Vertigo3d/iStock via Getty Images By Benjamin Schroeder , Senior Rates Strategist Geopolitics have left eurozone bond spreads wider and falling oil prices may no longer ease the pressure Geopolitics continue to drive volatility, and as conflicting signals dampen hopes for a quick solution to the conflict, oil prices have drifted higher, closer to the US$100/bbl threshold again. The resulting marke...
Vertigo3d/iStock via Getty Images By Benjamin Schroeder , Senior Rates Strategist Geopolitics have left eurozone bond spreads wider and falling oil prices may no longer ease the pressure Geopolitics continue to drive volatility, and as conflicting signals dampen hopes for a quick solution to the conflict, oil prices have drifted higher, closer to the US$100/bbl threshold again. The resulting market volatility and more aggressive central bank pricing also feed into bond spreads. In eurozone government bond spreads, Italian spreads have suffered the most. The 10y spread over German Bunds had peaked towards 95bp by the end of March before easing lower to now stand at just above 70bp, still more than 10bp above levels observed just before the turmoil. Less impacted have been French spreads, but they also sit around 6bp wider compared to before the crisis. If we model the countries’ 10y OIS spreads since the end of January by just taking oil prices as input, we can already explain 83% of the Italian spread dynamic. Oil alone also explains close to 70% of French spread dynamics, but only about 23% of Spain’s. That, of course, is reflective of how much these economies are exposed to higher energy prices. Italy is reliant on gas imports, especially from the conflict region, while France is regarded as shielded to some extent by its higher nuclear energy share. We also see consensus 2026 GDP forecasts for Italy having been revised lower by around 0.3% to now 0.5% since the start of the crisis. We see a revision of similar magnitude for France, though, by 0.3% to 0.7%, whereas Spain has seen only a marginal downward revision to still stand at around expected 2.2% growth for this year. Deficit revisions since the crisis hit have been smaller, also given that fiscal responses overall have been quite limited in scale so far, with overall debt levels already strained in many cases. Our view is that downward potential for oil prices, even in a more benign outcome, remains limited ...
Earnings Call Insights: Broadcom (AVGO) Q2 fiscal 2026 Management View "In our fiscal Q2 2026, total revenue reached a record $22.2 billion, up 48% year-on-year, above our guidance on strength in AI semiconductors." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "During the quarter, bookings for AI semiconductors were over $30 billion against the $10.8 billion we shipped." (President, CEO & Execut...
Earnings Call Insights: Broadcom (AVGO) Q2 fiscal 2026 Management View "In our fiscal Q2 2026, total revenue reached a record $22.2 billion, up 48% year-on-year, above our guidance on strength in AI semiconductors." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "During the quarter, bookings for AI semiconductors were over $30 billion against the $10.8 billion we shipped." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "For the full year 2026, we expect to achieve AI semiconductor revenue of $56 billion, up approximately 180% from fiscal 2025." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "Now we expect this momentum to continue into fiscal year 2027 and reiterate our AI semiconductor revenue guidance to be in excess of $100 billion." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "To deliver this vision, we are creating the AI XPV platform with Apollo and Blackstone and other leading investors to deploy more than 20 gigawatts of compute capacity through 2028." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "The first tranche of this platform valued at $35 billion is, in fact, currently being launched by Apollo." (President, CEO & Executive Director Hock Tan) "As we announced, Kirsten will be retiring June 12. And today, we have joining us our incoming Chief Financial Officer, Amy Tenner." (Director of Investor Relations Ji Yoo) "Free cash flow in the quarter was a record $10.3 billion and represented 46% of revenue." (CFO & Chief Accounting Officer Kirsten Spears) Outlook Q3 consolidated revenue guidance of "$29.4 billion" (CFO & Chief Accounting Officer Spears) vs. $28,469,233,940 (analysts’ estimate) "We forecast semiconductor revenue of approximately $20.5 billion" and "Q3 AI semiconductor revenue of $16 billion, up over 200% year-on-year." (CFO & Chief Accounting Officer Spears) "For Q3, we forecast software revenue to be approximately $8.9 billion, up 31% year-on-year." (President, CEO & Executive Director Tan) "As the proportion of AI revenue significantly ...
Autodesk Stock Rally: Why Momentum May Not Be Done YetAutodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) Chief Financial Officer Janesh Moorjani said the company’s recent business model changes and planned acquisition of MaintainX are intended to position the design software maker for broader participation
Autodesk Stock Rally: Why Momentum May Not Be Done YetAutodesk (NASDAQ:ADSK) Chief Financial Officer Janesh Moorjani said the company’s recent business model changes and planned acquisition of MaintainX are intended to position the design software maker for broader participation
(RTTNews) - The China stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, advancing more than 25 points or 0.6 percent along the way. The Shanghai Composite Index now sit just above the 4,080-point plateau although the rally may stall on Thursday.
(RTTNews) - The China stock market has moved higher in back-to-back sessions, advancing more than 25 points or 0.6 percent along the way. The Shanghai Composite Index now sit just above the 4,080-point plateau although the rally may stall on Thursday.
