Tesla (TSLA) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future. Shares of this electric car maker have returned -12% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2.8% change. The Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry, to which Tesla belongs, has...
Tesla (TSLA) has recently been on Zacks.com's list of the most searched stocks. Therefore, you might want to consider some of the key factors that could influence the stock's performance in the near future. Shares of this electric car maker have returned -12% over the past month versus the Zacks S&P 500 composite's -2.8% change. The Zacks Automotive - Domestic industry, to which Tesla belongs, has lost 6.5% over this period. Now the key question is: Where could the stock be headed in the near term? Although media reports or rumors about a significant change in a company's business prospects usually cause its stock to trend and lead to an immediate price change, there are always certain fundamental factors that ultimately drive the buy-and-hold decision. Earnings Estimate Revisions Here at Zacks, we prioritize appraising the change in the projection of a company's future earnings over anything else. That's because we believe the present value of its future stream of earnings is what determines the fair value for its stock. We essentially look at how sell-side analysts covering the stock are revising their earnings estimates to reflect the impact of the latest business trends. And if earnings estimates go up for a company, the fair value for its stock goes up. A higher fair value than the current market price drives investors' interest in buying the stock, leading to its price moving higher. This is why empirical research shows a strong correlation between trends in earnings estimate revisions and near-term stock price movements. For the current quarter, Tesla is expected to post earnings of $0.44 per share, indicating a change of -39.7% from the year-ago quarter. The Zacks Consensus Estimate has changed -2.1% over the last 30 days. The consensus earnings estimate of $1.64 for the current fiscal year indicates a year-over-year change of -32.2%. This estimate has changed -1.7% over the last 30 days. For the next fiscal year, the consensus earnings estimate of $2.4 indi...