Pla2na/iStock via Getty Images How Volatility Can Benefit Fundamentals Letter Summary Amid a variety of crosscurrents and rich valuations, the U.S. equity market as proxied by the S&P 500 declined modestly in the first quarter of 2026. Beneath the surface of this headline decline, however, individual stock movements were much more varied with many underperforming or outperforming by 20 to 40 perce...
Pla2na/iStock via Getty Images How Volatility Can Benefit Fundamentals Letter Summary Amid a variety of crosscurrents and rich valuations, the U.S. equity market as proxied by the S&P 500 declined modestly in the first quarter of 2026. Beneath the surface of this headline decline, however, individual stock movements were much more varied with many underperforming or outperforming by 20 to 40 percentage points. Rather than add to the noise of voices opining about the various headwinds facing the market and the related investor angst that contributed to this wide dispersion in individual stock returns, we want to use this letter to focus on the opportunities it has created. Specifically, by systematically rotating out of names that have appreciated in price and gotten more expensive and reinvesting those proceeds into less expensive names, there is an ability to increase underlying free cash flows at the portfolio level (see Figure 1 below) on top of the growth generated by the underlying companies. We think this rebalancing benefit is underappreciated and is a powerful force that explains the outperformance of free-cash-flow-based value strategies over time. While valuation changes can cause shorter-term returns to swing around, longer-term returns are a product of fundamentals. We are focused on those fundamentals and will continue to take advantage of market turmoil to the benefit of our value-driven strategies. Performance Summary U.S. Fundamental Stability & Value (U.S. FSV): Amid a modest decline for US stocks in Q1, our U.S. FSV strategy net of fee return of -1.41% bested the S&P 500's comparable gain of -4.35% but lagged the Russell 1000 Value's 2.07% gain where a large energy weight supported returns. Annualized net of fee performance since inception is now 0.32% behind that of the S&P 500 and 3.61% ahead of the Russell 1000 Value Index. U.S. Small/Mid Cap Quality & Value (SMID QV): Our SMID QV strategy returned 5.94% in Q1 2026 on a total return basis net of...
Divers are installing waterproof speakers in the ocean to help pull a coral reef near Jamaica back from the brink The northern coast of Jamaica once served as the backdrop for scenes in the James Bond thriller No Time to Die. But today, beneath those same turquoise waves, a real-life mission is unfolding: the race to pull a dying coral reef back from the brink. However, the tools a team of divers ...
Divers are installing waterproof speakers in the ocean to help pull a coral reef near Jamaica back from the brink The northern coast of Jamaica once served as the backdrop for scenes in the James Bond thriller No Time to Die. But today, beneath those same turquoise waves, a real-life mission is unfolding: the race to pull a dying coral reef back from the brink. However, the tools a team of divers are carrying to the seafloor are not what you would expect to find in a marine biologist’s kit. They are installing waterproof speakers at the bottom of the ocean, and the man leading the team is not a scientist. Continue reading...
When Justin Finn’s two elementary-schoolers come home, they’re not turning on the TV or grabbing an iPad. Instead, they head straight to the phone — not a smartphone, but a landline. Calls come in on their cream-colored Tin Can, the $100 landline-inspired, Wi-Fi-enabled device that’s gone viral over the last 12 months. “It’s not uncommon for the phone to start ringing within minutes,” Finn said. “...
When Justin Finn’s two elementary-schoolers come home, they’re not turning on the TV or grabbing an iPad. Instead, they head straight to the phone — not a smartphone, but a landline. Calls come in on their cream-colored Tin Can, the $100 landline-inspired, Wi-Fi-enabled device that’s gone viral over the last 12 months. “It’s not uncommon for the phone to start ringing within minutes,” Finn said. “There is a real excitement around it that we have not seen with many other additions within the home.” Since debuting in April 2025, the retro-styled device has become a hit, with hundreds of thousands sold, mostly thanks to word-of-mouth recommendations, according to the company. That’s despite limited marketing and a small fundraising haul, including $3.5 million over the summer and a $12 million seed round in December led by Greylock Partners. The Tin Can plugs into a wall outlet and includes a speakerphone, speed dial buttons and an answering machine feature. The phone, which also comes in assorted bright colors, lets people make free calls between Tin Cans and to emergency services. Users can also pay $10 a month for the ability to ring and receive calls from parent-approved external numbers. The device is available in the US and Canada. Tin Can has found a welcome reception at a time when parents, educators and lawmakers are searching for an antidote to constant screen time. Countries around the world are considering social media curbs for young users after Australia enacted a ban for under-16s. In the US, meanwhile, Meta Platforms Inc. and Alphabet Inc.’s Google lost a landmark court case in Los Angeles last month brought by a 20-year-old woman who said her addiction to these platforms fueled mental health problems. Read More: Meta, YouTube Verdict Escalates Calls for Teen Social Media Limits The Finn family received their Tin Can for free as part of a parent-led initiative at Nativity Parish School outside of Kansas City — one of a growing number of schools seeding ...
