The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.27%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.10%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.20%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
The S&P 500 Index ($SPX ) (SPY ) today is up +0.27%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average ($DOWI ) (DIA ) is down -0.34%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index ($IUXX ) (QQQ ) is up +1.10%. June E-mini S&P futures (ESM26 ) are up +0.20%, and June E-mini Nasdaq futures...
A proposed bill to allow terminally ill adults in England and Wales to choose to end their lives failed on Friday as parliamentary time ran out, nearly a year since elected members of parliaments gave their backing. Though the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill was passed by the House of Commons last June, the UK’s revising chamber, the House of Lords, effectively talked it out since then. P...
A proposed bill to allow terminally ill adults in England and Wales to choose to end their lives failed on Friday as parliamentary time ran out, nearly a year since elected members of parliaments gave their backing. Though the Terminally Ill Adults (End of Life) Bill was passed by the House of Commons last June, the UK’s revising chamber, the House of Lords, effectively talked it out since then. Proponents of what has been termed “assisted dying” – sometimes referred to as “assisted suicide” –...
design master/iStock via Getty Images Over the last few months now, things have been really rough for shareholders of Ares Capital ( ARCC ). Even with the yield factored in, the total return for the BDC has been negative to the tune of 8.9% since I reaffirmed it as a ‘buy’ candidate in late January of this year. From that time through today, meanwhile, the S&P 500 has inched higher by 0.8%. This r...
design master/iStock via Getty Images Over the last few months now, things have been really rough for shareholders of Ares Capital ( ARCC ). Even with the yield factored in, the total return for the BDC has been negative to the tune of 8.9% since I reaffirmed it as a ‘buy’ candidate in late January of this year. From that time through today, meanwhile, the S&P 500 has inched higher by 0.8%. This returned disparity is disappointing to say the least. However, in my view, the market is underestimating the potential of the business. It's now currently trading at a discount to NAV, and it is yielding a hefty 10.1% as of this writing. Near term, it is entirely possible that we could see downward pressure. But I believe that, over time, it will turn out to be an attractive prospect that will generate market returns or something even better, especially if my fears about the economy deteriorating proved to be correct. Because of this, I believe that maintaining it as a ‘buy’ candidate makes sense here. Before the market opens on April 28th, management will be announcing financial results for the first quarter of this entity’s 2026 fiscal year variant the good news as we approach that date is that analysts are currently optimistic that revenue and profitability will rise year over year. Naturally, the picture can change and we should always be on the lookout given the nature of this business and how it could change based on the interest rate environment. Checking in on Ares Capital At its core, Ares Capital operates as the largest publicly traded BDC out there. Its focus is on raising capital on the public markets on the cheap, investing that capital into private enterprises that need it, and capturing that spread between the amount that it pays for capital and the amount that it collects from its investments, all in order to generate a positive return for investors. Conceptually, I find this to be an interesting space. And one of the great things about this enterprise is tha...
bgwalker/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Investment Thesis Walmart Inc. ( WMT ) doesn’t need an introduction as it is the second largest wholesale business after having been surpassed by Amazon Inc. ( AMZN ) last year. While Walmart’s business model and stock fundamentals are undeniable, I do think there is a cap in the valuation an investor should pay, even for best in class stocks. And as you...
bgwalker/iStock Unreleased via Getty Images Investment Thesis Walmart Inc. ( WMT ) doesn’t need an introduction as it is the second largest wholesale business after having been surpassed by Amazon Inc. ( AMZN ) last year. While Walmart’s business model and stock fundamentals are undeniable, I do think there is a cap in the valuation an investor should pay, even for best in class stocks. And as you can see in the chart below, the PE of Walmart has exploded in recent quarters, and I will explain in this article why it's not justified. Data by YCharts Walmart has outperformed the S&P 500 by a wide margin in the last decade, and as I mentioned it really is a best in class. However it has lagged to its two main competitors, Amazon and Costco Wholesale Corporation ( COST ) in the last decade, and though not by very much thanks to a catch-up spike in the last 12 months. This spike is precisely what made the stock too expensive and could be due for a correction, or at least a prolonged sideways. I expect it to underperform the broader market and rate it therefore a Sell. Total Return of Walmart, Costco and Amazon (Seeking Alpha) Business Environment Overview Walmart was for a long time the traditional wholesale business but it now has to continue adapting to a much different reality where physical scale perhaps matters less and digital experience matters more. Costco’s higher net income per employee of $25K against Walmart’s $10K shows profitability can be optimised by changing the traditional way of doing business (the warehouse and the store are one same space). And, as I mentioned earlier, Amazon has surpassed Walmart in quarterly sales for the first time ever last year as it has amassed more experience (being an online retail business since inception) with the digital part of wholesale. kavout.com Therefore, from my view, both competitors have somewhat an edge in this new market for Walmart, which of course is still a new opportunity for untapped growth. The new Preside...
jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images AB Volvo ( VOLAF )( VLVLY ) put in a relatively resilient performance in organic terms, ignoring the FX effects from having a significant North American presence and reporting in SEK. While there was some moderation of demand in their end markets, not least because of tariffs where there is plenty of domestic US competition, they are ramping some of t...
