MengWen Guo/E+ via Getty Images Investment thesis Semtech Corporation ( SMTC ) is pivoting from a post-Sierra Wireless business into an AI/data-center connectivity growth company. However, the Sierra acquisition appears to have structurally reduced Semtech’s margin and returns. While there is topline growth, improvement in unit economics is challenging. Unfortunately, the market is pricing the com...
MengWen Guo/E+ via Getty Images Investment thesis Semtech Corporation ( SMTC ) is pivoting from a post-Sierra Wireless business into an AI/data-center connectivity growth company. However, the Sierra acquisition appears to have structurally reduced Semtech’s margin and returns. While there is topline growth, improvement in unit economics is challenging. Unfortunately, the market is pricing the company with both topline growth and better unit economics. Introduction I first covered Semtech in Sep 2024, about a year after the acquisition of Sierra Wireless. In 2024, the company had to write off almost USD 890 million of goodwill and assets, mainly related to this acquisition. There was also a reduction in its gross profit margins. These resulted in a significant loss. The financial impact of the Sierra Wireless acquisition extended well beyond 2024. In 2025, there were debt extinguishment losses related to acquisition financing, and in 2026, there were additional goodwill impairments. Despite the large goodwill impairments and weaker-than-expected economics, the Sierra Wireless operations remain deeply integrated within Semtech’s original businesses. In my earlier article, I posited that the company was undergoing a turnaround with 2 paths for my valuation—cut losses or rebuild. I failed to see a third path—data-center connectivity growth. The biggest thing I missed was the AI/data-center upside. In Q1 FY2027, signal integrity revenue rose 39% year-over-year, driven mainly by data center sales. Management’s Q1 FY2027 presentation also highlighted data-center sales of $71.6 million, up 39% year-over-year. Given this and the potential AI bubble, this analysis assesses whether Semtech is now an AI/data-center connectivity growth company, or is it still fundamentally a low-quality post-Sierra turnaround story? To answer the question, I considered the following: Did the Sierra acquisition permanently impair the business model? Has Semtech’s economic engine structurally imp...
The European Union is at risk of losing more than 1 million jobs this year over the Iran war’s economic fallout and rising global competition, the bloc’s executive warned. According to a European Commission analysis shared with Bloomberg News, around 560,000 jobs could be cut this year due to the energy costs, while around 600,000 jobs are under pressure in the automotive industry. The sectors mos...
The European Union is at risk of losing more than 1 million jobs this year over the Iran war’s economic fallout and rising global competition, the bloc’s executive warned. According to a European Commission analysis shared with Bloomberg News, around 560,000 jobs could be cut this year due to the energy costs, while around 600,000 jobs are under pressure in the automotive industry. The sectors most affected by the energy price spike are likely to be construction, metals, chemicals and transport. The figures are a dramatic illustration of the EU’s mounting economic woes. While leaders are trying to accelerate plans to boost the continent’s competitiveness, the bloc is still falling behind the US and China at an increasing rate. European firms have been paying extra energy costs for years after the bloc cut its reliance on Russian oil and gas following Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. The situation only grew worse this year after Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, a vital route for global fuel shipments. On top of that, European companies are struggling to compete with American and Chinese rivals on digital and green technologies, such as electric vehicles, solar panels and artificial intelligence. The EU is working on various initiatives to try and protect its local industries from such pressures. The commission said that around 85,000 jobs related to battery production, a key component for electric vehicles, are at risk. Additionally, nearly 60,000 jobs related to solar panel manufacturing could be hit. The commission did not immediately reply to a request for comment. Politico reported on the job loss estimates earlier on Wednesday. On Wednesday, the EU executive will release its assessments of how governments are handling their commitments to reduce deficits. It will also issue recommendations for how countries should improve their economies and labor markets. The commission is expected to emphasize the importance of national anti-poverty strategies...
A 74-year-old sanitation worker sweeps the street in Jiaxing, Zhejiang. Photo: VCG China is set to implement a landmark regulation next month that aims to protect the basic rights of its rapidly growing cohort of older workers. The move, analysts say, will significantly reshape relations between employers and senior staff, but could also drive up business costs and trigger a temporary hiring contr...
A 74-year-old sanitation worker sweeps the street in Jiaxing, Zhejiang. Photo: VCG China is set to implement a landmark regulation next month that aims to protect the basic rights of its rapidly growing cohort of older workers. The move, analysts say, will significantly reshape relations between employers and senior staff, but could also drive up business costs and trigger a temporary hiring contraction for older employees. The Interim Provisions on the Protection of Basic Rights and Interests of Over-age Workers, issued by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Security, will take effect on July 1. As a key supporting measure for China’s broader delayed-retirement initiative, the new rules establish a distinct legal status for “over-age workers” — those who continue to work after reaching the statutory retirement age. For the first time, it guarantees them core rights such as work injury insurance.
India is poised to announce steps to draw more foreign investments by reducing taxes and removing caps on the ownership of some bonds as soon as this week, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The cabinet on Wednesday is expected to consider a significant cut in the taxes paid by global funds on the nation’s bonds, the people said, asking not to be identified as the details are privat...
