最近全球投资者最忙的事情,已经不是看财报。 而是追踪黄仁勋今天又去了哪里。 去了台北,AI PC涨。去了韩国,HBM涨。 夸了谁,谁涨。点名谁,谁起飞。 仿佛全球股市已经进入一种新的运行机制: 黄仁勋经济学。 一、624亿美元,一句话的价格 6月2日,台北Computex展会第二天。黄仁勋和Marvell CEO Matt Murphy同台。 他转向观众,说了一句: the next trilli...
最近全球投资者最忙的事情,已经不是看财报。 而是追踪黄仁勋今天又去了哪里。 去了台北,AI PC涨。去了韩国,HBM涨。 夸了谁,谁涨。点名谁,谁起飞。 仿佛全球股市已经进入一种新的运行机制: 黄仁勋经济学。 一、624亿美元,一句话的价格 6月2日,台北Computex展会第二天。黄仁勋和Marvell CEO Matt Murphy同台。 他转向观众,说了一句: the next trillion dollar company,ladies and gentlemen。 第二天美股开盘,Marvell股价暴涨32.52%。市值从1920亿美元跳到2540亿美元。一个交易日,市值多出624亿美元。 同一天,Coherent涨17%,Lumentum涨14%,康宁涨13%,整条光通信链全面起飞。 没有业绩指引,没有订单公告。只是黄仁勋说了一句话,资本市场就完成了一次重新定价。 这不是第一次。 1月CES上,他说新一代Rubin芯片无需冷水机组。当天江森自控暴跌11%,摩丁制造跌21%。 在AI PC和服务器双重架构爆发的当下,Arm被他两次点名,年内一度涨超270%,市值突破3000亿美元。中际旭创被他在GTC上定义为"NVLink生态核心供应商",一度三天三个涨停。 放在几年前,这几乎不可想象。一个企业CEO,持续影响的不是自己公司的股价,而是整条产业链的资本流向。 从GPU到HBM,从晶圆代工到AI PC,从台北到韩国到日本,全世界的投资者都在等他开口。 二、为什么市场如此相信他 历史上伟大的CEO很多。盖茨、乔布斯、贝索斯、库克。没有谁能像今天的黄仁勋这样,持续影响整个资本市场的风险偏好。 问题不在于他说了什么,在于市场为什么愿意信。 今天的黄仁勋,毫无疑问站在全球AI计算漏斗的绝对几何中心。 云厂商在和他合作。模型公司在用他的GPU。服务器厂商在围绕他的架构设计产品。HBM厂商在根据他的路线图扩产。机器人公司在用他的平台。自动驾驶公司在部署他的芯片。 没有第二个人能同时看到这么多AI底层的产业核心信息。也没有第二个人能同时接触这么多企业的核心决策层。 直接点说,黄仁勋已经是AI时代最大的信息中枢。 市场默认,他知道一些别人还不知道的事情,看到了一些别人还没看到的趋势。 所以当他说Marvell是下一个万亿美元公司,这不是分析师的推荐,这是客户在公开暗示未来的...
Three of the largest U.S. equity index funds on the market look like clones at first glance. Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV), and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA:SCHX) all promise the same thing: cheap, passive exposure to the biggest companies in America. The marketing pitches are nearly indistinguishable. ... These 3 S&P 500 ETFs Are Nearly...
Three of the largest U.S. equity index funds on the market look like clones at first glance. Vanguard 500 Index Fund ETF (NYSEARCA:VOO), iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (NYSEARCA:IVV), and Schwab U.S. Large-Cap ETF (NYSEARCA:SCHX) all promise the same thing: cheap, passive exposure to the biggest companies in America. The marketing pitches are nearly indistinguishable. ... These 3 S&P 500 ETFs Are Nearly Identical But After Doing the Math One of Them Saves You Money Over a Lifetime
bgwalker/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Midway through 2026, I think the biggest priority for investors should be to prepare for a market rotation. This year’s historic gains have been very lopsided, benefiting a small group of AI-linked semiconductor stocks at the expense of the software companies that drove much of the S&P 500’s post-COVID gains. No doubt many of these stocks’ valuations req...
bgwalker/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Midway through 2026, I think the biggest priority for investors should be to prepare for a market rotation. This year’s historic gains have been very lopsided, benefiting a small group of AI-linked semiconductor stocks at the expense of the software companies that drove much of the S&P 500’s post-COVID gains. No doubt many of these stocks’ valuations required correction, but in many cases the downfall has been too extreme. Duolingo ( DUOL ) is looking particularly interesting as the company resets its product strategy. The popular language learning app, which reached all-time highs last year as it was billed as an AI beneficiary, has fallen more than 35% this year as its bookings growth pulls back. Data by YCharts I last wrote an article upgrading Duolingo to a buy rating in April, when the stock was trading at $103 per share. While I fully acknowledge that the company’s slower-growth reality (which is partially driven by the company’s scale, and partially driven by product actions) merits a re-rating, I also think the stickiness of the product and its superb monetization are overlooked. While this is a stock that requires patience going forward, I reiterate my buy rating here. As a reminder for investors who are newer to Duolingo, here is what I consider to be the core bull case for the company: Sharp user growth at scale. Despite reaching tens of millions of daily active users, the company continues to grow all core user metrics: MAUs, DAUs, and paid users at a double digit pace, which is impressive for a company at Duolingo’s scale. Product stickiness. The company’s ratio of DAUs to MAUs continues to climb, which is a clear indication that Duolingo excels at being a habitual product that more users (including myself) use every day, laying a strong foundation for monetization. Product initiatives may increase the overall user funnel. The company is making an unpopular move with investors this year, purposefully removing ...