Key Points The stock market has soared under President Trump, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite climbing 57%, 70%, and 142%, respectively, during his first term. The evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) and President Trump's Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which permanently lowered the peak corporate income tax rate, have powered the Trump bull market higher. However...
Key Points The stock market has soared under President Trump, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite climbing 57%, 70%, and 142%, respectively, during his first term. The evolution of artificial intelligence (AI) and President Trump's Tax Cuts and Jobs Act, which permanently lowered the peak corporate income tax rate, have powered the Trump bull market higher. However, rapid increases in outstanding margin debt, as we're witnessing now, have historically preceded significant stock market downturns. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › In case you haven't noticed, the stock market has historically thrived when Donald Trump is in the White House. During his first, non-consecutive term, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI), S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) soared 57%, 70%, and 142%, respectively. Since President Trump's second term started on Jan. 20, 2025, it's been an encore performance for the Trump bull market. Through the closing bell on May 20, the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite have rallied 17%, 25%, and 37%, respectively. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » However, outsize returns under Trump may not be sustainable much longer. Although no metric or historical event can guarantee short-term directional movements in the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite, one indicator has been flawless in foreshadowing significant stock market declines -- and it's currently sounding a warning louder than ever before. Artificial intelligence and corporate tax policy have fueled the Trump bull market rally But before digging into the details of what history says will go wrong, it's imperative to lay the foundation of what's gone right under President Trump. To begin with, not all Trump bull market tailwinds...