AI Price Wars Begin: OpenAI Considers "Drastic Price Cuts" In Pursuit Of Anthropic Customers Earlier today, in a report discussing how " AI bills are out of control ", JPMorgan tech guru and TMT salesman, Mark Schilsky wrote that " most of my high level investor discussions focus on one major topic: when will the party end? Put another way, tech investors have made so much money in Semis so quickl...
AI Price Wars Begin: OpenAI Considers "Drastic Price Cuts" In Pursuit Of Anthropic Customers Earlier today, in a report discussing how " AI bills are out of control ", JPMorgan tech guru and TMT salesman, Mark Schilsky wrote that " most of my high level investor discussions focus on one major topic: when will the party end? Put another way, tech investors have made so much money in Semis so quickly that they are looking for potential warning signs that the music is about to stop. Predicting such an end is incredibly difficult. As such, investors are searching for forward-looking indicators that might suggest the AI party is nearing a peak ." Here, the JPM trader highlighted perhaps the clearest indicator that the music was about to stop: " A slowdown in the growth of the annualized run-rate revenues of the major AI labs . If there is any sort of second derivative ‘kink’ in their growth algorithms, that could portend a future problem for the AI trade." In response to this, we pointed to just such a "slowdown in the run-rate revenues", when we showed that the Silicon Data token price index is down for 7 straight days to a level last seen in mid-January, or long before the current agentic craze started. Almost as if it knew something... Source Turns out it did: late on Wednesday, with futures surging and Korean stocks erasing a nearly 5% drop and turning green, and euphoria generally back front and center, the WSJ may have burst the AI bubble when it reported that - contrary to conventional wisdom that token prices will magically go to infinity - OpenAI, which has been badly lagging both the revenue and IPO race with Anthropic in recent months - was considering "drastically lowering the prices it charges users" in a panic scramble to regain market share and win back customers from archrival Anthropic. And so, at a time when there is suddenly a mass realization that token prices had been soared in recent weeks, a wake-up call which JPM lovingly described as follows: " i...
Dario Amodei 又写长文了。 Anthropic 总是试图将自己的观点传遍全世界。就像前些天他们呼吁全球停止 AI 研发,声称递归自我改进的 AI 进化过快。 网友们的评论一边倒,认为 Anthropic 只想让自己保持领先的狼子野心昭然若揭。 让我们看看这次,Dario 又输出了什么样的观点。 这是一篇名为「Policy on the AI Exponential」的万字长文。和他以往...
Dario Amodei 又写长文了。 Anthropic 总是试图将自己的观点传遍全世界。就像前些天他们呼吁全球停止 AI 研发,声称递归自我改进的 AI 进化过快。 网友们的评论一边倒,认为 Anthropic 只想让自己保持领先的狼子野心昭然若揭。 让我们看看这次,Dario 又输出了什么样的观点。 这是一篇名为「Policy on the AI Exponential」的万字长文。和他以往几篇文章的路数一样,这次的主题依然宏大:AI 正在以指数级速度前进,但负责制定规则的政策体系还在用十年前的节奏走路。 他想要把这个差距摊到桌面上,然后告诉所有人该怎么做。 原文链接附上:https://darioamodei.com/post/policy-on-the-ai-exponential 内容概括 Amodei 用「指环王」里的树人做比喻:树人智慧但行动缓慢,光打个招呼就要一整天。他说当下的政策制定过程就像树人,而 AI 的进化速度则像霍比特人面对的紧迫威胁。 他的判断是:如果 AI 的 scaling laws 再持续一两年,我们就会得到他所说的「强大 AI」,即「数据中心里的一个天才国度」。四年前 AI 还几乎写不出像样的代码,现在它已经在为各大 AI 公司写大部分代码了。 监管与公共安全:像管飞机一样管 AI Amodei 认为,前沿 AI 模型应该像飞机一样接受强制性第三方测试。他提出的具体方案包括: 计算量超过一定阈值的模型必须在网络安全、生物武器、AI 系统失控、自动化 R&D 四个领域接受强制审计 政府有权阻止部署被认定为风险不可接受的模型 AI 公司必须具备强安全标准来保护模型权重,并与政府合作防御主要威胁 他还留了一个口子:如果未来最强大的 AI 系统看起来更像可武器化的核材料而非飞机,那监管力度还得继续升级。 宏观经济:AI 可能同时推高增长和不平等 Amodei 的核心论点是:AI 可能创造前所未有的经济增长,但也可能造成比以往任何技术都更大、更持久的劳动力冲击。传统的「新技术创造新工作」逻辑,在 AI 面前可能不再成立。 他提出的政策包括工资保险、留人税收激励、劳动力培训补贴,以及在极端情况下推行全民基本收入(UBI)。 值得注意的是,他强调了一点:解决就业问题不只是「给钱」,更重要的是帮人们找到意义和目的。这个他没给方案,说是「社会集体...
