Key Points Prediction markets are a useful tool in gauging the odds of a future event. Bitcoin has been tumbling during the past few months, but prediction markets suggest a huge rally is unlikely. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › The price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down more than 40% from its all-time high. Meanwhile, gold is trading near record highs. This is an important dichotomy as g...
Key Points Prediction markets are a useful tool in gauging the odds of a future event. Bitcoin has been tumbling during the past few months, but prediction markets suggest a huge rally is unlikely. 10 stocks we like better than Bitcoin › The price of Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) is down more than 40% from its all-time high. Meanwhile, gold is trading near record highs. This is an important dichotomy as geopolitical events lead to increased market volatility. Far from being a hedge against market risk, as some market watchers had hoped, Bitcoin has turned out to be a volatility risk all on its own at exactly the point when investors probably hoped it would serve as a bulwark. Where is Bitcoin going? Prediction markets are a relatively new tool for monitoring sentiment across a wide range of topics, from the outcome of a political race to the weather. There's also a prediction market around Bitcoin. The numbers are interesting. It appears that prediction markets suggest an 11% chance for Bitcoin to hit $150,000 by the end of 2026. That would push the cryptocurrency to a new high, well above the roughly $126,000 it reached in October. Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue » What's more interesting is that the chance of revisiting just $120,000 is only about 21%, which isn't much better. If you bought at the recent highs, prediction markets aren't looking pretty for you right now. And that's an important factor to keep in mind as you consider why you bought Bitcoin in the first place. Bitcoin hasn't proven itself yet Cryptocurrencies are a speculative asset. The huge price swings are a sign that emotions drive price movements. Still, one of the big argument in favors of owning Bitcoin is that it could serve as a store of wealth, making it analogous to gold. However, as geopolitical tensions have rise...
At least seven people were killed and 10 others, including three children, were wounded on Saturday by a Russian missile that hit a five-storey residential building in Ukraine’s second-largest city, Kharkiv, officials said. President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the attack and called for an international response. He said that Russia struck Ukraine overnight with 29 missiles and 480 drones, target...
At least seven people were killed and 10 others, including three children, were wounded on Saturday by a Russian missile that hit a five-storey residential building in Ukraine’s second-largest city, Kharkiv, officials said. President Volodymyr Zelensky condemned the attack and called for an international response. He said that Russia struck Ukraine overnight with 29 missiles and 480 drones, targeting energy facilities in Kyiv and other central regions, with damage reported in at least seven other locations across the country. According to preliminary data, air defence systems downed 19 missiles and 453 drones, with hits from 9 missiles and 26 strike drones recorded at 22 locations. Advertisement In Kharkiv, in Ukraine’s northeast, emergency workers were combing the rubble, looking for survivors. 00:57 Kim Jong-un visits construction site for memorial to soldiers killed in Ukraine war Kim Jong-un visits construction site for memorial to soldiers killed in Ukraine war In the Kyiv region, damage from debris was reported in three districts, according to local authorities. Advertisement In the southern Odesa region, 80 firefighters were called in to help battle massive fires at infrastructure facilities following an attack with multiple drones. Ukraine’s state rail operator Ukrzaliznytsia said damage to the rail infrastructure forced changes to a number of routes in the centre-west of the country.
A 35-year-old rapper and engineer who entered politics just four years ago holds an unassailable lead over a former prime minister in Nepal’s crucial parliamentary election, in a contest widely seen as a referendum on a generational shift in leadership after last year’s youth uprising. Balendra Shah – the former Kathmandu mayor widely known as Balen – has surged ahead of 74-year-old communist lead...
A 35-year-old rapper and engineer who entered politics just four years ago holds an unassailable lead over a former prime minister in Nepal’s crucial parliamentary election, in a contest widely seen as a referendum on a generational shift in leadership after last year’s youth uprising. Balendra Shah – the former Kathmandu mayor widely known as Balen – has surged ahead of 74-year-old communist leader K.P. Sharma Oli in a race for a seat in Nepal’s House of Representatives in the eastern district of Jhapa, election commission data showed on Saturday. With more than 80 per cent of ballots counted, Shah had secured more than 55,500 votes against Oli’s 15,409, according to the commission’s figures, putting the result beyond reach even with votes still to be counted. Advertisement The decisive lead is expected to clear the way for the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) leader to become the Himalayan republic’s next prime minister if his party’s strong showing nationwide is confirmed. Both men contested from the eastern district of Jhapa, which observers have dubbed an “election epicentre”. Oli has won the Jhapa seat six times over the past three decades. Advertisement Once staunch supporters of Oli’s party, Neha Karki and 79 members of her extended family voted for Shah’s RSP this time.
