Nickel extended gains for a fourth day after top supplier Indonesia reaffirmed it’ll sharply cut output this year. The country will issue production quotas of between 260 million and 270 million tons of nickel ore this year, said Director General of Minerals and Coal Tri Winarno. The goal is slightly higher than a previous estimate, but well below the 379 million tons targeted in 2025. Indonesia i...
Nickel extended gains for a fourth day after top supplier Indonesia reaffirmed it’ll sharply cut output this year. The country will issue production quotas of between 260 million and 270 million tons of nickel ore this year, said Director General of Minerals and Coal Tri Winarno. The goal is slightly higher than a previous estimate, but well below the 379 million tons targeted in 2025. Indonesia is trying to boost prices of the metal amid a persistent surplus. Anything below 270 million tons is viewed as bullish, said Fan Jianyuan, an analyst with Shanghai-based consultancy Mysteel Global. Quota issuance should be completed by March, he said. Nickel, used in batteries and stainless steel, has surged more than 20% since mid-December, joining a broad rally in metals, from copper to gold and silver, fueled by speculative buying and heightened geopolitical concerns. Earlier this month, Macquarie Group Ltd. lifted its 2026 nickel forecast by 18% to $17,750 a ton on the London Metal Exchange, citing a sharp decrease in an expected surplus due to constraints on Indonesian quotas. LME nickel rose as much as 1.7% to $17,780 a ton before trading at $17,710 as of 10:45 a.m. in Shanghai. Copper was slightly higher, while aluminum added 0.6%. Iron ore in Singapore edged up to $100.30 a ton.
Dalin Ou/iStock via Getty Images Seasonal Adjustments Gone Awry? They whacked $82 billion off December sales, by far the most ever. Not seasonally adjusted, retail sales spiked by $80 billion in December from November, by far the biggest-ever November-to-December increase, to $817 billion, the most ever, and for the first time ever exceeding $800 billion (blue line in the chart). It was driven in ...
Dalin Ou/iStock via Getty Images Seasonal Adjustments Gone Awry? They whacked $82 billion off December sales, by far the most ever. Not seasonally adjusted, retail sales spiked by $80 billion in December from November, by far the biggest-ever November-to-December increase, to $817 billion, the most ever, and for the first time ever exceeding $800 billion (blue line in the chart). It was driven in part by the $24 billion spike in ecommerce sales, the biggest month-to-month spike ever, to $166 billion, the most ecommerce sales ever by far, accounting for over 20% of total retail sales for the first time ever. But oh no, the tapped-out consumer! In the headlines today: Retail sales were flat in December on “disappointing holiday season” or whatever. That was due to massive seasonal adjustments. And they seem to have gone awry just a little this December, thereby skewing the seasonally adjusted results (red line): Year-over-year , so compared to the strong December last year, retail sales not seasonally adjusted, increased by 3.8%, the biggest year-over-year increase in three months, and slightly higher than the year-over-year increase of annual retail sales in 2025 (+3.7%). Huge seasonal adjustment factors are used to reduce December sales and to increase January and February sales, with the purpose of leveling them out. Within a 12-month time frame, seasonal adjustments sum up to zero. And in December, the seasonal adjustments were huge, whacking $82 billion off the not-seasonally-adjusted sales ($817 billion), by far the biggest whack-down ever, to get the seasonally adjusted sales down to $735 billion. The December whack-down of not-seasonally adjusted sales to seasonally adjusted sales: December 2025: -$82 billion December 2024: -$69 billion December 2023: -$65 billion December 2022: -$71 billion December 2021: -$68 billion December 2020: -$61 billion December 2019: -$60 billion December 2018: -$57 billion December 2017: -$61 billion The seasonal adjustment factor ...
Taiwan Semiconductor's stock price hit a record high! The company is significantly increasing its investment in the United States, planning to build multiple new wafer fabs and will produce 3-nanometer chips in Japan for the first time. 富途牛牛
Taiwan Semiconductor's stock price hit a record high! The company is significantly increasing its investment in the United States, planning to build multiple new wafer fabs and will produce 3-nanometer chips in Japan for the first time. 富途牛牛
Key findings for Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) Weak Near and Mid-Term Sentiment Could Challenge Long-Term Positive Outlook Support is being tested. If it holds, expect resistance next. Exceptional 54.9:1 risk-reward setup targets 15.9% gain vs 0.3% risk Signals: 210.57 · 213.57 · 244.07 · 280.13 (bold = current price) 210.57 · · 244.07 · 280.13 Weak Sentiment is prevailing thus far — See...
