Several accounts on the online platform Polymarket laid bets on a US-Iran ceasefire over the weekend that appeared to show signs of insider knowledge, according to experts. Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire. They stand to make nearly $820,000 if a such a deal is reached before 31 March. An account that made the sam...
Several accounts on the online platform Polymarket laid bets on a US-Iran ceasefire over the weekend that appeared to show signs of insider knowledge, according to experts. Eight accounts, all newly created around 21 March, bet a total of nearly $70,000 (£52,000) on there being a ceasefire. They stand to make nearly $820,000 if a such a deal is reached before 31 March. An account that made the same bet was created shortly before the US struck Iran on 28 February. It also placed a winning bet on those strikes, which raised similar questions around insider trading, and so far has bet on nothing else. The new accounts all appear to have been created late last week, around the time when the US president, Donald Trump, appeared to first double down on war with Iran, then suggest in an-after markets Truth Social post that he was considering “winding down” military operations. The wallets “definitely [look like] someone with some degree of inside info,” said Ben Yorke, formerly a researcher with CoinTelegraph, now building an AI trading platform called Starchild. Polymarket accounts are anonymous, and it is extremely difficult to trace the owners of the crypto wallets that laid the bets. But online crypto watchers and experts suggested that the bets bore the signs of insider trading – both because they bought their positions at market price, and because some of the accounts looked like they could belong to a single investor attempting to conceal their identity by splitting their bet between multiple wallets. “Typically, when you see wallet splitting and deliberate attempts to obfuscate identity, it’s one of two scenarios: either a very large investor trying to shield their position from market impact, or insider trading,” said Yorke. Polymarket’s own rating of the probability of a ceasefire before 31 March increased significantly in the past few days, from 6% on 21 March to 24% by Monday. More than $21m is currently being wagered on this outcome. Online prediction markets ...
Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf at first dismissed talks took place, insisting Trump’s claim was ‘fake news’ designed to soothe markets Middle East crisis – live updates The backchannel talks between Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, and the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, were not a secret in the sense that the Egyptian Foreign Ministry had tweeted that conversations were un...
Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf at first dismissed talks took place, insisting Trump’s claim was ‘fake news’ designed to soothe markets Middle East crisis – live updates The backchannel talks between Donald Trump’s special envoy, Steve Witkoff, and the Iranian foreign minister, Abbas Araghchi, were not a secret in the sense that the Egyptian Foreign Ministry had tweeted that conversations were under way on Sunday, 24 hours before Donald Trump’s late Monday deadline to start blowing up Iran’s energy infrastructure. But such is the chaos surrounding the process that the discussions – thought to be well short of negotiations – may have lasted longer than Sunday, with more than one mediator, as is often the case, jostling for the title of peacemaker in chief. Pakistan’s army chief, Asim Munir, for instance, spoke with Trump on Sunday, while Pakistani prime minister, Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif, held talks with Iranian president, Masoud Pezeshkian, on Monday. It is possible Pakistan could become the venue for further talks that this time would include JD Vance, the vice-president, a private sceptic about the war. Keir Starmer, the UK prime minister, was right to warn not to bank on an early end to the conflict. Continue reading...
krblokhin Altria ( MO ) announced on Monday that on! PLUS is moving from limited regional and e‑commerce distribution to nationwide retail availability in the U.S., following its earlier launch in select states and online. Wholesale deliveries began March 16, with product expected to reach participating retailers across the country starting March 23, marking a key commercialization milestone for A...
