Japan’s two-year government bond yield climbed to its highest level since 1996, as expectations build for a near-term Bank of Japan rate hike. The two-year rate, which is sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose 1 basis point to 1.315% on Thursday, surpassing a previous high of 1.31% reached last month. The 10-year yield rose 2 basis points to 2.270%. The move comes amid a broader global se...
Japan’s two-year government bond yield climbed to its highest level since 1996, as expectations build for a near-term Bank of Japan rate hike. The two-year rate, which is sensitive to monetary policy expectations, rose 1 basis point to 1.315% on Thursday, surpassing a previous high of 1.31% reached last month. The 10-year yield rose 2 basis points to 2.270%. The move comes amid a broader global selloff in bonds, as markets price in an oil-driven inflation shock following the start of the Iran conflict. Central bank warnings on persistent price pressures have pushed short-dated yields higher, while traders have largely unwound expectations for Federal Reserve easing this year. Rising oil prices are also weighing on the yen, reinforcing expectations that the BOJ may need to continue tightening. Overnight index swaps suggest traders are pricing in a 64% chance of a move by April. Governor Kazuo Ueda kept the possibility of an April hike on the table after the central bank’s policy meeting last week. Meanwhile, Japan’s largest labor union group reported an average pay increase of above 5% for a third straight year, adding to evidence of sustained inflation pressures.
Morris S. Young, CEO of AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) , reported the indirect sale of shares on March 10, 2026, as disclosed in the SEC Form 4 filing . Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($45.60). * 1-year performance calculated using March 10, 2026 as the reference date. Continue reading
Morris S. Young, CEO of AXT (NASDAQ:AXTI) , reported the indirect sale of shares on March 10, 2026, as disclosed in the SEC Form 4 filing . Transaction value based on SEC Form 4 weighted average purchase price ($45.60). * 1-year performance calculated using March 10, 2026 as the reference date. Continue reading
Jonathan Kitchen/DigitalVision via Getty Images Sandisk ( SNDK ) is not a company that can be analyzed from a traditional memory cycle perspective because it is not relevant anymore. The Q2 FY2026 results and guidance for Q3 imply a much deeper change in NAND. It is moving into a new model based on supply assurance, AI infrastructure, and more strategic customer behavior. The numbers are consisten...
Jonathan Kitchen/DigitalVision via Getty Images Sandisk ( SNDK ) is not a company that can be analyzed from a traditional memory cycle perspective because it is not relevant anymore. The Q2 FY2026 results and guidance for Q3 imply a much deeper change in NAND. It is moving into a new model based on supply assurance, AI infrastructure, and more strategic customer behavior. The numbers are consistent with this thesis. We saw revenue of $3 billion, or +61% year-over-year, and a gross margin of 51.1%. Guidance for Q3 is for a big step-up in earnings. I don’t view this as just a strong cycle; it’s a reset in how the business operates. If these dynamics hold, Sandisk is transitioning from a cyclical memory player into a core layer of AI infrastructure. Sandisk Earnings Q2 Not Just Pricing: A Shift in Power What I think is interesting is the fact that this is not just a story about pricing strength. This is a story about pricing strength and allocation discipline and customer demand shifts. The comment from Goeckeler around the breakdown of the old transactional model was an important one. This is not a story about supply but about customer power. Data center revenue was up 64% sequentially in Q2 . This was driven by accelerating demand for enterprise SSDs within hyperscalers, OEMs, and enterprise AI. The company has already qualified its PCIe Gen5 TLC products with a second hyperscaler. There are others lined up. In addition, its BiCS8 QLC products are still in qualification but will begin to contribute revenue in the coming quarters. So this is a pipeline effect rather than a one-time pop. Sandisk Earnings Q2 Another area of the story that I think warrants a little more focus than usual is the joint venture. Extending the Yokkaichi joint venture through 2034 and committing $1.165 billion of manufacturing payments between 2026 and 2029. So, what this gives us is a little bit of visibility within a memory market where visibility is a rare commodity. If supply is the issue,...
格隆汇3月26日|曾因发表名为《2028全球智能危机》报告而震惊市场的Citrini Research创办人James van Geelen最新警告称,不要放弃降息预期,油价飙升很可能会给经济带来新的冲击,且力度足以让美联储不至于加息。 他认为,市场将当前局势与2022年油价冲击混为一谈,犯了典型的近因偏差错误。2022年的背景是利率处于零下限、CPI超过5%,美联储别无选择,必须大幅加息。我们现...
格隆汇3月26日|曾因发表名为《2028全球智能危机》报告而震惊市场的Citrini Research创办人James van Geelen最新警告称,不要放弃降息预期,油价飙升很可能会给经济带来新的冲击,且力度足以让美联储不至于加息。 他认为,市场将当前局势与2022年油价冲击混为一谈,犯了典型的近因偏差错误。2022年的背景是利率处于零下限、CPI超过5%,美联储别无选择,必须大幅加息。我们现在所处的世界截然不同,利率已接近中性水平。 他表示,如果伊朗战争在一个月内得到解决,消费者会略微更疲弱,但会消退对通胀的担忧。若战争拖延下去,预计股价将下跌,财富效应将导致经济疲弱程度过深,市场将无法再接受美联储未来12个月不降息的预期。他表示,Citrini正买入担保隔夜融资利率3个月期货合约,并做空美股对冲。