欧洲政府债券下滑，追随美国国债的跌势，交易员下调了对美国降息的押注。 短期德国国债收益率涨幅超过长期。 在周二发行2035年到期的债务之前，德国国债也面临压力。 英国国债小幅上涨，推动收益率从上周晚些时候触及的两个月高位回落。 市场： 德债收益率上涨2个基点至2.87%； 德国国债期货跌24点至127.93； 意大利10年期国债收益率上涨3个基点至3.48%； 意大利-德国国债利差变化不大，持稳于62个基点； 法国10年期国债收益率上涨3个基点至3.45%； 10年期英国国债收益率跌2个基点至4.50%。 责任编辑：丁文武

bizoo_n/iStock Editorial via Getty Images In my last two articles, I explained Bitcoin ( BTC-USD ) cyclicality around the 4-year halving cycle, which, so far, has yet to fail. But I also explained that lower interest rates should push Bitcoin price lower instead of higher, and that the M2 money supply didn’t have a leading correlation with Bitcoin prices during this bearish third year of the cycle. In the second article , I outlined what I viewed as a trigger to this current crypto bear market, and I was fortunate to have timed it correctly. So far, the halving cycle has been prevalent. If you aren’t familiar with it, every four years, BTC gets scarcer by cutting in half (halving) the reward given to miners on the BTC blockchain, but in the third year of the cycle, prices have always crashed, and we are amidst the third year of this cycle. So, using the cycle thesis as a baseline, in this article, I’ll try to link macro analysis and share what I am looking for before switching to a bullish stance on BTC in the future. Source: Seeking Alpha data Bitcoin and Interest Rates One of the most important macro correlations affecting in the current BTC trend is the declining US interest rates. That is because US interest rates impact money availability in the world economy, especially for certain types of assets, in BTC’s case, the riskier assets. However, most people believe that lower interest rates should automatically boost riskier assets, which is not the case. Instead of thinking just about higher or lower interest rates, its trajectory is also really important. When interest rates increase, fixed-income assets lose value, and investors, knowing that interest rates are easier to predict and may continue to increase, instead of holding a “fixed-income” asset that will lose value in the short-term, they cut losses and invest in riskier assets, like Bitcoin. Conversely, when interest rates are declining, knowing that fixed-income assets will appreciate during these intere...

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Intel Rises 24% in Three Months: Should You Buy the Stock? TradingView

Intel Corporation INTC has gained 24% over the past three months against the industry’s decline of 6%. It has outperformed compared to the Zacks Computer & Technology sector and the S&P 500. Zacks Investment Research Image Source: Zacks Investment Research The company has also outperformed its competitor, Advanced Micro Devices AMD, and Qualcomm Incorporated QCOM. AMD has declined 4.5%, while Qualcomm has decreased 15.2% during this period. Intel’s performance over the past few months has drawn investor interest. The key question, however, is whether this momentum is worth riding or if caution is warranted. Let’s take a closer look. Intel Rides on Strong AI Momentum Intel is benefiting from solid demand in the Data Center & AI segment. Revenues grew 15% sequentially, and revenues came in above expectations. The company is witnessing strong order growth, and demand for traditional server CPUs remains very strong. The company is forming strategic collaborations with industry leaders like NVIDIA to drive innovation. In collaboration with NVDA, it is working on developing a custom XEON fully integrated with NVIDIA’s NVLink technology to bring best-in-class x86 performance to AI host nodes. Solid traction in the AI PC market is also a major growth driver. In the fourth quarter, AI PC units grew 16% year over year. It is collaborating with original equipment manufacturers, such as HP and Microsoft, to expand into the AI PC domain. Along with the AI PC domain, Intel is also expanding into the rapidly growing Edge AI landscape. INTC Plagued by Supply Constraints, Loss in Foundry Business Despite strong demand from multiple end markets, Intel is failing to match customer demand. The company is getting into 2026 with depleted buffer inventory, which will limit its ability to match customer demand effectively, impeding revenue and overall growth prospects in the near term. Intel Foundry business has reported an operating loss of $2.5 billion in the fourth quarter. Loss increas...