The wind industry smells opportunity in Europe. At an expo in Madrid this week, the convention floor was abuzz as hundreds of European, American, Japanese and Korean exhibitors vied to pitch their products, knowing the continent urgently needs to shore up its energy security amid the US-Israel war on Iran. But there was one glaring absence: not a single company operating a booth was Chinese, with ...
The wind industry smells opportunity in Europe. At an expo in Madrid this week, the convention floor was abuzz as hundreds of European, American, Japanese and Korean exhibitors vied to pitch their products, knowing the continent urgently needs to shore up its energy security amid the US-Israel war on Iran. But there was one glaring absence: not a single company operating a booth was Chinese, with China’s participants only networking from the sidelines. At a time when many in Europe seek a rapid...
beast01/iStock via Getty Images Choppy markets can create anxiety, but they can also be navigated with a few disciplined habits. Christian Medeiros, VP, Director and Portfolio Manager, Asset Allocation, TD Asset Management, joins MoneyTalk to discuss the importance of diversification, paying attention to market pricing and avoiding buying into overly bullish or bearish narratives. Transcript Greg ...
beast01/iStock via Getty Images Choppy markets can create anxiety, but they can also be navigated with a few disciplined habits. Christian Medeiros, VP, Director and Portfolio Manager, Asset Allocation, TD Asset Management, joins MoneyTalk to discuss the importance of diversification, paying attention to market pricing and avoiding buying into overly bullish or bearish narratives. Transcript Greg Bonnell: A ceasefire extension in the Middle East has done little to tamp down global uncertainty. But according to our guest today, investors need to be thinking beyond headline volatility. Joining us now to discuss is Christian Medeiros, VP, Director, and Portfolio Manager for Asset Allocation with TD Asset Management. Christian, great to have you back on the program. Christian Medeiros: Great to be back. Greg Bonnell: Alright, so we have the situation we're in now, where we're not exactly sure where we're headed. We haven't been really sure where we're headed for several weeks when it comes to the Middle East. How do you start thinking about that headline volatility? Because we have been whipsawed. Christian Medeiros: Yeah, investors have been buffeted with headlines on either side. Ceasefire, no ceasefire, escalation, de-escalation. I think the important thing for investors is to take a step back. And as we've talked about before on this program, when you have a geopolitical or exogenous shock, it's to think about how does that shock transmit through the real economy, then how does that affect different asset classes, and is it really something that necessitates a change in your portfolio? And the other thing I'd also point out, too, is building a portfolio construction that does well regardless of regime; that you have things in the portfolio that will work in periods of these shocks, so that you do have a smoother journey; and that your P&L and your emotions are not swinging around with headlines; and that you're more comfortable managing through these periods of time...
NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) isn't your average utility. It has grown its adjusted earnings per share at a 10% compound annual rate over the last decade, more than four times faster than the average utility (2.2%). Several factors have fueled its robust growth rate, including operating the largest electric utility in Florida and focusing on developing clean energy infrastructure. The company's growt...
NextEra Energy (NYSE: NEE) isn't your average utility. It has grown its adjusted earnings per share at a 10% compound annual rate over the last decade, more than four times faster than the average utility (2.2%). Several factors have fueled its robust growth rate, including operating the largest electric utility in Florida and focusing on developing clean energy infrastructure. The company's growth engine was running at full power during the first quarter. Here's a look at those numbers and what the leading energy stock sees ahead. Image source: Getty Images. Continue reading
Against US Dominance: Europe's Hormuz Mission And The Illusion Of Geopolitical Power Submitted by Thomas Kolbe The loss of Europe’s geopolitical power is the defining decline narrative of our time. As Europeans, we are condemned to become unwilling witnesses of continental decay . And in no field of politics does the toxic amalgam of eco-socialism, elite arrogance, and rampant infantilism become m...