krblokhin Altria ( MO ) announced on Monday that on! PLUS is moving from limited regional and e‑commerce distribution to nationwide retail availability in the U.S., following its earlier launch in select states and online. Wholesale deliveries began March 16, with product expected to reach participating retailers across the country starting March 23, marking a key commercialization milestone for Altria’s Helix Innovations subsidiary. on! PLUS is a next‑generation, spit‑free oral nicotine pouch that uses a proprietary NICOSLIK technology in a soft pouch placed between the gum and lip instead of being smoked or chewed. It comes in three flavors and two nicotine strengths, giving adult nicotine consumers a smoke‑free, portable alternative to traditional cigarettes and oral tobacco products. The company highlights that on! PLUS is the first nicotine pouch cleared through the FDA’s pilot program to expedite review of premarket tobacco product applications. The FDA has authorized six specific on! PLUS products (mint, tobacco, and wintergreen flavors, each in 6 mg and 9 mg strengths), all featuring a built‑in can compartment for responsible disposal of used pouches. Altria ( MO ) continues to describe the expansion of on! as part of its broader vision of moving beyond smoking, focusing on smoke‑free products for U.S. consumers of age and competing for existing adult smoke‑free users. "As adult consumers continue to seek smoke‑free alternatives, on! PLUS reflects our focus on quality, innovation, and responsibly meeting demand within science‑based regulatory frameworks," stated Nick MacPhee, Managing Director, Helix. More on Altria Altria Group's Market Share Continues To Be A Thorn In The Side Altria: Melt-Up Rally Gone Way Too Far And Too Fast (Rating Downgrade) Altria: Smoking's Not Dead Insider trades: Bank of America, Visa among notable names this week Consumer staples names with highest dividend yield amid Middle East war crisis
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals ( CRNX ) chief development and operating officer Jeff Knight will resign , effective around April 10, 2026. His responsibilities and team will be reassigned to other members of the executive leadership team. More on Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) Presents at TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference - Slideshow Crinetics Pharmaceuticals...
Crinetics Pharmaceuticals ( CRNX ) chief development and operating officer Jeff Knight will resign , effective around April 10, 2026. His responsibilities and team will be reassigned to other members of the executive leadership team. More on Crinetics Pharmaceuticals Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) Presents at TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference - Slideshow Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 2025 Q4 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation Crinetics Pharmaceuticals, Inc. (CRNX) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Transcript Most oversold mid-cap healthcare stocks on Wall Street amid Middle East disruptions Crinetics outlines $600M–$650M 2026 operating expense plan as PALSONIFY launch accelerates
Key Points 7,500 shares were sold across two separate filings for a combined transaction value of approximately $3.8 million, based on a blended average price of roughly $508.65 per share from Feb. 24 to Mar. 4, 2026. The transactions reduced Todd Cleveland's direct holdings from 85,817 to 78,089 shares -- a reduction of approximately 8.9% of his position at the start of the selling period. The sa...
Key Points 7,500 shares were sold across two separate filings for a combined transaction value of approximately $3.8 million, based on a blended average price of roughly $508.65 per share from Feb. 24 to Mar. 4, 2026. The transactions reduced Todd Cleveland's direct holdings from 85,817 to 78,089 shares -- a reduction of approximately 8.9% of his position at the start of the selling period. The sales involved only direct ownership; no indirect holdings or derivative (option) activity was reported in either filing. The selling occurred after a roughly 157% one-year run in IESC stock, consistent with a multi-year pattern of Cleveland methodically reducing his position as the stock has appreciated. 10 stocks we like better than Ies › Todd Cleveland, Director at IES Holdings (NASDAQ:IESC) , disclosed the sale of 7,500 shares of common stock across two separate SEC Form 4 filings. The first filing covered multiple open-market transactions from Feb. 24 through Feb. 26, 2026 (5,000 shares), according to a SEC Form 4 filing. The second filing covered additional sales from March 2 through March 4, 2026 (2,500 shares). Transaction summary Metric Value Shares sold (direct) 7,500 Transaction value ~$3.8 million Post-transaction shares (direct) 78,089 Post-transaction value (direct ownership) ~$34.1 million Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($508.65); post-transaction value based on March 20, 2026, market close ($436.95). Key questions How does this sale compare to Todd Cleveland’s previous selling activity? Even though this sale includes two separate filings, the 7,500-share sale across both filings is smaller than the roughly 10,000-share median for Cleveland’s prior open-market sales since April 2023 on a per-event basis. Even though this sale includes two separate filings, the 7,500-share sale across both filings is smaller than the roughly 10,000-share median for Cleveland’s prior open-market sales since April 2023 on a per-event basis. W...
Refunds for the 2025 tax year are shaping up to come in much higher than the previous year. President Donald Trump's blockbuster legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), which Congress passed last year, had made the temporary tax cuts imposed in 2017 permanent. It also added many new, additional permanent and temporary tax cuts that were already beginning to boost 2025 tax refunds. Unfortun...
