Global oil demand will decline this year for the first time since the 2020 pandemic as a price surge caused by the Middle East conflict wipes out growth, the International Energy Agency said. "The Iran war has thoroughly upended the global outlook for oil consumption," the adviser to major economies said in its monthly report. Surging prices for physical crude and products such as jet fuel, diesel...
Global oil demand will decline this year for the first time since the 2020 pandemic as a price surge caused by the Middle East conflict wipes out growth, the International Energy Agency said. "The Iran war has thoroughly upended the global outlook for oil consumption," the adviser to major economies said in its monthly report. Surging prices for physical crude and products such as jet fuel, diesel and gasoline are squeezing consumers and taking a toll on demand. Bloomberg's EMEA News Director Will Kennedy joins Stephen Carroll and Caroline Hepker to discuss. (Source: Bloomberg)
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Investment summary My previous investment thought on Riskfield Ltd. ( RSKD ) was a buy rating because I believed the business should see growth accelerate in the coming years given how well its platform strategy is scaling and that new products are seeing solid adoption trends. My view is even more positive now. The demand story looks cleaner, the platform ...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Investment summary My previous investment thought on Riskfield Ltd. ( RSKD ) was a buy rating because I believed the business should see growth accelerate in the coming years given how well its platform strategy is scaling and that new products are seeing solid adoption trends. My view is even more positive now. The demand story looks cleaner, the platform strategy is contributing real revenue, and retention is improving at the same time. On top of that, agentic commerce could expand the number of problems RSKD can solve, which should support growth from here. The growth outlook got better The most important reason to continue staying bullish on RSKD is because the demand story now looks cleaner. As a recap, the growth story logic is still largely the same, in that RSKD is seeing solid pipeline strength and healthy renewal outcomes, and the platform should slowly contribute more to growth. We now have better proof that this logic is holding true and, in fact, has gotten stronger. You only need to look at RSKD's latest numbers to arrive at this conclusion. In the recent quarter ( Q4 ), RSKD saw the highest quarterly amount of new business since the IPO, and that one quarter accounted for ~55% of all new business won in 2025; competitive win rates were also >75%, and lead generation at the top of the funnel went up ~50% y/y. These numbers tell me that RSKD growth momentum is not slowing down at all. The platform strategy has also gotten more tangible, as I expected. We now have good data to better link new products and actual economics. Some of these new products, including Policy Protect, Account Secure, and Dispute Resolve, have already generated ~$10 million of annual revenue in 2025, and management is guiding for this set of products plus related non-guaranteed payment flows to reach ~$15 million to $20 million in 2026. Obviously, this is not enough to carry RSKD's entire growth story, but it is large enough to matter if th...
buradaki/iStock via Getty Images Thesis My core bull case here for Redwire Corporation ( RDW ) would depend on the sheer breadth and validation of their portfolio. Their involvement for me is extremely impressive in that they span across multiple high-demand segments of the space economy, as I’ll explain. This is also pretty rare for a company of their size. You see, rather than relying on a singl...
buradaki/iStock via Getty Images Thesis My core bull case here for Redwire Corporation ( RDW ) would depend on the sheer breadth and validation of their portfolio. Their involvement for me is extremely impressive in that they span across multiple high-demand segments of the space economy, as I’ll explain. This is also pretty rare for a company of their size. You see, rather than relying on a single niche, Redwire is actually very actively embedded in next-generation areas such as spacecraft systems, defence technologies, and in-space infrastructure, and now we’ve just seen a high-value quantum-secure communications contract. Each of these would represent a structurally growing market. I last covered Redwire post FY25 earnings, and what now stands out for me is not just exposure, but also validation. There are contracts with NASA via the Artemis program, partnerships with Lockheed Martin and Airbus, and a big role in the European Space Agency QKDSat initiative . These all tell me that Redwire is pretty well trusted on mission-critical systems in both civil and defence domains. So my case here is that this diversification should reduce reliance on any single revenue stream but also set the company up to take advantage of several long-term space growth themes. Quantum Key Distribution Satellite Towards the beginning of April, Redwire managed to land a contract with the European Space Agency for the Quantum Key Distribution Satellite (QKDSat). Now, I see this as a pretty big step in the right direction. One very rapidly moving area of satellite defence is communications against next-generation cyber threats, particularly those that are posed by quantum computing. You see, when it comes to quantum computing, the real threat is that it has the ability to break the mathematical foundations that most encryption relies on. We have current systems like RSA or ECC that depend on problems that are extremely hard for classical computers to solve. They might be factoring very lar...