Indonesia’s local credit market is coming under strain as the Iran war drives oil prices higher, stoking inflation risks, accelerating capital outflows and sharpening concern over the country’s creditworthiness. Local-currency borrowing costs for top-rated issuers have climbed nearly 70 basis points this month to the highest in almost a year, as investors price in the risk that energy will feed in...
Indonesia’s local credit market is coming under strain as the Iran war drives oil prices higher, stoking inflation risks, accelerating capital outflows and sharpening concern over the country’s creditworthiness. Local-currency borrowing costs for top-rated issuers have climbed nearly 70 basis points this month to the highest in almost a year, as investors price in the risk that energy will feed into inflation and complicate the policy outlook. Heightened scrutiny of Indonesia’s sovereign rating is already pushing up risk premiums across the domestic debt market. Since he took office last year, President Prabowo Subianto has been proposing policies like a free-meals program that raise concern about the statutory budget deficit cap, leading credit-rating companies to downgrade the country’s outlook. The country subsidizes fuel costs, making its fiscal situation vulnerable to higher oil prices. And the central bank last week held rates steady as those factors pressure the rupiah. “Yields are likely to remain elevated as long as oil prices stay above $80 a barrel, as markets continue to price in higher inflation expectations,” said Albert Budiman , chief investment officer at UOB Asset Management Indonesia in Jakarta. “Corporate bond issuance could slow in the coming months, particularly if uncertainty around oil prices persists.” The higher credit costs are beginning to weigh on primary activity after a strong start to the year. Corporate bond issuance has fallen 52% this month through March 20 from a comparable period in February, though volumes are still up 33% year-to-date versus a year earlier, indicating issuers had locked in funding before conditions deteriorated. “Some companies are front-loading fundraising to refinance upcoming maturities at lower interest rates,” said Harry Su , managing director of research at PT Samuel Sekuritas Indonesia. “An escalation of the Middle East conflict could drive up energy prices and borrowing costs, potentially slowing the re...
高盛 集团前首席执行官Lloyd Blankfein表示,要警惕投资者资产负债表上不断累积的未出售私募资产,其中一些资产可能被高估,一个导火索就可能引发大范围的资产减值。 “在某个时点,必须出现一种外力或清算时刻,不得不正视自己的资产负债表究竟值价值多少,”Blankfein接受采访时表示。 Blankfein在本月出版的回忆录“Streetwise: Getting to and Through...
高盛 集团前首席执行官Lloyd Blankfein表示,要警惕投资者资产负债表上不断累积的未出售私募资产,其中一些资产可能被高估,一个导火索就可能引发大范围的资产减值。 “在某个时点,必须出现一种外力或清算时刻,不得不正视自己的资产负债表究竟值价值多少,”Blankfein接受采访时表示。 Blankfein在本月出版的回忆录“Streetwise: Getting to and Through Goldman Sachs”中警告,距离上一轮危机过去的时间越长,发生更大规模爆雷的可能性就越高。 “我喜欢用森林地面上不断堆积的易燃物来打比方,总会有一颗火星出现,”Blankfein称。“但是,火星引着火的时间间隔越长,堆积的易燃物就越多。” 他此前还对个人投资者投资组合中私募信贷规模的增长感到担忧。“当个人消费者,也就是纳税人和公民亏损时,政府层面的人会极度不满,”他本月稍早时表示。 责任编辑:王永生
A top fund manager at Invesco Ltd. sees the dollar’s rally since the start of the Iran War as nothing more than a fleeting boost for a currency she argues is overvalued. Kristina Campmany , a senior portfolio manager at the $2.3 trillion asset manager, says the dollar is still expensive when compared to major peers like the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and Chinese yuan, even after falling some ...
A top fund manager at Invesco Ltd. sees the dollar’s rally since the start of the Iran War as nothing more than a fleeting boost for a currency she argues is overvalued. Kristina Campmany , a senior portfolio manager at the $2.3 trillion asset manager, says the dollar is still expensive when compared to major peers like the Japanese yen, Australian dollar and Chinese yuan, even after falling some 5% since President Donald Trump put tariffs on global trading partners in April. That loss was even bigger before the war, with the greenback climbing 2% since Feb. 27. “There’s no other market with the depth and capacity of the US, but the dollar is already starting from an overvalued position,” Campmany said in an interview. That’s a view embraced by some Republican and Democratic policymakers in Washington. They say nations like China artificially depressed their currencies to boost trade as globalization proliferated in the past few decades, encouraging Americans to buy cheap foreign goods. Last month, US Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick said the dollar, over many years, “has been manipulated higher in order to keep the US economy from exporting to the rest of the world.” US Urges China to Let ‘Substantially Undervalued’ Yuan Rise Lutnick Suggests Dollar Was Manipulated Higher by Rest of World The Dollar Still Rules, But US Policy Is Making It Less Special But with signs of globalization unraveling , a “broader shift toward a more multipolar world” will reduce just how much global investors are willing to pay for the greenback, according to Campmany. “These cycles typically last seven to 10 years, and the structural drivers of dollar weakness are still in place — if anything, they may be strengthening given current geopolitical dynamics,” she said. Still, the dollar has proven to be a top haven asset during the Middle East conflict. The effective shuttering of the Strait of Hormuz — a key channel for oil transport — has sent crude prices soaring higher. That’s supporte...
Manchester United suffered defeat by Bayern Munich in the home leg of their Champions League quarter-final, but manager Marc Skinner refuses to rule them out.