Refunds for the 2025 tax year are shaping up to come in much higher than the previous year. President Donald Trump's blockbuster legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), which Congress passed last year, had made the temporary tax cuts imposed in 2017 permanent. It also added many new, additional permanent and temporary tax cuts that were already beginning to boost 2025 tax refunds. Unfortunately, the conflict in Iran may offset the benefits. You can kiss your larger 2025 tax refund goodbye. Higher oil prices will offset OBBB benefits The OBBB benefits implemented many provisions expected to greatly help taxpayers. For instance, it significantly expanded the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction and added a bonus senior tax deduction, giving qualifying people age 65 and over an additional $6,000 write-off that couples filing jointly could each claim. The standard deduction also increased for tax year 2025. While there are various estimates regarding the overall benefits from OBBB, depending on who you ask, the nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimated an average refund of $3,800 for the 2025 tax year, up nearly $750 from the 2024 tax year. However, taxpayers may not get to enjoy the higher returns. The conflict in Iran has sent oil prices surging, with prices rising above $100 per barrel on multiple occasions. Oil tankers have been reluctant to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, which normally carries one-fifth of the world's oil supply. More recently, energy assets have been damaged across various countries in the Middle East. Recently, economists at the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research released a study, estimating the potential impact of higher oil prices on Americans' pocketbooks. The study uses the $750 estimate from the Tax Foundation as the OBBB benefit. They then use Brent crude oil futures estimates from Goldman Sachs to build a model that forecasts how higher oil prices will affect retail gasoline prices. The study found that households could...
Key Points President Donald Trump's signature legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill, implemented numerous tax cuts for 2025 that should benefit consumers. However, the conflict in Iran has thrown a wrinkle into this plan. Surging oil prices may erode much of the additional savings U.S. consumers had been expecting. The $23,760 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook › Refunds for...
Key Points President Donald Trump's signature legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill, implemented numerous tax cuts for 2025 that should benefit consumers. However, the conflict in Iran has thrown a wrinkle into this plan. Surging oil prices may erode much of the additional savings U.S. consumers had been expecting. The $23,760 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook › Refunds for the 2025 tax year are shaping up to come in much higher than the previous year. President Donald Trump's blockbuster legislation, the One Big Beautiful Bill (OBBB), which Congress passed last year, had made the temporary tax cuts imposed in 2017 permanent. It also added many new, additional permanent and temporary tax cuts that were already beginning to boost 2025 tax refunds. Unfortunately, the conflict in Iran may offset the benefits. You can kiss your larger 2025 tax refund goodbye. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » Higher oil prices will offset OBBB benefits The OBBB benefits implemented many provisions expected to greatly help taxpayers. For instance, it significantly expanded the State and Local Tax (SALT) deduction and added a bonus senior tax deduction, giving qualifying people age 65 and over an additional $6,000 write-off that couples filing jointly could each claim. The standard deduction also increased for tax year 2025. While there are various estimates regarding the overall benefits from OBBB, depending on who you ask, the nonpartisan Tax Foundation estimated an average refund of $3,800 for the 2025 tax year, up nearly $750 from the 2024 tax year. However, taxpayers may not get to enjoy the higher returns. The conflict in Iran has sent oil prices surging, with prices rising above $100 per barrel on multiple occasions. Oil tankers have been reluctant to pass through the Strait ...
May arabica coffee (KCK26) on Monday closed down -2.75 (-0.89%), and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) closed down -27 (-0.74%). Coffee prices settled lower on Monday due to favorable growing conditions in Brazil. On Monday, Climatempo said that Brazil's soil moisture remains beneficial, while the current dry conditions are aiding cherry ripening. Also, rain is expected to return to Brazil's key coff...
May arabica coffee (KCK26) on Monday closed down -2.75 (-0.89%), and May ICE robusta coffee (RMK26) closed down -27 (-0.74%). Coffee prices settled lower on Monday due to favorable growing conditions in Brazil. On Monday, Climatempo said that Brazil's soil moisture remains beneficial, while the current dry conditions are aiding cherry ripening. Also, rain is expected to return to Brazil's key coffee-growing regions this week. Don’t Miss a Day: Last Friday, arabica climbed to a 1.5-month high and robusta rose to a 1.5-week high as the closure of the Strait of Hormuz disrupted global shipping and tightened global coffee supplies. The closure of the waterway has increased global shipping rates, insurance, and fuel costs, and raises costs for coffee importers and roasters. Robusta coffee has support from tighter inventories, as ICE robusta inventories fell to a 2-month low of 4,257 lots last Friday. Last Monday, arabica coffee fell to a 3-week low, and May robusta fell to a contract low, as abundant rains in Brazil eased crop concerns. However, Somar Meteorologia reported on Monday that Brazil's largest arabica coffee-growing area, Minas Gerais, received 14.1 mm of rain last week, or 45% of the historical average. The outlook for a bumper Brazil coffee crop is bearish for coffee prices, after StoneX raised its Brazil 2026/27 coffee production estimate to a record 75.3 million bags, up from its November estimate of 70.7 million bags. Rising ICE inventories are also pressuring arabica coffee prices as ICE-monitored arabica inventories rose to a 5.75-month high of 585,621 bags last Wednesday. Coffee prices also saw support from recent news that Brazil's Feb green coffee exports fell by -27% y/y to 2.3 million bags, according to Cecafe. Meanwhile, Brazil's Trade Ministry reported last Thursday that Brazil's Feb coffee exports fell -17.4% y/y to 142,000 MT. Coffee prices in February sold off sharply, with arabica falling to a 16-month low on February 24 and robusta tumbling ...
