Vertigo3d/iStock via Getty Images By Elior Manier Traders are now slowly preparing for an end to the US-Iran conflict after 5 weeks of ceaseless, methodical attacks from the US-Israel coalition on IRGC military targets. The conflict has caused significant damage and volatility in global markets, dampening equities and overall risk assets and even hurting traditional safe havens like metals and bon...
Vertigo3d/iStock via Getty Images By Elior Manier Traders are now slowly preparing for an end to the US-Iran conflict after 5 weeks of ceaseless, methodical attacks from the US-Israel coalition on IRGC military targets. The conflict has caused significant damage and volatility in global markets, dampening equities and overall risk assets and even hurting traditional safe havens like metals and bonds amid a rise in inflation expectations. Precious metals like gold actually began to trade as if they were typical risk assets during the war, as flagged in an HSBC piece – we are indeed in a new age for markets! As always in the Middle East, crude oil is right in the center stage, having bounced about 50% since February 27, the Friday that preceded the commencement of the conflict. As the war began, the Brent-WTI spread, a historical indicator of energy commodity market stress, had spiked to $18.65, levels unseen since February 2019 (excluding the extreme COVID spikes). This spread is now rushing back towards its yearly and pre-war lows. Brent-WTI Spread – Source: TradingView. March 31, 2026 This indicates a large easing in narrative, at least, which also could compromise Trump's threat to let European and Gulf nations take care of the Strait of Hormuz passage after the military operation. In any case, the spread easing in such a manner could further ease tensions in the energy market, as the two enemy counterparties confirm they are engaged in more serious talks. China and Pakistan have formulated their own 5-point peace plan for a smoother, peaceful process ahead. That same plan wasn’t even criticized by President Trump in his daily address – given how verbal the president typically is, this was a first, and markets took this as a sign of significant progress, boosting equity indexes by 2.50% each in the afternoon session. Odds for a US-Iran Ceasefire by April 15 – Source: Polymarket. March 31, 2026 For now, Polymarket odds for a ceasefire by April 15 are still only aro...
(RTTNews) - The Hong Kong stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had jumped more than 950 points or 3.6 percent. The Hang Seng Index now rests just beneath the 2
(RTTNews) - The Hong Kong stock market has alternated between positive and negative finishes through the last four trading days since the end of the two-day winning streak in which it had jumped more than 950 points or 3.6 percent. The Hang Seng Index now rests just beneath the 2
Kyiv urges inquiry after leaked calls appeared to capture Hungarian foreign minister telling Moscow he would try to amend EU sanctions to its liking. What we know on day 1,498 Continue reading...
Kyiv urges inquiry after leaked calls appeared to capture Hungarian foreign minister telling Moscow he would try to amend EU sanctions to its liking. What we know on day 1,498 Continue reading...
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after Nvidia announced a strategic partnership and a $2 billion investment in fellow chipmaker Marvell Technology.
A number of stocks jumped in the afternoon session after Nvidia announced a strategic partnership and a $2 billion investment in fellow chipmaker Marvell Technology.