Manchester United suffered defeat by Bayern Munich in the home leg of their Champions League quarter-final, but manager Marc Skinner refuses to rule them out.
In two different cases on Wednesday, United States authorities indicted Chinese nationals on charges ranging from conspiring to smuggle advanced AI chips to China to drug trafficking and money laundering. The cases came on the same day US President Donald Trump announced new mid-May dates for his highly anticipated summit with China. The developments come as the two countries continue to compete o...
In two different cases on Wednesday, United States authorities indicted Chinese nationals on charges ranging from conspiring to smuggle advanced AI chips to China to drug trafficking and money laundering. The cases came on the same day US President Donald Trump announced new mid-May dates for his highly anticipated summit with China. The developments come as the two countries continue to compete over global leadership in artificial intelligence, and as Washington continues to accuse Beijing of...
The wheat complex is showing strength on Wednesday. Chicago SRW futures were 6 ¼ to 7 ¾ cents higher at the close. KC HRW futures posted 10 ¼ to 13 ¾ cent gains in the front months on the midweek session. MPLS spring wheat saw gains of 4 ¼ to...
The wheat complex is showing strength on Wednesday. Chicago SRW futures were 6 ¼ to 7 ¾ cents higher at the close. KC HRW futures posted 10 ¼ to 13 ¾ cent gains in the front months on the midweek session. MPLS spring wheat saw gains of 4 ¼ to...
Singapore’s front-end bonds have emerged as a regional refuge amid the Iran war , outperforming Southeast Asian peers. Market watchers expect the trend to continue. While the city-state’s economy isn’t immune to rising energy prices and supply chain disruptions from the Middle East conflict, robust domestic liquidity and a firm currency are among factors that have made its AAA rated bonds a more s...
Singapore’s front-end bonds have emerged as a regional refuge amid the Iran war , outperforming Southeast Asian peers. Market watchers expect the trend to continue. While the city-state’s economy isn’t immune to rising energy prices and supply chain disruptions from the Middle East conflict, robust domestic liquidity and a firm currency are among factors that have made its AAA rated bonds a more stable bet. Yields on Singapore’s two-year government notes have risen by 16 basis points in March, the smallest increase in Southeast Asia, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Similar-dated securities in Indonesia and the Philippines have seen yields surge by about five times more on bets their central banks will turn hawkish as the Iran war-driven oil shock adds to inflation risks. Pressure is also building on the Monetary Authority of Singapore, which unlike other central banks uses the currency to manage policy, with economists predicting a tightening next month. Wei Ming Cheong , a portfolio manager at Eastspring Investments, said the move will likely reinforce the outperformance of local bonds. “Any tightening will result in a stronger SGD, potentially attracting increased capital inflows,” he said. “Greater capital inflows increase system liquidity, which depresses short-end rates and steepens the yield curve.” A decision to tighten policy would mark the first such move by the MAS since October 2022, and also the first across Southeast Asia in the current cycle. Steeper Curve Singapore’s dollar is among the few Asian currencies that have advanced against the US dollar this year, trailing only the Malaysian ringgit and the Chinese yuan. While the cost of borrowing in the interbank market has risen in March to 1.16%, it is still below the one-year average of 1.44%. In comparison, Indonesia’s benchmark money-market rate last week rose to the highest since August, while Malaysia’s 3-month interbank rate is at the highest since July — signaling relatively less robust ...
據報美國富商馬斯克旗下的太空探索公司SpaceX,最快本周提交上市申請,預計集資額達750億美元,規模或創全球最高。 《The Information》報道,SpaceX預計本周或下周向監管機構提交上市申請,預計上市估值超過1.75萬億美元。報道引述知情人士表示,SpaceX正在權衡將集資額定於750億美元左右,並與潛在投資者討論集資超過750億美元的可能性。 這個金額遠高於分析員預計的300億至...
據報美國富商馬斯克旗下的太空探索公司SpaceX,最快本周提交上市申請,預計集資額達750億美元,規模或創全球最高。 《The Information》報道,SpaceX預計本周或下周向監管機構提交上市申請,預計上市估值超過1.75萬億美元。報道引述知情人士表示,SpaceX正在權衡將集資額定於750億美元左右,並與潛在投資者討論集資超過750億美元的可能性。 這個金額遠高於分析員預計的300億至500億美元,亦有望超越沙特阿美於2019年創下的290億美元紀錄。
據報美國富商馬斯克旗下的太空探索公司SpaceX,最快本周提交上市申請,預計集資額達750億美元,規模或創全球最高。 《The Information》報道,SpaceX預計本周或下周向監管機構提交上市申請,預計上市估值超過1.75萬億美元。報道引述知情人士表示,SpaceX正在權衡將集資額定於750億美元左右,並與潛在投資者討論集資超過750億美元的可能性。 這個金額遠高於分析員預計的300億至...
據報美國富商馬斯克旗下的太空探索公司SpaceX,最快本周提交上市申請,預計集資額達750億美元,規模或創全球最高。 《The Information》報道,SpaceX預計本周或下周向監管機構提交上市申請,預計上市估值超過1.75萬億美元。報道引述知情人士表示,SpaceX正在權衡將集資額定於750億美元左右,並與潛在投資者討論集資超過750億美元的可能性。 這個金額遠高於分析員預計的300億至500億美元,亦有望超越沙特阿美於2019年創下的290億美元紀錄。