格隆汇3月7日｜在2026年全国两会，全国人大代表、传化集团董事长徐冠巨建议，大力推进AI+制造业行动，加快培育发展智能产业生态。对此，他提出四点建议：一是，系统性研究定义“人工智能+制造业”顶层架构。 二是，加速培育“人工智能+制造业 ”标杆和标准，引领产业智能化升级。三是，打造行业级“智能体大脑 ”，筑牢智能产业生态新基建。四是，建设“人工智能+制造 ”复合型人才培养与认证体系，重点培育懂产业、懂 AI 的“产业 AI 架构师 ”。
DKosig/iStock via Getty Images Welcome to another installment of our BDC Market Weekly Review, where we discuss market activity in the Business Development Company [BDC] sector from both the bottom-up, highlighting individual news and events, as well as the top-down, providing an overview of the broader market. We also try to add some historical context as well as relevant themes that look to be d...
DKosig/iStock via Getty Images Welcome to another installment of our BDC Market Weekly Review, where we discuss market activity in the Business Development Company [BDC] sector from both the bottom-up, highlighting individual news and events, as well as the top-down, providing an overview of the broader market. We also try to add some historical context as well as relevant themes that look to be driving the market or that investors ought to be mindful of. Market Action BDCs finished the week in the red after a sharp fall on Friday. The catalyst for the drop appears to be the news of a bankruptcy of a UK mortgage finance company, MFS. Systematic Income There are a few interesting parallels so far. One, this appears to be a case of fraud and double-pledging of assets, similar to the earlier saga with First Brands and Tricolor. Two, the companies on the hook appear to be a combination of banks (Barclays, Jefferies) as well as asset-backed finance investors such as Atlas SP Partners (owned by Apollo) and Castlelake LP. This was also what we saw in the cases of First Brands and Tricolor, with one difference: there were some small positions across a handful of BDCs in First Brands loans. What's also interesting is that the size of the MFS default appears to be fairly low given how much noise it has made. The total liability amount of the company appears to be smaller than either First Brands or Tricolor. All in all, the MFS story is not only less material but is also even further removed from BDC lending than First Brands/Tricolor which was almost entirely a non-BDC story. Market Commentary This was a busy week for BDC Q4 earnings reports. Outside of a couple of poor results from TCPC and FSK , two BDCs that we have avoided, the numbers were just fine, if not spectacular. BBDC delivered a good Q4 result with a 2.3% total NAV return (2.9% on a valuation-adjusted basis based on the latest discount of 21%). NII fell from Q3; however, it wasn’t far off the midpoint of the pre...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Ares Management Corporation ( ARES ) and Ares Capital ( ARCC ) were not immune to the Private Credit carnage last week. ARES is among the worst performing Private Credit advisor equities year-to-date. Yet ARCC’s approximate 6% discount to its year-end $19.94 Net Asset Value (“NAV”) is a far richer relative valuation than OWL’s OBDC, FS/KKR’s FSK, and Blacks...
J Studios/DigitalVision via Getty Images Ares Management Corporation ( ARES ) and Ares Capital ( ARCC ) were not immune to the Private Credit carnage last week. ARES is among the worst performing Private Credit advisor equities year-to-date. Yet ARCC’s approximate 6% discount to its year-end $19.94 Net Asset Value (“NAV”) is a far richer relative valuation than OWL’s OBDC, FS/KKR’s FSK, and Blackstone’s BXSL. Ares’ 2026 equity performance paired with its Business Development Company (“BDC”) trading still trading near NAV among a heavily discounted peer group presents a market paradox. This article will address the market paradox as informed by my background in 1940 Act companies and the dynamic market environment for Private Credit and its vehicles. The Week In Private Credit The latest week in Private Credit finished with BlackRock ( BLK ) limiting Q1 redemptions of its flagship private credit fund. As recently as Tuesday, the concerns had only been the requests for record redemptions. And to be clear, BlackRock's $1.2 billion request brought the total among two high-profile non-traded funds revealed in the week to a clean $5 billion. But Blackstone’s massive $82 billion non-traded BCRED had met all of its record-high redemption requests BlackRock did not expand its buyback to meet such redemptions. Market observers appear alarmed, but any surprise should be limited. The N2 (prospectus/registration statement) for the fund reads, “Under our share repurchase program, to the extent we offer to repurchase shares in any particular quarter, we intend to limit the number of shares to be repurchased to no more than 5% of our outstanding Common Shares as of the last day of the immediately preceding quarter.” While any potential effect on BlackRock’s brand is uncertain, the redemption went as clearly stated. Of course, BlackRock could have chosen to make an exception, as Blackstone did. I am visualizing a Saturday Night Live parody where a black-colored stone and a black-col...
Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St's easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge. Aurora Innovation (NasdaqGS:AUR) has appointed David Wehner, former Meta executive, to its board of directors. Wehner brings extensive experience in finance and corporate development from his prior senior roles at a large technology company. The appointment marks a board-level change at a ti...