亚特兰大联邦储备银行行长Raphael Bostic表示，他预计2026年不会有任何降息。 “我当时认为不会有任何降息，”Bostic周一在谈到美联储12 月中旬发布点阵图时说。 “我认为经济增长势头非常强劲，我们需要将政策利率保持在适度限制性的水平，”他在亚特兰大扶轮社主办的一场活动上表示。 “在我的预期中，或许一两次降息就会让我们回到中性利率水平。如果我们真的这么做了，将很难让通胀回到目标水平，甚至很难让其保持在回归目标的轨道上。” Bostic将于2月底退休。 美联储官员Bostic称应按兵不动 因通胀依然高企。 责任编辑：丁文武

美国司法部公布的文件似乎显示，彼得·曼德尔森在担任内阁大臣期间曾向臭名昭著的金融家杰弗里·爱泼斯坦泄露敏感的英国政府信息。 文件显示，2009年曼德尔森在戈登·布朗内阁任职期间，将唐宁街内部关于税收政策建议的邮件转发给了爱泼斯坦，并附言：“发给首相的一份有趣的笔记。” 这份私人备忘录由布朗办公室一位高级顾问于当年6月13日撰写，就在同一天，曼德尔森将其分享了出去。该笔记提议通过税收激励措施鼓励金融危机后的私营部门投资，并提出可能出售价值200亿英镑（270亿美元）的资产以减少政府债务。 戈登·布朗（左）和彼得·曼德尔森于2009年合影。 根据文件，爱泼斯坦回复曼德尔森称：“哪些资产可卖？” 曾担任工党商业部长及后来的驻美大使的曼德尔森回答道：“我想是土地和房产。” 彼得·曼德尔森和美国司法部的暂未回复置评请求。 责任编辑：丁文武

AntonMatveev/iStock via Getty Images I upgraded Leonardo DRS (NYSE: DRS ) stock to strong buy in November 2025. The stock has delivered a 23.7% return, outperforming the S&P 500’s 4.6% gain. So, the share price performance has been fully in line with my expectations. However, after a significant run-up in the stock price, it is also a good moment to assess whether there is additional upside justifying a strong buy or buy rating or whether a downgrade is required. In this report, I discuss the company’s opportunities and risks, review the expectations for Q4 2025 earnings, and update my price target, incorporating the most recent financial estimates. The Risks and Opportunities for Leonardo DRS Leonardo DRS’ core growth opportunity is in defense electronics. Defense budgets are expanding globally, and the battlefield and intelligence spectrum is shifting towards a sensor-rich and software-defined form of modern warfare with more important roles for sensor fusion, electronic warfare, and distributed intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. The “distributed intelligence” term may be somewhat opaque and might require further explanation. Putting it in the simplest way, distributed ISR means that rather than having one large ISR platform, the ISR space is increasingly shifting towards multiple sensor assets across various domains, and the sensor inputs are then fused to aid decision-making. So, sensor density in modern warfare and intelligence is increasing. The Aerospace Forum Defense budgets are currently triggering a supercycle in aerospace and defense , but no opportunity comes without risk. The company, like many aerospace and defense contractors, heavily relies on the U.S. defense budget timing. That introduces a high-impact risk, which can partially be offset through expanding internationally. We also note that the industry is capital intensive, and that affects working capital and the balance sheet, while program execution risk always exists, potentially l...

馬頭圍邨首期、西環邨重建 黃碧如：特殊需要住戶可酌情考慮暫留 To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video 【有線新聞】馬頭圍邨第一期及西環邨重建，房委會資助房屋小組主席黃碧如說新屋邨項目有足夠單位接收全部受影響住戶，如果有特殊需要亦可以申請暫時搬到第二期重建範圍內的空置單位，不過單位數量有限。 黃碧如：「例如有些特定需要的住戶居住在第一期，因為其身體狀況對他方便一點，他暫時不想離開馬頭圍邨，既然有特別需要，我們就會酌情考慮。如果一般家庭狀況或個人狀況，其實沒有特別需要，我想要留機會給真正有特別需要的人士。」

Key Points The S&P 500 looks expensive today by historical metrics. Its forward P/E is as high today as it was in the months leading up to two major stock market crashes. Analysts are forecasting another double-digit gain in 2026, but investors should be cautious. 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index › The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) posted double-digit gains in each of the last three years. The benchmark index has already added 1.4% year to date, and many Wall Street analysts expect it to end 2026 with another double-digit return. However, quite a few signals are flashing a warning right now that investors would do well to pay attention to. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks » The benchmark index is, by historical standards, trading at a high premium. Its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) is about 22, a much pricier figure than its 30-year average of about 17, according to research compiled by investment firm J.P. Morgan. The last time the forward P/E was this high, it was just before the tech sell-off in 2021. Before that, it broke the 20-mark plane in the late '90s as dot-com fever was about to crash. Perhaps more troubling is a second signal from the market's CAPE ratio, which estimates an index's long-term growth by using a decade of inflation-adjusted earnings. It's had a 30-year average of about 28.5. Today, that valuation metric is close to 40 (about 39.85), which makes it now only the second time in 153 years of data that the market's CAPE has been this high. The last time the CAPE exceeded 40, it was followed by the market crash of 2000. Do these metrics mean the market will crash in 2026? Not necessarily. What they do suggest, however, is that the S&P 500 has risen much higher than the ground below it can stabilize. Put differently, it wouldn't be surprising if the market crashed in 2026. It would be historically resonant...