Minimal gains on battlefield as Kyiv largely halts Moscow’s spring-summer offensive; Ukraine missile maker tests homegrown Patriot alternative. What we know on day 1,562 Russia’s failure to advance on the battlefield is why it is escalating its air raids on major Ukrainian cities , analysts say. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) thinktank said the strikes were also aimed at distracting from...
Minimal gains on battlefield as Kyiv largely halts Moscow’s spring-summer offensive; Ukraine missile maker tests homegrown Patriot alternative. What we know on day 1,562 Russia’s failure to advance on the battlefield is why it is escalating its air raids on major Ukrainian cities , analysts say. The Institute for the Study of War (ISW) thinktank said the strikes were also aimed at distracting from the impact of Ukrainian long-range attacks into Russia . The Finnish Black Bird Group’s latest data shows, according to Reuters, that Russian monthly territorial gains have fallen sharply compared with the same period last year. Ukrainian open-source group DeepState this week said Russian troops in May saw their smallest monthly gains since October 2023 – 14 sq km – despite a 37.5% spike in assaults by Russian forces. “Ukrainian forces have largely halted the Russian spring-summer 2026 offensive so far , and Russian forces in May 2026 have gained a presence in only a fraction of the territory they did in May 2025,” said an ISW assessment . This year, Ukrainian forces have also recaptured territory. John Helin, Black Bird Group analyst, said: “If the Russians can’t find ways to pick up momentum significantly, the goal of capturing Donbas this year is slipping out of their reach fast .” Mathieu Boulègue of the US-based Center for European Policy Analysis said Moscow’s war machine was also grappling with shrinking industrial capacity due to western sanctions , as well as dwindling stocks of nearly all weaponry. “They are really slowly, I think, changing the cost-benefit calculus of the Kremlin ,” he said of Russia’s appetite for continuing the war. Ukraine’s Fire Point, a missile and drone maker, said it had test-flown a ballistic missile meant for air defence as Kyiv wrangles with a dearth of ammunition for foreign-supplied missile shield systems such as Patriot. The Fire Point CEO, Iryna Terekh, said “a fully controlled manoeuvring flight of the FP-7.X missile” took place a...
In June 2022, India’s cricket board was preparing to auction the media rights to the Indian Premier League tournament, and expectations in Mumbai were stratospheric. Bankers and broadcasters were bracing for a bruising bidding war, and the board itself was counting on one company above all to push prices higher: Amazon.com Inc. Executives who favored the deal argued that cricket, one of India’s mo...
In June 2022, India’s cricket board was preparing to auction the media rights to the Indian Premier League tournament, and expectations in Mumbai were stratospheric. Bankers and broadcasters were bracing for a bruising bidding war, and the board itself was counting on one company above all to push prices higher: Amazon.com Inc. Executives who favored the deal argued that cricket, one of India’s most potent cultural and commercial properties, would cast a halo over the Amazon brand and further the company’s ambition of becoming the biggest e-commerce operation in the world’s most populous nation. Then hours before the auction, Amazon pulled out — ceding the rights to Walt Disney Co. and India’s Reliance Industries Ltd. The decision was jarring at the time because Amazon had been scooping up rights for soccer, rugby and tennis around the world. But in retrospect, it heralded a major shift in emphasis. Andy Jassy , just finishing up his first year as chief executive officer, was beginning to lower the curtain on the Jeff Bezos era, when Amazon was prone to making big bets that might not pay off for many years. By walking away from the cricket rights, which cost Disney and Reliance $6.2 billion , Jassy was sending an implicit message to his team: India remained a priority, but the years of heavy spending and cash burn were over. “It certainly does look like they’ve taken their foot off the gas,” Bernstein analyst Mark Shmulik said in a recent interview. Amazon’s global expansion has long rested on a simple conviction: capital, logistics and patience could overwhelm local rivals and political friction. Lose money early. Build scale. Dominate later. The strategy has had mixed results — largely paying off in Japan, Germany and the UK but sputtering in China. India, vast, fast-growing and democratic, was supposed to be the ultimate proof that the model would succeed outside the US and a handful of smaller industrialized countries. Thirteen years later, it’s clear the model ...
Walter Serrano, a 39-year old nurse, does a routine check of his solar installation in Manila, Philippines, May 12, 2026. Photographer: VEEJAY VILLAFRANCA
Walter Serrano, a 39-year old nurse, does a routine check of his solar installation in Manila, Philippines, May 12, 2026. Photographer: VEEJAY VILLAFRANCA
Beijing could conduct military operations, bolster its electronic warfare strength and roll out trade sanctions in response to Tokyo and Manila’s deepening defence cooperation, according to Chinese experts. Last week, Manila and Tokyo announced they would launch negotiations on the maritime boundary of their exclusive economic zones and continental shelves around Taiwan, a move that Beijing called...
Beijing could conduct military operations, bolster its electronic warfare strength and roll out trade sanctions in response to Tokyo and Manila’s deepening defence cooperation, according to Chinese experts. Last week, Manila and Tokyo announced they would launch negotiations on the maritime boundary of their exclusive economic zones and continental shelves around Taiwan, a move that Beijing called “completely illegal and invalid”. In a report on Wednesday, the Beijing Lande Information...