Make better investment decisions with Simply Wall St's easy, visual tools that give you a competitive edge. Aurora Innovation (NasdaqGS:AUR) has appointed David Wehner, former Meta executive, to its board of directors. Wehner brings extensive experience in finance and corporate development from his prior senior roles at a large technology company. The appointment marks a board-level change at a time when Aurora continues to build out its autonomous driving technology and commercial partnerships. Aurora Innovation focuses on self driving technology, aiming to deploy its systems across freight and passenger transportation. The broader autonomous vehicle space has seen investment, regulatory attention, and ongoing pilot programs as companies test commercial use cases. Board appointments like this can matter for how a company sets priorities across capital allocation, risk management, and partnerships. For you as an investor, the addition of a seasoned tech and finance executive may be a signal to watch how Aurora positions itself over the coming quarters. It can be useful to track any changes in disclosure, governance practices, or business focus that follow, and to see whether the board refresh coincides with key product, commercial, or funding milestones. Stay updated on the most important news stories for Aurora Innovation by adding it to your watchlist or portfolio. Alternatively, explore our Community to discover new perspectives on Aurora Innovation. NasdaqGS:AUR 1-Year Stock Price Chart Does the team leading Aurora Innovation have what it takes? See our full breakdown of the management team's track record and compensation. For Aurora, bringing in David Wehner appears aligned with where the company is trying to go next. It has an autonomous trucking business that is scaling driverless miles, adding freight lanes across the Sun Belt, and discussing expansion to more than 200 trucks and a second generation, observer free fleet. At the same time, it is still running...
Key Points In general, anyone with a tax-deferred retirement account must take withdrawals called required minimum distributions (RMDs) beginning at age 73. RMDs are calculated by dividing the retirement account balance from the prior year by a life expectancy factor (found on an IRS table) based on current age. The 2025 RMD for a 73-year-old with $500,000 invested in a traditional IRA as of Dec. ...
Key Points In general, anyone with a tax-deferred retirement account must take withdrawals called required minimum distributions (RMDs) beginning at age 73. RMDs are calculated by dividing the retirement account balance from the prior year by a life expectancy factor (found on an IRS table) based on current age. The 2025 RMD for a 73-year-old with $500,000 invested in a traditional IRA as of Dec. 31, 2024, will equal $18,867.92. The $23,760 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook › Tax-deferred accounts, like traditional individual retirement accounts (IRAs) and 401(k) plans, let workers delay taxes on qualified distributions, provided they meet income-based eligibility requirements. However, the government will not let you withhold those tax payments indefinitely. Upon reaching a certain age, individuals with tax-deferred retirement accounts must begin taking required minimum distributions (RMDs), meaning they must withdraw a percentage of the account balance each year. At that point, the contribution and any investment gains are subject to income tax. Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue » Read on to learn more about RMDs, including when they begin and how to calculate the withdrawal amount for a retirement account with a balance of $500,000. Which account types are subject to required minimum distributions (RMDs)? A required minimum distribution (RMD) is the smallest amount of money that retirees must withdraw from tax-deferred accounts each year. RMD rules apply to account holders and beneficiaries with the following plans: Importantly, RMD rules do not apply to Roth accounts while the original owner is alive, but beneficiaries of Roth accounts must abide by RMD rules. In general, account holders must take RMDs by Dec. 31 each year. The only exception is that the first RMD can be postponed until April 1. For instance, anyone who turned 73 in 2025 could...
Cache Advisors LLC reduced its stake in shares of Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META - Free Report) by 9.9% in the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 32,006 shares of the social networking company's stock after selling 3,521 shares during the period. Meta Platforms comprises approxim...
Cache Advisors LLC reduced its stake in shares of Meta Platforms, Inc. (NASDAQ:META - Free Report) by 9.9% in the 3rd quarter, according to the company in its most recent 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The institutional investor owned 32,006 shares of the social networking company's stock after selling 3,521 shares during the period. Meta Platforms comprises approximately 4.1% of Cache Advisors LLC's holdings, making the stock its 7th biggest position. Cache Advisors LLC's holdings in Meta Platforms were worth $23,505,000 as of its most recent filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Get Meta Platforms alerts: Sign Up Other hedge funds and other institutional investors also recently modified their holdings of the company. Bay Colony Advisory Group Inc d b a Bay Colony Advisors lifted its position in shares of Meta Platforms by 0.4% during the second quarter. Bay Colony Advisory Group Inc d b a Bay Colony Advisors now owns 3,506 shares of the social networking company's stock worth $2,587,000 after purchasing an additional 13 shares during the last quarter. Trust Co of the South increased its holdings in Meta Platforms by 0.8% in the third quarter. Trust Co of the South now owns 1,850 shares of the social networking company's stock valued at $1,359,000 after buying an additional 14 shares during the last quarter. Sentinel Pension Advisors LLC increased its holdings in Meta Platforms by 1.6% in the third quarter. Sentinel Pension Advisors LLC now owns 915 shares of the social networking company's stock valued at $672,000 after buying an additional 14 shares during the last quarter. Alpine Bank Wealth Management raised its stake in Meta Platforms by 0.3% during the third quarter. Alpine Bank Wealth Management now owns 4,301 shares of the social networking company's stock valued at $3,159,000 after buying an additional 14 shares in the last quarter. Finally, Valued Wealth Advisors LLC raised its stake in Meta Platforms by ...