India is poised to announce steps to draw more foreign investments by reducing taxes and removing caps on the ownership of some bonds as soon as this week, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The cabinet on Wednesday is expected to consider a significant cut in the taxes paid by global funds on the nation’s bonds, the people said, asking not to be identified as the details are private. The cabinet will also consider whether it should eliminate the 20% levy on interest earned from bonds, or reduce it to a bare minimum, they said. Separately, the Reserve Bank of India is likely to designate some long-tenor sovereign notes as fully accessible, allowing overseas investors to buy them without limits, they said. The previous tweak to the list of government securities available under this route was in 2024, when the central bank removed 14- and 30-year bonds. The Finance Ministry and the Reserve Bank of India didn’t respond to emails seeking comment. Bloomberg News reported last month that India is considering the tax cuts following a recommendation by the central bank. The rupee’s slide to record lows has prompted authorities to step up efforts to stem its decline, with Prime Minister Narendra Modi calling on citizens to conserve foreign exchange amid a surge in oil import costs. The currency has been hurt by several factors, including US trade tariffs, record foreign fund outflows, and the oil shock caused by the Iran war, all of which have strained the country’s finances. Read More: India’s High Taxes Are a Buzz-Kill for Likes of Carson Block The rupee hit an all-time low of 96.9650 on May 20, but has since rebounded as the central bank stepped up support and oil prices eased after renewed US-Iran peace efforts. The currency is the second-worst performer in Asia this year, down more than 6% versus the dollar. The government is also likely to notify its plan to permit individual persons resident outside India, or PROIs, to invest in shares of listed Indian ...
Funtap/iStock via Getty Images Introduction In my view, Aon plc has a strong business model and stable revenues, though its current valuation shows that future growth possibilities are partly priced in. Aon plc ( AON ) takes up a strong position in the global risk management and reinsurance market; its financials are showing signs of normalization after a big acquisition period but are still slowe...
Funtap/iStock via Getty Images Introduction In my view, Aon plc has a strong business model and stable revenues, though its current valuation shows that future growth possibilities are partly priced in. Aon plc ( AON ) takes up a strong position in the global risk management and reinsurance market; its financials are showing signs of normalization after a big acquisition period but are still slower. After the 2024 $13.4 billion NFP acquisition , the company 's revenues in fiscal year 2025 reached $17.2 billion, and in 2026 , forecasts are showing a possibility to exceed the $18 billion level. This means an annual growth of 4.6%, which is in line with the sector 's average. Operating margin in 2026 Q1 had reached 34.1%, which is an improvement compared to 30.9% in last year 's Q1, though integration costs are still limiting net profit growth. The stock is currently traded with a forward P/E of 20.3x, which is around the ten-year average of this company; therefore, the stock is not undervalued. Cash flows in the last 12 months added up to $3.4 billion, though total debt remains high and is reaching around $14.66 billion, which is why capital return to shareholders through buybacks is limited. The dividend yield is reaching 1.02%, which shows that the company is prioritizing its balance sheet strengthening rather than direct payments. A business model in which 80% of the revenues are recurring gives stability, though a high P/E ratio when the growth is average raises a risk for a possible price correction if the upcoming quarter's results do not meet expectations. Business Overview Aon plc's business model in 2026 is strictly fragmented into four operating segments , whose basis is commercial risk solutions, which are generating 44% of the total revenues. This segment had an organic growth of 7% in Q1, which shows a direct dependency on global insurance rate movement and a limited space for rapid expansion. The reinsurance segment, which makes up around 25% of the turn...
There are multiple opportunities for tokenization, digitization, blockchain adoption in the Middle East, particularly in the banking sector, said Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital and former top boss at Barclays. "There's nowhere better than this center to have a second center of trading of tokenized assets to have the financial services industry here, and particularly the banks in Abu Dh...
There are multiple opportunities for tokenization, digitization, blockchain adoption in the Middle East, particularly in the banking sector, said Bob Diamond, CEO at Atlas Merchant Capital and former top boss at Barclays. "There's nowhere better than this center to have a second center of trading of tokenized assets to have the financial services industry here, and particularly the banks in Abu Dhabi and Dubai and Doha, really using blockchain as the underlying technology of their financial institutions," Diamond told CNBC's " Access Middle East ." Middle Eastern banks are at an advantage as they are more agile with less worries about legacy systems, according to Diamond. Diamond said digital platforms offering 24/7 trading, instant settlement, auditable records and lower costs compared to traditional exchanges could add depth to capital markets, especially as major private companies such as SpaceX move toward IPOs. "One of the real advantages in Abu Dhabi, where they're attracting a lot of the tokenization efforts here, is the ability to attract talent, the ability to attract capital, but also a very, very strong regulatory environment and a very, very strong infrastructure, so we're going to see continued developments," he said. Tokenized finance refers to using blockchain-style technology to represent financial assets as digital tokens. Diamond also sees resilience in the U.S., particularly among middle-market companies, citing tailwinds as government agencies cut regulation. "U.S. corporates are performing extremely well in this environment, and I think a lot of the reason is removing regulation, you know, as an obstacle in giving them an opportunity to really drive execution," Diamond said, adding support from the Treasury, the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. "One of the things that's always stood out to me in the US in terms of that economy staying strong in times of great volatility is the depth of the capital ...