The audio from a control tower at New York's LaGuardia airport captured the moments before a plane collided with a fire truck while landing. An air traffic controller could be heard on a radio transmission at LaGuardia airport giving clearance to a vehicle to cross part of the runway, then trying to stop it. The pilot and co-pilot of the Air Canada Express regional jet died after the collision whi...
The audio from a control tower at New York's LaGuardia airport captured the moments before a plane collided with a fire truck while landing. An air traffic controller could be heard on a radio transmission at LaGuardia airport giving clearance to a vehicle to cross part of the runway, then trying to stop it. The pilot and co-pilot of the Air Canada Express regional jet died after the collision which also caused serious injuries, with nine people in the hospital. The airport was closed after the incident Two pilots killed after Air Canada jet collision at LaGuardia in New York Continue reading...
Vanguard popularized the concept of indexing back in the 1970s, and the asset manager has been the passive management leader ever since. In recent years, Vanguard has been one of the fastest-growing asset managers, thanks to its exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to Motley Fool Research, it had the most three-month ETF inflows over the last three months of 2025. Vanguard has long been in dema...
Vanguard popularized the concept of indexing back in the 1970s, and the asset manager has been the passive management leader ever since. In recent years, Vanguard has been one of the fastest-growing asset managers, thanks to its exchange-traded funds (ETFs). According to Motley Fool Research, it had the most three-month ETF inflows over the last three months of 2025. Vanguard has long been in demand for its low-fee, index-based exchange-traded funds (ETFs). But over the past several years, it has been rolling out more actively managed funds, broadening its offerings to perhaps prepare for markets where the indexes aren't churning out double-digit returns, and the bulls aren't running. It's in those markets where actively managed ETFs become more necessary, as managers can tweak the portfolio in response to market conditions. One of its fairly new actively managed Vanguard ETFs has been shining in this market. While the major indexes are all in negative territory, the Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF (VFMO +2.32%) has done the opposite, churning out positive returns. Here's why the Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF might be a smart choice for investors right now. The Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF beats the benchmarks The Vanguard U.S. Momentum Factor ETF is managed by Vanguard's Quantitative Equity Group and managed by Scott Rodemer. The stocks in the portfolio are selected by a rules-based quantitative model that looks for stocks of all market caps that have outperformed their benchmarks both 12 and six months out, and blends the portfolio between the two. The time frames do not include the most recent month to filter out short-term noise. There are other screens as well, but the idea is to find the stocks that have performed the best over the past year, anticipating that the momentum will continue. Expand NYSEMKT : VFMO Vanguard Wellington Fund - Vanguard U.s. Momentum Factor ETF Today's Change ( 2.32 %) $ 4.48 Current Price $ 197.35 Key Data Points Day's Rang...
In this video, I will discuss SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) and explain why the stock is undervalued. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below. *Stock prices used were from the trading day of March. 17, 2026. The video was published on March. 17, 2026. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the o...
In this video, I will discuss SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) and explain why the stock is undervalued. Watch the short video to learn more, consider subscribing, and click the special offer link below. *Stock prices used were from the trading day of March. 17, 2026. The video was published on March. 17, 2026. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » Should you buy stock in SoFi Technologies right now? Before you buy stock in SoFi Technologies, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and SoFi Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $495,179!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,058,743!* Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 898% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 183% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of March 23, 2026. Neil Rozenbaum has positions in SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Neil is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and op...
If you are just starting out looking to invest and have a limited amount of money, you may be wondering where the best place is to start. Instead of investing in individual stocks, I'd suggest beginning with an exchange-traded fund (ETF). ETFs are a portfolio of investments, so they give you instant diversity as opposed to investing in a single company. For beginner investors and seasoned ones too...
