DoubleLine Capital and Van Eck Associates Corp. are among investors seeing renewed appeal in a currency strategy that’s revving up as the Middle East ceasefire helps steady markets and reignite risk appetite. The carry trade — borrowing where interest rates are low and investing where they’re high — was already thriving as the war sparked a surge in oil prices that boosted commodity currencies suc...
DoubleLine Capital and Van Eck Associates Corp. are among investors seeing renewed appeal in a currency strategy that’s revving up as the Middle East ceasefire helps steady markets and reignite risk appetite. The carry trade — borrowing where interest rates are low and investing where they’re high — was already thriving as the war sparked a surge in oil prices that boosted commodity currencies such as Brazil’s real and Colombia’s peso. But now it’s getting turbocharged by the relative ebbing of international tensions, which has caused volatility in currencies, bonds and stocks to collapse. That backdrop is giving investors confidence that exchange rates won’t swing abruptly against them, as happened in 2024 when the trade combusted and roiled markets broadly. Banks including Citigroup Inc. and Goldman Sachs Group Inc., which have been recommending various iterations of the strategy for weeks, are sticking with the calls. One common version of the trade — borrowing in the yen to buy a basket comprising the Brazilian real, Colombian peso and Turkish lira — has gained about 12% in 2026, the best annual start in three years. “Carry is back in control,” said Luis Estrada , a strategist at RBC Capital Markets. “Markets have recovered losses too quickly for most investors to participate, so they’re moving from hedging to a yield-seeking regime, while volatility is drifting lower.” The waning market turbulence has energized trades across asset classes. In bonds, wagers that Treasuries will outperform interest-rate swaps — a bet that does well when volatility is low — got a lift from the ceasefire, while the S&P 500 Index set a record high this week. Optimism Abounds “The perception of the war ending is the base case now, even if it may be overly optimistic,” said Anna Wu , a cross-asset strategist at Van Eck. “In particular, South American FX and yields are really strong at the moment thanks to their commodities links, which make them attractive for carry-trade bets.” At RB...
据知情人士透露,AI编程企业Cognition AI Inc.已就新一轮融资展开初步洽谈,本轮融资完成后其估值将翻一倍以上,达到250亿美元。当前市场对深谙如何将人工智能应用于软件开发领域的企业需求持续走高,该公司正借此风口寻求融资。 一位不愿透露姓名的知情人士表示,这家人工智能编程初创企业计划筹集数亿美元乃至更多资金。目前相关洽谈仍在进行中,融资条款仍存在变动可能。 本周早些时候,埃隆・马斯克旗...
Richard Drury/DigitalVision via Getty Images About two years ago in March 2024 when it looked like the real estate sector ( XLRE ) was about to finally recover from several years of underperformance, and interest rates had not yet started to come down, I thought it might be a good time to load up on real estate assets. It seemed to me at the time that the prices of REITs and funds that held real e...
Richard Drury/DigitalVision via Getty Images About two years ago in March 2024 when it looked like the real estate sector ( XLRE ) was about to finally recover from several years of underperformance, and interest rates had not yet started to come down, I thought it might be a good time to load up on real estate assets. It seemed to me at the time that the prices of REITs and funds that held real estate assets had seen their prices suffer to the point of being oversold, and that a recovery was likely later in the year when the Fed first began to lower the base borrowing rate. With that goal in mind, I suggested that investors might want to consider the Cohen & Steers Real Estate Opportunities and Income Fund ( RLTY ). At that time, RLTY offered a monthly dividend with a yield of 9.5% and was trading at a discount to NAV of -13%. Since that article was published, RLTY has delivered a total return of 32% despite going through a recent correction in March of this year. Seeking Alpha Today (April 22, 2026) the fund closed at a price of $15.30 as the market price has done a complete V-shaped recovery since its recent low of just over $14 at the end of March. In fact, on a YTD basis, RLTY has delivered a total return of 7.6% compared to just 4.3% for the S&P 500 ( SP500 ). Is 2026 the year that the real estate sector will finally recover? Seeking Alpha It is my expectation that as interest rates stabilize that the real estate sector can begin to recover in 2026 as long as inflation does not get too hot over the next several months and the labor market also remains relatively healthy. If either unemployment shoots higher or inflation does, all bets are off for the sector. Given all the uncertainty in the sector and the volatility in the NAV of the fund, I am downgrading my rating to Hold. That does not mean that RLTY is not a good fund. I believe that it can deliver strong returns going forward and the 8.5% yield is sustainable. But if significant downside volatility return...