Key Points Sold out: 19,133 share decrease; estimated transaction value of $4.20 million based on quarterly average pricing Quarter-end position value declined by $4.20 million, reflecting the removal of the stake and share price moves Represents approximately a 1.04% change in reportable 13F AUM Post-trade stake: 0 shares, $0 reported value The position was previously approximately 1.05% of the fund's AUM as of the prior quarter These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › On January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported selling out its entire position in Grand Canyon Education (NASDAQ:LOPE), unloading 19,133 shares in an estimated $4.20 million transaction based on quarterly average pricing. This education services provider delivers technology and support solutions to U.S. colleges, with a focus on healthcare partnerships. What Happened According to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing dated January 23, 2026, Monument Capital Management reported selling all 19,133 shares of Grand Canyon Education during the fourth quarter. The estimated transaction value is $4.20 million, based on quarterly average pricing. The fund’s position in the education services company fell to zero, with the net position change also totaling $4.20 million for the period. What Else to Know This was a full exit from a position previously representing 1.0501% of 13F AUM; the position was fully liquidated and now makes up 0% of AUM Top holdings after the filing: NASDAQ:MSFT: $14,994,558 (3.7% of AUM) NASDAQ:AAPL: $9,146,128 (2.3% of AUM) NYSEMKT:ITOT: $8,860,581 (2.2% of AUM) NYSE:CAT: $8,259,816 (2.1% of AUM) NYSEMKT:IWF: $8,148,772 (2.0% of AUM) As of January 23, 2026, shares were priced at $177.99, up 3.92% over the past year, lagging the S&P 500 by 9.10 percentage points Company Overview Metric Value Market Capitalization $4.98 billion Revenue (TTM) $1.09 billion Net Income (TTM) $211.32 million Price (as of market close 1/23/26) $177.99 Company Snapshot...

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said the European Union ’s trade agreement with the Mercosur states will take effect provisionally despite plans for a judicial review of the pact engineered by its opponents in the European Parliament . “There will be a provisional entry into force of this trade agreement as soon as the first South American country ratifies it,” Merz says in speech in Frankfurt on Monday NOTE: Merz Says Mercosur Trade Deal Should Take Effect Provisionally

Shale drillers engaged in record hedging amid soaring energy prices in the days and weeks preceding the worldwide commodities crash. AEGIS Hedging Solutions LLC, which conducts trades that cover about one-fourth of US oil and natural gas production, saw its busiest week for gas as the polar vortex sent demand and prices for the fuel sky high. As for crude, AEGIS clocked its biggest month since mid-2025, during the height of the Iran-Israel conflict, according to Jay Stevens, director of market analytics at the firm. The decision to hedge couldn’t have been more prescient. When markets opened Monday, European and US traders were greeted by screens of red as a general collapse in commodities that kicked off in Asia swirled around the globe. Oil futures nosedived in London and New York as geopolitical tensions between the US and Iran appeared to ease. European gas plunged as much as 14% while US futures headed for the steepest loss in three decades. Metals and some agricultural markets also dropped. Energy companies, brokers, manufacturers and speculators employ hedging instruments such as swaps, options and futures to lock in profits or shield future supplies from potential losses. Oil drillers involved in the January rush to hedge were “capitalizing on a move they see as potentially ephemeral, something that could reverse quickly on a Trump tweet” or other events, said Stevens. Although US shale executives have historically been reluctant to hedge for fear of leaving money on the table, that stance softened going into this year amid widespread expectations for a price-crushing supply glut. When prices rallied, there was considerable impetus to capture the upside while it lasted. Oil swaps for the fourth quarters of this year and next topped $60 a barrel for the first time in several months last week. Meanwhile, gas swaps for the final three months of 2026 touched an 11-year seasonal high. Swaps are sometimes the preferred hedging method because they can be executed m...