Black_Kira/iStock via Getty Images AVGO 2026 Q2 Broadcom ( AVGO ) has proven itself to be an incredible winner of AI. As the backbone behind custom chips (‘ASICs’), AVGO will undoubtedly see a boom in demand as we move towards the age of agentic AI. Yet the reality that a key hyperscaler customer is increasing its efforts to diversify away poses a wrinkle in the investment thesis. I think investor...
Black_Kira/iStock via Getty Images AVGO 2026 Q2 Broadcom ( AVGO ) has proven itself to be an incredible winner of AI. As the backbone behind custom chips (‘ASICs’), AVGO will undoubtedly see a boom in demand as we move towards the age of agentic AI. Yet the reality that a key hyperscaler customer is increasing its efforts to diversify away poses a wrinkle in the investment thesis. I think investors may be underestimating just how much multiple compression might offset ongoing growth. AVGO looks like a growth-value trap. I rate the stock a neutral rating. AVGO Stock Price I last covered AVGO in April of 2023 , in which I recommended avoiding the stock on valuation. I was very, very wrong, as the stock has risen over 500% since. Data by YCharts What I missed in that report was just how much accelerated demand the company would see from the rise of custom ASICs. But with that story in full motion, the rise looks overdone, and the recent pullback might not be the attractive buying opportunity it might seem. AVGO Stock Key Metrics AVGO is a leading semiconductor company that also has a robust enterprise software segment. June 2026 Presentation The easy way to think of the company is as a potential threat to the likes of Nvidia ( NVDA ), as it helps design custom AI chips typically used by the hyperscalers. The idea is that whereas GPUs are elite all-around workhorses, custom ASICs may offer comparable computing power at lower costs because these hyperscalers may have large volumes of predictable workloads related specifically to their architecture. As we move toward the agentic AI era, the world will need dramatically more compute (just think about how much more compute is required to run a generative AI chatbot relative to traditional web search, then how much more is required to then run agentic AI), and that increases the motivation for the hyperscalers to seek ways to reduce costs and boost margins. In the most recent quarter, AVGO generated 48% YoY net revenue growt...
After falling around 9% from its all-time high in March, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) sharply reversed course and continued setting new records in April and May. Year to date, the index is up 9%. After double-digit gains in 2023, 2024, and 2025, investors who've missed out on any part of this rally might feel like it's too dangerous to put money in stocks at record highs. In times like these, you...
After falling around 9% from its all-time high in March, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) sharply reversed course and continued setting new records in April and May. Year to date, the index is up 9%. After double-digit gains in 2023, 2024, and 2025, investors who've missed out on any part of this rally might feel like it's too dangerous to put money in stocks at record highs. In times like these, you often hear the refrain: "It's too late." The truth is that if you're a long-term investor, it's almost never too late. Even if you invest at the peak of some of the worst bear markets in history, your chances of experiencing another eventual new high are pretty darn good! Continue reading
India is taking unprecedented measures to restore confidence in its national student examination system after a series of scandals fuelled angry protests from young people and put pressure on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government. Last month, authorities took the extraordinary step of cancelling the medical entrance exam results of more than 2 million students after allegations of widespread l...
India is taking unprecedented measures to restore confidence in its national student examination system after a series of scandals fuelled angry protests from young people and put pressure on Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government. Last month, authorities took the extraordinary step of cancelling the medical entrance exam results of more than 2 million students after allegations of widespread leaking of the papers. For the retest on June 21, the government will deploy the Indian Air Force...