primeimages/E+ via Getty Images Market Overview The March quarter started off well as January and February were strong opening months for the U.S. equity market. Key drivers of the market were favorable, including: strong economic growth, robust earnings (especially for small caps), the Federal Reserve's rate cutting cycle, tax cuts (as the so called Big Beautiful Bill became effective in 2026), e...
primeimages/E+ via Getty Images Market Overview The March quarter started off well as January and February were strong opening months for the U.S. equity market. Key drivers of the market were favorable, including: strong economic growth, robust earnings (especially for small caps), the Federal Reserve's rate cutting cycle, tax cuts (as the so called Big Beautiful Bill became effective in 2026), expanded deregulation, the ISM PMI Manufacturing index entering expansion territory (above 50), and inflation gradually easing along with long-term interest rates. These positives outweighed negatives such as the stalled labor market and growing concerns about private credit. As a result, through February, equities were up for the year, market breadth expanded and small caps outperformed large caps. Then on February 28th, the US & Israel launched strikes on Iran, initiating the Iran War. This was in response to growing potential threats by the Iranian regime and the recent brutal attacks on its own people. The Iran War The Iran War has dramatically changed the equity market environment for the time being. Equities fell sharply in the month of March as the price of crude oil nearly doubled, interest rates rose, the US dollar rallied, economic uncertainty spiked and investor sentiment plunged. WTI crude oil increased from $65 two days before the war to over $100 by the end of March just over a month later. Other key global crude oil benchmarks, such as, Brent, Oman, and Dubai were even higher. On most individual trading days in March, the price of crude oil was the critical factor. Favorable war headlines caused the price of crude oil to fall and equities to rally in an inverse relationship. However, the opposite was true on most days, where negative war headlines and higher crude prices caused equity multiples to compress. Overall, the fog of war remains thick. As of one week into April, the US and Iran have agreed to a two-week ceasefire. The ceasefire is a clear positive th...
UK power stocks dropped after Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves said the government was drafting plans to delink gas prices from electricity costs, raising concerns that lower power prices would hurt earnings for generators. SSE Plc shares dropped as much as 6.6% on Friday, the biggest decline since September 2022, while Centrica Plc fell as much as 5.8%, the steepest in two months. Drax G...
UK power stocks dropped after Chancellor of the Exchequer Rachel Reeves said the government was drafting plans to delink gas prices from electricity costs, raising concerns that lower power prices would hurt earnings for generators. SSE Plc shares dropped as much as 6.6% on Friday, the biggest decline since September 2022, while Centrica Plc fell as much as 5.8%, the steepest in two months. Drax Group Plc and Ørsted A/S also declined, down as much as 3.6% and 1.4%, respectively. Reeves told reporters in Washington that the government is working on measures to shield British households from another surge in energy-driven inflation. More details were expected in the coming days, she said, while a person familiar with the matter told Bloomberg the proposals could be unveiled as soon as next week. Read More: UK Government Looks at Delinking Gas and Electricity Prices In the UK, wholesale electricity prices are typically determined by the costliest generator needed to meet demand. So even as the share of gas in the country’s power mix is shrinking, the system has at times allowed lower-cost renewable producers to benefit from the higher prices set by gas. Weakening that link could lower power prices, but also reduce revenues for generators. Gas-fired power plants set UK electricity prices about two-thirds of the time in March. Analysts at Jefferies estimate that a £5 per megawatt-hour decline in power prices could translate into a roughly 2% to 3% hit to net income for UK power companies, highlighting the sensitivity of earnings to even modest shifts. However, with no details on the plan, the analysts said it was difficult to predict the exact impact. Separately, the government also said on Thursday that it would scrap a carbon tax on gas-fired power plants, a move aimed at reducing consumer bills that could also weigh on profitability across the sector. Read More: UK to Scrap Carbon Tax on Gas Plants to Cut Power Bills
Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Netflix ( NFLX ) again posted a good quarter. But the market reacted negatively to the guidance going forward. This is beginning to reflect the reality of potentially valuing the future too high for the current growth rate. The last article and the articles before that have long warned that the "party may be over". Netflix Common Stock Price History And K...