As artificial intelligence steps out of the digital realm and into the real world, the race to build the embodied “brains” powering next-generation robots has become the newest battleground in tech competition between China and the United States. Two days after US chip giant Nvidia launched its Cosmos 3 model – designed to help physical AI “think before it acts” – a Chinese start-up stole the spot...
As artificial intelligence steps out of the digital realm and into the real world, the race to build the embodied “brains” powering next-generation robots has become the newest battleground in tech competition between China and the United States. Two days after US chip giant Nvidia launched its Cosmos 3 model – designed to help physical AI “think before it acts” – a Chinese start-up stole the spotlight. On Wednesday, Hangzhou, Zhejiang province-based Spirit AI said its foundation model for...
Residents of a city in central China have come to the aid of a poor 19-year-old student who works more than 10 hours a day as a food delivery rider to earn money to cover his tuition fees. Tang Wei, from Xinhuang county in Hunan province, was admitted by a technical college in Changsha, the capital city of the province, the Changsha Evening News reported. He will kick off his college life in Septe...
Residents of a city in central China have come to the aid of a poor 19-year-old student who works more than 10 hours a day as a food delivery rider to earn money to cover his tuition fees. Tang Wei, from Xinhuang county in Hunan province, was admitted by a technical college in Changsha, the capital city of the province, the Changsha Evening News reported. He will kick off his college life in September. In early May, Tang left his hometown, heading to Changsha and hoping to find a temporary...
Cooler Master, a global leader in thermal solutions, and Spingence, a premier Taiwanese AI architecture developer, jointly announced their global AI manufacturing transformation achievements at NVIDIA GTC Taipei 2026. The partners have successfully deployed the NVIDIA three-computers for physical AI across four major production bases in Taiwan, China, Vietnam, and the United States. By deeply inte...
Cooler Master, a global leader in thermal solutions, and Spingence, a premier Taiwanese AI architecture developer, jointly announced their global AI manufacturing transformation achievements at NVIDIA GTC Taipei 2026. The partners have successfully deployed the NVIDIA three-computers for physical AI across four major production bases in Taiwan, China, Vietnam, and the United States. By deeply integrating AI visual inspection agents, thermal physics simulation, digital twins, and enterprise knowl
(RTTNews) - The Australian market is trading notably lower on Thursday, reversing the gains in the previous session, following the broadly negative cues from Wall Street overnight. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 is falling well below the 8,750 level, with weakness across most sectors
(RTTNews) - The Australian market is trading notably lower on Thursday, reversing the gains in the previous session, following the broadly negative cues from Wall Street overnight. The benchmark S&P/ASX 200 is falling well below the 8,750 level, with weakness across most sectors
johnkellerman/iStock via Getty Images This article is part of a series that provides an ongoing analysis of the changes made to TCI Fund Management's 13F portfolio on a quarterly basis. It is based on their regulatory 13F Form filed on 05/15/2026. Please visit our Tracking Chris Hohn's TCI Fund Management 13F Portfolio article for an idea on their investment philosophy and our last update for the ...
johnkellerman/iStock via Getty Images This article is part of a series that provides an ongoing analysis of the changes made to TCI Fund Management's 13F portfolio on a quarterly basis. It is based on their regulatory 13F Form filed on 05/15/2026. Please visit our Tracking Chris Hohn's TCI Fund Management 13F Portfolio article for an idea on their investment philosophy and our last update for the fund's moves during Q4 2025. This quarter, TCI Fund Management's 13F portfolio value decreased from $53.65B to $45.17B. The number of positions remained steady at 9. The top three holdings are at ~63%, while the top five are close to ~84% of the 13F assets: GE Aerospace, Visa, Moody's, S&P Global, and Canadian Pacific. Note: In May 2025, during an interview with Chris Hohn, it was disclosed that they hold significant stakes in Safran SA ( SAFRY ) and Aena SME SA ( ANYYY ). Stake Increases Visa Inc. ( V ) : The ~20% of the portfolio stake in Visa was built in 2020 at prices between ~$147 and ~$219. H2 2021 had seen a ~64% stake increase at prices between ~$196 and ~$249, while in the next quarter there was a ~14% reduction at prices between ~$191 and ~$235. The first three quarters of 2023 also saw a ~18% trimming. There was a ~15% stake increase during Q2 2025 at prices between ~$299 and ~$376. That was followed by a ~47% stake increase during the next quarter at prices between ~$329 and ~$360. There was a ~10% further increase this quarter at prices between ~$294 and ~$359. The stock is now at ~$312. Moody's Corp. ( MCO ) : MCO is a top three ~14% position that has been in the portfolio since their first 13F filing in Q2 2015. At the time, the stake was already fairly large at 3.9M shares. Recent activity follows. H1 2022 saw a ~25% stake increase at prices between ~$254 and ~$386. That was followed with a similar increase in the two quarters through Q1 2023 at prices between ~$235 and ~$330. Q4 2023 saw a ~16% further increase at prices between ~$302 and ~$392. The stock ...