"Bloomberg: The Asia Trade" brings you everything you need to know to get ahead as the trading day begins in Asia. Bloomberg TV is live from Tokyo and Sydney with Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts, getting insight and analysis from newsmakers and industry leaders on the biggest stories shaping global markets. (Source: Bloomberg)
"Bloomberg: The Asia Trade" brings you everything you need to know to get ahead as the trading day begins in Asia. Bloomberg TV is live from Tokyo and Sydney with Shery Ahn and Haidi Stroud-Watts, getting insight and analysis from newsmakers and industry leaders on the biggest stories shaping global markets. (Source: Bloomberg)
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News Seagate ( STX ) is a case that gives me mixed feelings. The company certainly managed to reinvent itself and is surfing a very interesting momentum and knows how to create shareholder value. But at the same time, it is a technology that is not so “appealing,” I don't just mean within its storage niche, but also when we compare it to other tech stocks like NVIDIA (...
Justin Sullivan/Getty Images News Seagate ( STX ) is a case that gives me mixed feelings. The company certainly managed to reinvent itself and is surfing a very interesting momentum and knows how to create shareholder value. But at the same time, it is a technology that is not so “appealing,” I don't just mean within its storage niche, but also when we compare it to other tech stocks like NVIDIA ( NVDA ). And still, even with this somewhat more mature profile, the valuation returned to high levels, precisely because at this point, the market has already priced Seagate's growth into the stock. And this valuation being anchored in high expectations for the coming years gives me a bit of concern. I mean, if something happens and Seagate fails to beat estimates or at least deliver something close, a drawdown could occur. Seagate Changed (For the Better) Seeing Seagate stock rise so much lately surprised me. It wasn't exactly a bad company, but it certainly wasn't a “hot” thesis like it is now. A few years ago, we saw revenue declining, but with better margins, i.e., there was even shareholder value creation, but I saw—actually, I believe the market in general saw—Seagate as a company in a more mature stage and close to the “decline stage.” This is because Seagate's core is the Hard Drive, a technology that had been losing a lot of ground to the SSD (Solid State Drive). Note how the CAGRs (Compound Annual Growth Rates) of the financials behaved over the last 10 years: revenue fell practically 2% every year, while EBITDA rose 5%, showing that although the company was no longer in its growth prime, it was still managing to be more efficient and extract value. Seeking Alpha Taking a step back to explain the reason for this good momentum, hyperscalers (which Seagate calls CSPs (Cloud Service Providers)) like Amazon ( AMZN ), Alphabet ( GOOGL ) ( GOOG ), and Microsoft ( MSFT ) started buying HDDs (Hard Drives) for data centers again. The reason is quite straightforward: SSDs ...