Key findings for Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (NYSE: AMD) Weak Near and Mid-Term Sentiment Could Challenge Long-Term Positive Outlook Support is being tested. If it holds, expect resistance next. Exceptional 54.9:1 risk-reward setup targets 15.9% gain vs 0.3% risk Signals: 210.57 · 213.57 · 244.07 · 280.13 (bold = current price) 210.57 · · 244.07 · 280.13 Weak Sentiment is prevailing thus far — See current SIGNALS for positioning and risk parameters. Institutional Trading Strategies Our AI models have generated three distinct trading strategies tailored to different risk profiles and holding periods. Each strategy incorporates sophisticated risk management parameters designed to optimize position sizing and minimize drawdown risk. Position Trading Strategy LONG Entry Zone $210.57 Target $244.07 Stop Loss $209.96 Momentum Breakout Strategy BREAKOUT Trigger $214.41 Target $223.63 Stop Loss $213.81 Risk Hedging Strategy SHORT Entry Zone $214.41 Target $203.69 Stop Loss $215.05
Peach_iStock/iStock via Getty Images Market Overview Global fixed-income markets delivered positive total returns in the fourth quarter of 2025 as policy uncertainty, fiscal developments, and divergent central-bank actions shaped the investment landscape. The US began the quarter with its longest government shutdown on record, which delayed key economic data and forced the Federal Reserve (Fed) to...
Peach_iStock/iStock via Getty Images Market Overview Global fixed-income markets delivered positive total returns in the fourth quarter of 2025 as policy uncertainty, fiscal developments, and divergent central-bank actions shaped the investment landscape. The US began the quarter with its longest government shutdown on record, which delayed key economic data and forced the Federal Reserve (Fed) to make policy decisions with limited visibility. The shutdown ended in mid-November, but data gaps persisted, adding to market uncertainty. Credit spreads diverged across ratings and regions. In the US, agency MBS and high-yield credit spreads tightened, while investment-grade spreads widened. European spreads broadly narrowed. Both US investment grade and high yield posted positive total returns, outperforming European counterparts. Global aggregate and US high-yield indices contributed positively to returns, while government bond returns were more mixed. In this environment, bank loans, as represented by the Morningstar/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index, returned 1.22%. Performance Summary The Hartford Floating Rate Fund (I Share) underperformed the Morningstar/LSTA Leveraged Loan Index during the quarter. In aggregate, sector allocation had a positive impact on relative performance during the quarter. An underweight to the chemicals sector and underweight to automotive contributed to relative results. In contrast, an overweight to the building-materials sector and an underweight to healthcare detracted from relative results. In aggregate, security selection had a negative impact on relative performance during the quarter. From a sector perspective, the largest detractors were security selection within automotive and the healthcare industries. In contrast, the largest positive contributors were security selection within energy and chemicals. The Fund's out-of-benchmark allocation to high-yield credit had a negligible impact on relative performance. Quality positioning had a neglig...
Key Points Woodward specializes in engine-control electronics for major commercial aerospace platforms like the A320 and 737 MAX, with recent growth driven by strong demand in aviation. While management is highly regarded and the business is strategically important, the stock’s recent rally and cyclical risks mean expected returns are modest unless industry conditions or margins improve further. 1...
Key Points Woodward specializes in engine-control electronics for major commercial aerospace platforms like the A320 and 737 MAX, with recent growth driven by strong demand in aviation. While management is highly regarded and the business is strategically important, the stock’s recent rally and cyclical risks mean expected returns are modest unless industry conditions or margins improve further. 10 stocks we like better than Woodward › Discover how Woodward (NASDAQ: WWD) positions itself as a key player in commercial aerospace, balancing strong management and defensible operations with cyclical risks and valuation concerns. Watch the video below for expert analysis and actionable investor insights. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » Should you buy stock in Woodward right now? Before you buy stock in Woodward, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Woodward wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $439,362!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,164,984!* Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 918% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 196% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of February 10, 2026. Anand Chokkavelu has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Jason Hall has no position in any of the...