The capital’s hospitality industry and cultural sector is vital but ensuring democratic consent is necessary for its expansion – and survival Sir Sadiq Khan’s musical tastes tend toward soft rock and pop. But throughout his tenure as mayor of London he has positioned himself as a friend to its ravers, rockers and late-night revellers with his oft-relaunched vision of a culturally and economically vibrant “ 24‑hour city ”. Those ambitions have fallen short of their promise, as London, like the rest of the country , has seen a steady erosion of pubs, bars and clubs. There is reason to believe that the latest attempt – centred on a new nightlife commission announced last week by the mayor , and based on recommendations from a report endorsed by his office – will be different. The report’s authors include representatives of successful grassroots projects, rather than just industry figures associated with festivals and superclubs. It is unusually alive to local concerns. The debate is not really economic or cultural but political: who controls shared local space? Without councils and residents on side, the plan goes nowhere. Do you have an opinion on the issues raised in this article? If you would like to submit a response of up to 300 words by email to be considered for publication in our letters section, please click here . Continue reading...

Conservative Hardliner Elected President Of Costa Rica High on the minds of Costa Rican voters as they went to the polls on Sunday was undoubtedly the surge in drug-related violence across the otherwise stable Central American country, which has been a trend for the region generally. Conservative candidate Laura Fernandez by Monday morning was able to quickly declare victory in the presidential election after early results confirmed a decisive lead, causing her nearest rival to concede. She took nearly half the vote. via AFP By early Monday, the Supreme Electoral Tribunal reported that ballots from 81% of polling stations had been counted, giving the Sovereign People's Party candidate 48.9% of the vote. The figure clears the 40% threshold needed to avoid a runoff, effectively ending the race in the first round. Her closest challenger, economist Alvaro Ramos of the National Liberation Party, trailed far behind with 33%. A distant third was progressive architect and former first lady Claudia Dobles, who failed to reach 5%. This marks another clear victory and mandate for the Right in Latin American politics . Ferdandez is vowing "deep and irreversible change" . The country’s second republic, born after the 1948 civil war, "is a thing of the past," she's declared in a victory speech. The relatively young, 39-year-old leader told a large enthusiastic audience of flag-waving supporters, "It’s up to us to build the third republic" based on a vision that is "respectful and firm on the rule of law ." "Any law that is ineffective, that has become obsolete, that has become a hindrance to development, will be modified or repealed," she proclaimed . Costa Rica, though long regarded as one of Central America's safest and most stable democracies, has seen crime surge amid the regional expansion of transnational criminal gangs . One regional monitor included rare mention of Costa Rica as giving increased cause for concern in a review of Latin American narco and crime hubs : While ...

Key Points Equinix is one of the world’s largest data center operators. Its business is booming as the AI market continues to expand. Its stock is reasonably valued, and it pays a decent dividend. 10 stocks we like better than Equinix › The world's top hyperscalers could spend more than $500 billion to expand their artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure this year, according to Goldman Sachs' (NYSE: GS) and FactSet's latest estimates. That's more than double their $237 billion in capex in 2024, and that figure should keep climbing over the next few years as the AI market expands. There are plenty of ways to capitalize on that AI boom. However, Equinix (NASDAQ: EQIX) is one of the simplest and safest plays on that secular expansion, and it pays steady dividends. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » What does Equinix do? Equinix is one of the world's largest data center real estate investment trusts (REITs). It operates more than 270 data centers in 36 countries across six continents, and it serves over 10,000 customers -- including roughly 60% of the Fortune 500. Equinix enables its customers to directly communicate with each other via over 499,000 metro interconnections, which weave through its cloud-based routers and edge networking services. It claims this "Fabric" ecosystem is larger than the "next 10 competitors combined". It also splits its data centers into smaller, denser units than many other data center REITs, allowing it to serve a broader range of industries and smaller businesses. As an REIT, Equinix owns and leases data centers, rents out that space to hyperscalers and other customers, and splits the rental income with its investors. It's obligated to pay out at least 90% of its pre-tax income as dividends to maintain a lower tax rate. How fast is Equinix growing? From 2020 to 2024, Equinix's adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) per share, which REITs ...

The market benchmark is looking skittish, a sign it could fit a pattern seen across financial markets of prices tending to stall or reverse near round numbers.

