company reporte...