Against US Dominance: Europe's Hormuz Mission And The Illusion Of Geopolitical Power Submitted by Thomas Kolbe The loss of Europe’s geopolitical power is the defining decline narrative of our time. As Europeans, we are condemned to become unwilling witnesses of continental decay . And in no field of politics does the toxic amalgam of eco-socialism, elite arrogance, and rampant infantilism become more visible than at the level of the European Union. What we are witnessing in Brussels and the leading capitals of the EU are desperate attempts at coordinated foreign policy – and the realization that the cooperation of powerless individual entities does not necessarily lead to better outcomes than bilateral cooperation. That this realization must have reached the highest circles of European politics could be observed at the end of this week. The four “big ones” – Germany, the United Kingdom, France, and Italy – called for a maritime alliance and the protection of the Strait of Hormuz. Fifty additional states – according to the initiators of this rather peculiar political camouflage – are expected to join the European alliance. Leadership claims are naturally being made by the former maritime powers Britain and France, above all France, whose aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle may stand as the last remaining symbol of Europe’s great naval tradition at the center of these activities – if one can even approach the Persian Gulf at all. The situation remains fragile: the currently stable ceasefire ends on Wednesday. And negotiations between the United States, Israel, and Iran are entering their final phase. From a European perspective, our assumptions are once again confirmed: the EU and its slowly re-approaching partner the United Kingdom are staging a political cabaret. First came the wait-and-see approach until Americans and Israel had militarily decided the situation. Meanwhile, some NATO members refused cooperation with the United States, only to now, after everything ha...
In recent trading, shares of Apple Hospitality REIT Inc (Symbol: APLE) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $13.00, changing hands for $13.14/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgr
In recent trading, shares of Apple Hospitality REIT Inc (Symbol: APLE) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $13.00, changing hands for $13.14/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgr
Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself.
Looking at the underlying holdings of the ETFs in our coverage universe at ETF Channel, we have compared the trading price of each holding against the average analyst 12-month forward target price, and computed the weighted average implied analyst target price for the ETF itself.
In recent trading, shares of WillScot Holdings Corp (Symbol: WSC) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $22.39, changing hands for $22.49/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade o
In recent trading, shares of WillScot Holdings Corp (Symbol: WSC) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $22.39, changing hands for $22.49/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade o
In recent trading, shares of Halliburton Company (Symbol: HAL) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $39.62, changing hands for $39.65/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on v
In recent trading, shares of Halliburton Company (Symbol: HAL) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $39.62, changing hands for $39.65/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on v
In recent trading, shares of United Rentals Inc (Symbol: URI) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $927.42, changing hands for $986.78/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on
In recent trading, shares of United Rentals Inc (Symbol: URI) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $927.42, changing hands for $986.78/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on
In recent trading, shares of Sanmina Corp (Symbol: SANM) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $179.17, changing hands for $180.02/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on valua
In recent trading, shares of Sanmina Corp (Symbol: SANM) have crossed above the average analyst 12-month target price of $179.17, changing hands for $180.02/share. When a stock reaches the target an analyst has set, the analyst logically has two ways to react: downgrade on valua
Host countries limited to five ‘foreign’ matches a season Bar raised for clearance and Fifa would have right of veto Domestic leagues would be limited to staging one game a season in foreign countries under Fifa proposals that significantly raise the bar for controversial “international matches” to be approved. A new protocol, developed by a Fifa working group set up almost two years ago, would br...
Host countries limited to five ‘foreign’ matches a season Bar raised for clearance and Fifa would have right of veto Domestic leagues would be limited to staging one game a season in foreign countries under Fifa proposals that significantly raise the bar for controversial “international matches” to be approved. A new protocol, developed by a Fifa working group set up almost two years ago, would bring in clearer regulations to police the divisive issue and introduce strict limits. Continue reading...