Alexey_Fedoren Despite a sharp rise in oil prices, global equity markets have shown notable resilience, prompting analysts at Deutsche Bank to argue that the current selloff differs meaningfully from past energy-driven downturns. Brent crude has remained above $100 per barrel for nearly a month, yet major benchmarks such as the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) and Europe’s STOXX 600 ( STOXX ) are only modestly b...
Alexey_Fedoren Despite a sharp rise in oil prices, global equity markets have shown notable resilience, prompting analysts at Deutsche Bank to argue that the current selloff differs meaningfully from past energy-driven downturns. Brent crude has remained above $100 per barrel for nearly a month, yet major benchmarks such as the S&P 500 ( SP500 ) and Europe’s STOXX 600 ( STOXX ) are only modestly below their record highs, declining roughly 5–6%. Historically, comparable oil shocks have triggered far steeper equity losses. The investment bank attributes this divergence to three key factors. First, futures markets suggest investors expect the current geopolitical tensions to be short-lived. While spot Brent prices hover around $111 per barrel, contracts further out indicate a significant decline, with six-month and twelve-month prices falling into the low $80s and upper $70s, respectively. Second, incoming economic data continues to signal expansion rather than contraction, easing fears of an oil-induced recession. Finally, central banks have so far refrained from implementing aggressive tightening measures. This stands in contrast to prior episodes—such as the rapid rate hikes of 2022 and the inflation-fighting policies of Paul Volcker—which amplified market stress. Together, these factors are helping cushion risk assets despite elevated energy prices, Deutsche Bank expressed. Market Tracking ETFs: ( DIA ), ( DDM ), ( DOG ), ( DXD ), ( SDOW ), ( SPY ), ( VOO ), ( IVV ), ( RSP ), ( SSO ), ( UPRO ), ( SH ), ( SDS ), ( SPXU ), ( QQQ ), ( QQQM ), ( TQQQ ), ( QID ), and ( SQQQ ). Energy ETFs: ( XLE ), ( VDE ), ( XOP ), ( OIH ), ( AMLP ), and ( IXC ). Oil ETFs: ( USO ), ( UCO ), ( DBO ), ( OILK ), and ( USL ). Natural Gas ETFs: ( UNG ), ( BOIL ), and ( UNL ). More on markets Ceasefire uncertainty looms large as prediction markets signal a long road to de-escalation Cantor Fitzgerald calls the market pullback a buying opportunity despite Middle East risks From oil surge to e...