If you are just starting out looking to invest and have a limited amount of money, you may be wondering where the best place is to start. Instead of investing in individual stocks, I'd suggest beginning with an exchange-traded fund (ETF). ETFs are a portfolio of investments, so they give you instant diversity as opposed to investing in a single company. For beginner investors and seasoned ones too, I like ETFs from investment company Vanguard. It is the king of index funds and has long been known for its low fees. Since ETFs include a portfolio of companies, they have expense ratios attached to them that the investment company charges for its services. These fees are deducted daily and reflected in the performance of the ETFs. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More » Even a seemingly low expense ratio of 1% can have a major impact on returns over time. In a study by the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) study, a $100,000 investment with a 4% annual return that is reduced by a 1% expense ratio returns around $30,000 less than an investment with a 0.25% expense ratio over a 20-year period. While 1% of $1,000 is only $10, as you invest more into the ETF and the value grows, it can start to add up quickly. Fortunately, Vanguard has some of the lowest fees around, especially for its index ETFs. The Vanguard Growth ETF One of my favorite ETFs is the Vanguard Growth ETF (NYSEMKT: VUG). The ETF has an expense ratio of just 0.04% compared to an average expense ratio of other similar growth funds of 0.94%, according to Vanguard based on Morningstar data. This means that investors get to keep nearly all the returns of the underlying index. One of the big reasons I like the Vanguard Growth ETF is that it is focused on large-cap growth stocks, especially those in the technology sector. The ETF tracks the performance of the CRSP US Large Cap Growth Index, which is essentially the gr...
What Happened? Shares of enterprise software giant Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) jumped 2.8% in the afternoon session after comments from President Trump regarding talks with Iran sparked a broad market rally. The positive sentiment spread across Wall Street, creating a widespread relief rally with nine out of every ten stocks in the S&P 500 rising. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq composite b...
What Happened? Shares of enterprise software giant Oracle (NYSE:ORCL) jumped 2.8% in the afternoon session after comments from President Trump regarding talks with Iran sparked a broad market rally. The positive sentiment spread across Wall Street, creating a widespread relief rally with nine out of every ten stocks in the S&P 500 rising. The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq composite both posted gains of around 2%. This risk-on environment, fueled by the perception of reduced geopolitical conflict, often benefits growth-oriented sectors like technology as investors move capital into assets perceived to have higher return potential. After the initial pop the shares cooled down to $153.65, up 2.7% from previous close. Is now the time to buy Oracle? Access our full analysis report here, it’s free. What Is The Market Telling Us Oracle’s shares are very volatile and have had 27 moves greater than 5% over the last year. In that context, today’s move indicates the market considers this news meaningful but not something that would fundamentally change its perception of the business. The previous big move we wrote about was 12 days ago when the stock gained 9.3% on the news that the company reported first-quarter financial results that exceeded Wall Street's expectations. The company’s revenue grew 21.7% year-over-year to $17.19 billion, while adjusted earnings per share came in at $1.79, both topping analysts' forecasts. Investors were also encouraged by the company's remaining performance obligations (RPO), a measure of future contracted revenue, which stood at an impressive $553 billion. Furthermore, Oracle issued upbeat guidance for the upcoming quarter, projecting adjusted earnings per share of $1.98, which was above analyst expectations. Oracle is down 21.5% since the beginning of the year, and at $153.65 per share, it is trading 53.2% below its 52-week high of $328.33 from September 2025. Despite the year-to-date decline, investors who bought $1,000 worth ...
Ever watch a TV ad and wonder "How did this get approved?" Today, Google has not one but two new ad spots for its six-month-old Pixel 10 phones , and… let's just say they may not come across as intended. First, there's "With 100x Zoom," an ad that appears to suggest that if a vacation rental company lies to you about the view from your hotel room, you should lie to all your friends and family, too...
Ever watch a TV ad and wonder "How did this get approved?" Today, Google has not one but two new ad spots for its six-month-old Pixel 10 phones , and… let's just say they may not come across as intended. First, there's "With 100x Zoom," an ad that appears to suggest that if a vacation rental company lies to you about the view from your hotel room, you should lie to all your friends and family, too! Take a watch below: The YouTube description makes Google's intent fairly clear: "So even if that breathtaking view you were promised turns out to be miles away, now you can zoom your way to a photo that makes it look like you were right there. … Read the full story at The Verge.