Wachiwit/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Netflix ( NFLX ) again posted a good quarter. But the market reacted negatively to the guidance going forward. This is beginning to reflect the reality of potentially valuing the future too high for the current growth rate. The last article and the articles before that have long warned that the "party may be over". Netflix Common Stock Price History And Key Valuation Measures ( Seeking Alpha Website, April 16, 2026 ) As shown above, so far, the market is willing to pay roughly 34 times earnings for a company that is projected to grow roughly 13% for the rest of the fiscal year. Even if that estimate is beaten, it is not going to be doubled the way things have been going for some time now. But what is different is that the market is beginning to react negatively to the good news. Sooner or later, these stocks change from a story stock to one that is valued based upon operations. Clearly a stock that is projected to grow anywhere in the teens for the foreseeable future should not be priced at 34 times earnings. A far more reasonable assumption would be that a return in the teens should have a price-earnings ratio in the teens. The other consideration is that a company this large will at some point reach its maximum size. That maximum does not depend upon the size of the market. Instead, it depends upon the ability of management to grow and manage a growing company. Along with the recent announcement and guidance is the statement that Reed Hastings, who cofounded the company, will be stepping down as Chairman. Replacing someone as valuable as a cofounder successfully is something that few managements manage to do. Combine that with the fact that the replacement is going to have to be able to manage a very large operation that was not there when the company was founded. Yet the stock price at 34 times earnings will likely allow for no missteps (let alone a lower growth rate than the price-earnings ratio). One can easily see why...
AI is transforming medicine by improving diagnostics, personalized treatments, and operational efficiency. Key opportunities include AI-powered drug discovery, precision medicine, wearables for real-time monitoring, and predictive analytics. These innovations target chronic and genetic diseases, fueling market growth despite challenges like data privacy. AI in Medicine Market AI in Medicine Market...
AI is transforming medicine by improving diagnostics, personalized treatments, and operational efficiency. Key opportunities include AI-powered drug discovery, precision medicine, wearables for real-time monitoring, and predictive analytics. These innovations target chronic and genetic diseases, fueling market growth despite challenges like data privacy. AI in Medicine Market AI in Medicine Market Dublin, April 17, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "AI in Medicine Market, till 2040: Distribution by T
The Indian government has issued a notification on gold and silver imports, after confusion over policy had held up the precious metals at customs, just days before a Hindu festival when buying bullion is considered auspicious. The government listed banks that are authorized to bring in bullion in the release on Friday. The notice resolved the import problems, according to Surendra Mehta, national...
The Indian government has issued a notification on gold and silver imports, after confusion over policy had held up the precious metals at customs, just days before a Hindu festival when buying bullion is considered auspicious. The government listed banks that are authorized to bring in bullion in the release on Friday. The notice resolved the import problems, according to Surendra Mehta, national secretary at the India Bullion and Jewellers Association . Gold buying in India is closely tied to religious festivals and weddings. Festivals such as Akshaya Tritiya, which falls on April 19 this year, drive spikes in demand as households buy gold jewelry, coins and bars for cultural and investment purposes. However, consumption in India has softened in recent months as high prices deter consumers. The situation does not seem to have been intentional “or any outright bullion ban, but a temporary glitch and administrative delays,” said Madhavi Arora , economist at Emkay Global Financial Services Ltd.
RobsonPL/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Here's something to note about the tobacco giant Philip Morris International Inc. ( PM ). The absolute daily average change in its stock price over the past year is 1.17%. By comparison, the average change on the day of its results release has been 3.8%. In three of the four result events in the past year, the change was greater than the annual average. N...
RobsonPL/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Here's something to note about the tobacco giant Philip Morris International Inc. ( PM ). The absolute daily average change in its stock price over the past year is 1.17%. By comparison, the average change on the day of its results release has been 3.8%. In three of the four result events in the past year, the change was greater than the annual average. Next week, the company releases its Q1 2026 earnings. The trends over the last year indicate a high probability of a trading opportunity. My estimates for the forthcoming numbers further confirm the likelihood, as they can deliver an upside surprise. This is only supported by the stock's medium-to-long-term potential. Estimating key Q1 2026 figures Philip Morris has an edge over the rest of the tobacco companies in that it has definitively left all others behind, with the smoke-free business [SFB] bringing in over 40% of its revenues. If there's a jump in this contribution from SFB in Q1 2026, that alone is a reason for a rise. Company guidance for 2026 forms the base But there's more, as my estimates indicate, which, in turn, can reflect an above-average price increase this time around too. To lay the groundwork for the estimates for Q1 2026, here's a quick look at the company's key outlook figures for 2026: Organic revenue growth is expected to be at 6% at the midpoint of the guidance range, a slight slowing down from the 6.5% increase seen last year. At the midpoint, organic operating profit growth is seen at 8%, down from 10.6% in 2025, and growth in adjusted diluted EPS is expected to cool off to 12.1% at the midpoint, from 14.8% last year. Source: Philip Morris Estimates for Q1 2026 To get to the figures for Q1 2026, I've assumed, first, that both the revenue and the adjusted EPS will grow at the midpoint of the company's guidance range. And second, the quarterly figures will be the average of the percentage contribution seen in the past three years during the quarter....