換新鈔｜三發鈔行今起供兌換 市民清晨排隊等候：錢多、今年利是加碼 To view this video please enable JavaScript, and consider upgrading to a web browser that supports HTML5 video 【有線新聞】三間發鈔銀行今日起提供新鈔及「迎新鈔」，供市民兌換。 很快便農曆新年，巿民一早到銀行排隊，準備兌換新鈔來封利是。三間發鈔銀行今日至星期四提早開門應付人流，有銀行向客戶派發利是。有每年都來兌新鈔的市民取得新鈔仍大為興奮，亦有人認為新鈔代表新一年開始。 歐先生：「（今年派利是會派多少？）雙封。（會否加碼？）加碼。（為甚麼？）錢多，你看那麼多！」梁先生：「暫時3,000元，但50元不夠，要再排多次。（明天會否再來？）會，我是新銀紙的擁護者。」彭女士：「新的一年開始，人人都開心、平安、健康。」

Source: Bloomberg, 10:44

FluxFactory/E+ via Getty Images Wheat prices ( W_1:COM ) dropped as much as 2% on Monday, marking their sharpest intraday decline since mid-December, as a strengthening U.S. dollar dragged agricultural commodities lower alongside oil and metals. The move followed renewed expectations that the dollar could gain policy support after Donald Trump announced his nominee to lead the Federal Reserve, reversing a recent stretch of dollar weakness that had fueled hopes for stronger demand for U.S. farm exports. With the dollar firmer, U.S. wheat faces tougher competition globally. Fresh data from the U.S. Department of Agriculture showed weekly wheat export inspections of roughly 327,000 metric tons, slightly below the prior week. Despite the dip, cumulative shipments so far in 2026 remain ahead of last year’s pace. More on Wheat Futures Commodities: Markets Poised For A Risk-Off Day Commodities: Iranian Supply Risks Ease, But Have Not Disappeared Commodities: Lingering Supply Risks Provide Tailwinds To Oil Early 2026 grains gains may be limited by ample global supplies, BMI Research says Wheat leads U.S. crop futures higher as weak dollar, Trump biofuels support boost demand

(RTTNews) - European markets closed on a positive note on Monday, riding on data showing an improvement in the manufacturing activity in the major economies of the region in the month of January. Slightly easing concerns about U.S.-Iran friction after U.S. President Donald Trump said he was hopeful of agreeing a deal with Iran helped as well in lifting sentiment. Investors looked ahead to the European Central Bank's monetary policy announcement, due on Thursday. The pan European Stoxx 600 climbed 1.03%. France's CAC 40 gained 0.67%, while the U.K.'s FTSE 100 and Germany's DAX moved up 1.15% and 1.05%, respectively. Switzerland's SMI ended 1.67% up. Among other markets in Europe, Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Finland, Greece, Ireland, Netherlands, Portugal, Spain and Sweden ended with sharp to moderate gains. Iceland and Poland edged up marginally, while Norway, Russia and Turkiye closed weak. In the UK market, JD Sports Fashion climbed more than 6% and Intercontinental Hotels Group gained 4.15%. IAG, AstraZeneca, Beazley, Ashtead Group, Natwest Group, Compass Group, Easyjet, Barclays, GSK, Aviva, Airtel Africa, Howden Joinery, Standard Chartered, IMI and Lloyds Banking Group moved up 2.3%-4%. Endeavour Mining, BAE Systems and Autotrader Group declined sharply. Fresnillo, Melrose Industries and Experian also closed weak. In the German market, Siemens Energy, Commerzbank, SAP, Deutsche Telekom and Hannover Rueck gained 2%-2.6%. Allianz, BASF, Continental, Siemens, Fresenius, Heidelberg Materials, Gea Group, Mercedes-Benz and Daimler Truck Holding moved up 1%-1.8%. Rheinmetall dropped about 2.7%. Beiersdorf, Qiagen, Symrise and Brenntag also ended notably lower. In the French market, Danone climbed 4.3%. ArcelorMittal moved up nearly 4%. TP, Accor, Publicis Groupe, Carrefour, Capgemini, Schneider Electric, Societe Generale and Bouygues gained 2 to 3.1%. Sanofi moved up 1.8% after the pharma major's genetic disorder drug showed promise in a late-stage trial...

Fritz Jorgensen OpenAI ( OPENAI ) on Monday unveiled a stand-alone Codex app for Apple's ( AAPL ) macOS, amid increased usage for its popular artificial intelligence coding assistant. The Codex app has a refreshed interface that allows developers “to effortlessly manage multiple agents at once, run work in parallel, and collaborate with agents over long-running tasks,” the company said on its website. It will let users with ChatGPT Free and Go accounts have access to Codex for a “limited” time, while users with Plus, Pro, Business, Enterprise, and Edu plans will get double the rate limit. “The Codex app changes how software gets built and who can build it—from pairing with a single coding agent on targeted edits to supervising coordinated teams of agents across the full lifecycle of designing, building, shipping, and maintaining software,” OpenAI added. In addition to the new app, the Sam Altman-led firm said that developers have substantially increased their usage of Codex just in the past month, as more than 1M developers have used the tool. “We’ll continue to expand where and how developers can use Codex, including making the app available on Windows, pushing the frontier of model capabilities, and rolling out faster inference,” OpenAI added. “Within the app, we’ll keep refining multi-agent workflows based on real-world feedback, making it easier to manage parallel work and move between agents without losing context. We’re also building out Automations with support for cloud-based triggers, so Codex can run continuously in the background—not just when your computer is open.” More on OpenAI and Apple Apple: iPhone Demand Stole The Show, But AI Distribution Is The Catalyst Apple: Likely Fully Valued Apple: Comeback Starts Now As AI Bubble Fears Hit Peers (Rating Upgrade) Memory costs impacting smartphone SoC space: Counterpoint Snowflake inks $200M deal with OpenAI to deliver enterprise-scale AI

The trade relationship between the US and India has been strained since the US imposed 50% tariffs on goods from India - the highest for a country in Asia - in August, including a 25% penalty linked to India's purchase of Russian oil.

Intel's Core Ultra lineup of desktop and laptop processors has been frustrating to review. None of them has been across-the-board awful or totally without redeeming qualities. But Intel has struggled mightily this decade to produce new processors that are straightforward, easy-to-recommend improvements over their predecessors. The company's 12th- and 13th-generation Core chips offered big boosts to CPU performance over the 11th-generation CPUs, for example, but they also usually came with a significant hit to battery life, and they only minimally improved the GPU. The first-generation Core Ultra chips, codenamed Meteor Lake, improved the GPU but couldn't beat the CPU performance of older chips. Last year's Core Ultra 200V series, codenamed Lunar Lake, boasted good battery life and solid graphics performance but weaker CPU performance; better-performing Core Ultra 200H chips (codenamed Arrow Lake) improved CPU performance but came with lesser GPUs and some other missing features . The Core Ultra Series 3 processors, codenamed Panther Lake, finally put an end to the years of uneven zig-zagging advancement we've seen in the last half-decade. Read full article Comments

He offered an "unequivocal apology" to the victims shortly afterwards, explaining "I did not want to be held responsible for his [Jeffrey Epstein's] crimes of which I was ignorant, not indifferent, because of the lies he told me and so many others".

格隆汇2月3日｜美国总统特朗普：我与杰弗里·爱泼斯坦并不存在友好关系。

March WTI crude oil (CLH26) today is down -3.27 (-5.01%), and March RBOB gasoline (RBH26) is down -0.0887 (-4.57%). Crude oil and gasoline prices are sharply lower today amid a stronger dollar and easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East. The dollar index (DXY00) climbed to a 1-week high today, and President Trump said the US is talking to Iran, while Iran’s foreign ministry said it hopes diplomatic efforts will avert a war. Axios reported today that US envoy Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi are set to meet in Istanbul on Friday. Don’t Miss a Day: An increase in crude exports from Venezuela is also boosting global oil supplies and pressuring prices. Reuters reported today that Venezuelan crude exports rose to 800,000 bpd in January from 498,000 bpd in December. Last Thursday, crude oil rallied to a 4.25-month high after President Trump said that US ships he ordered to the Middle East were ready to fulfill their mission “with speed and violence, if necessary” if Iran fails to agree to a nuclear deal. An attack on Iran, OPEC’s fourth-largest producer, could disrupt the country’s crude supplies and potentially close the Strait of Hormuz, through which about 20% of the world’s oil passes. Crude oil also has support after Russia recently threw cold water on hopes of a breakthrough in peace talks with Ukraine, after the Kremlin said the “territorial issue” remains unresolved with Ukraine, and there’s “no hope of achieving a long-term settlement” to the war until Russia’s demand for territory in Ukraine is accepted. The outlook for the Russia-Ukraine war to continue will keep restrictions on Russian crude in place and is bullish for oil prices. The IEA last month cut its 2026 global crude surplus estimate to 3.7 million bpd from last month’s estimate of 3.815 million bpd. On January 13, the EIA raised its 2026 US crude production estimate to 13.59 million bpd from 13.53 million bpd last month, and cut its US 2026 energy consumption estimate to 95.37 ...

Source: Bloomberg, 5:39