jetcityimage/iStock Editorial via Getty Images AB Volvo ( VOLAF )( VLVLY ) put in a relatively resilient performance in organic terms, ignoring the FX effects from having a significant North American presence and reporting in SEK. While there was some moderation of demand in their end markets, not least because of tariffs where there is plenty of domestic US competition, they are ramping some of their new offerings which we discussed in our previous coverage with production stops now overcome , benefiting from learning economies, while also divesting and discontinuing some less profitable business lines. In terms of mix, there was also a pickup in service as part of revenue, which should be 50%+ higher in margin than the vehicles sales revenue. Results Unadjusted results (Q1 PR) On a headline, unadjusted basis , services shrunk slower than vehicles. On an organic basis service revenues grew 6% organically against flat organic growth for the vehicles business. These positive mix effects accrued over both the heavy construction and trucks business apparently, and lead to an overall expansion in organically adjusted EBIT margin, helped also by some discontinued businesses, such as Rokbak which lost too much scale also due to the Russian market falling out, as well as some other divestments that made the business more lean. Adjusted operating income was down less than 10% thanks to the positive mix effects from discontinuations and general lineup revamp, with the CE mix effects seen in the resilient operating income performance for the segment. Negative pressures on the adjusted income were freight costs, which will climb into the coming quarter on account of the Iran War and higher oil prices likely dominating more of Q2 than they did of Q1, as well as tariff costs which would have pressured margins. There was also a positive effect from net R&D on account of the major developments, concentrated it would seem on Mack Trucks, now in the rear view with the commercialisat...
SvetaZi/iStock via Getty Images Tesla: Still A Buy, But A Different Kind Of Buy Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) was down around 3.3% in premarket trading on Thursday after the company's Q1 '26 earnings on Wednesday after market close. After market open, the market didn’t exactly digest the news right away, and the stock was down over 4.6%. Shortly after, Tesla recovered some of the losses, and closed down ar...
SvetaZi/iStock via Getty Images Tesla: Still A Buy, But A Different Kind Of Buy Tesla, Inc. ( TSLA ) was down around 3.3% in premarket trading on Thursday after the company's Q1 '26 earnings on Wednesday after market close. After market open, the market didn’t exactly digest the news right away, and the stock was down over 4.6%. Shortly after, Tesla recovered some of the losses, and closed down around 3.5%. Seeking Alpha While the initial market reaction was positive as earnings beat, with the stock up around 4% in after-hours trading, the conversation completely shifted once the company CEO, Elon Musk, talked about capex raises on the earnings call to $25 billion in its AI and robotics push for FY26, ahead of expectations at $20 billion and the FY25 spend at $8.6 billion. For the quarter, capex was also up 67% at $2.49 billion, exactly a billion above last year’s number during the same period. The company will now be in negative cash flow limbo for the coming quarters, and with that priced in, the stock is likely to stay range-bound until management can prove the spend is producing something that looks like a real revenue stream. The market was willing to give Tesla the benefit of the doubt on the top-line beat, but it’s not willing to absorb an unbudgeted capex surprise without a better answer on what the payoff curve actually looks like. Optimus production starts in late July or August, but Elon explicitly said predicting the exit rate is "literally impossible" given 10,000-plus unique parts in a brand-new supply chain. Cybercab production has begun, but initial output will be very slow on what he called a "stretched out S-curve." Semi truck production is imminent, but ramps exponentially "towards the end of the year and certainly next year." Robotaxi is expanding to a dozen states by year-end, but Elon conceded unsupervised FSD revenue “would not be super material this year. But I do think it will be material probably in a significant way next year.” Basically, ...
I can’t stop buying Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and the most recent quarter only deepened my conviction. I added shares in March when the stock dipped to $252.82, added again in early April, and I expect to add more before summer. At $273.43 with a trailing P/E of 34, the stock trades at a premium by classical ... This Stock Made Me Buy Again (And Again)
I can’t stop buying Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and the most recent quarter only deepened my conviction. I added shares in March when the stock dipped to $252.82, added again in early April, and I expect to add more before summer. At $273.43 with a trailing P/E of 34, the stock trades at a premium by classical ... This Stock Made Me Buy Again (And Again)
China Curbs US Investment In Tech Companies After Meta Acquisition Of Manus Following earlier news that China has blacklisted 7 EU defense and aerospace firms over their dealings with Taiwan, Bloomberg reports that China plans to restrict top technology firms, including leading AI startups, from accepting US capital without government approval . Chinese regulators, including the National Developme...
China Curbs US Investment In Tech Companies After Meta Acquisition Of Manus Following earlier news that China has blacklisted 7 EU defense and aerospace firms over their dealings with Taiwan, Bloomberg reports that China plans to restrict top technology firms, including leading AI startups, from accepting US capital without government approval . Chinese regulators, including the National Development and Reform Commission, have recently instructed several private technology firms to reject U.S. investment in funding rounds unless explicitly approved, the report said. The commission - a powerful state planning agency with broad policy-making powers - is now heading a multi-agency probe that includes the Ministry of Commerce into the deal and its repercussions, the people said. AI startups Moonshot AI and StepFun were among the companies that received the guidance, the report said, adding that TikTok owner ByteDance has also been told it should not allow secondary share sales to US investors without clearance. The measures are aimed at preventing US investors from gaining stakes in sensitive technologies linked to China's national security. The heightened scrutiny follows Meta's more than $2 billion acquisition of AI startup Manus in 2025, which triggered investigations into foreign investments in Chinese companies and technology exports amid concerns the transaction could spur other startups to move advanced technology offshore. At the heart of the post-Manus debate was the way the startup restructured to make a sale to a foreign company possible before any regulatory review in Beijing. Manus was a Singaporean-incorporated firm, but its founders hailed from China. Launched in March 2025, Manus is a general AI agent capable of automating complex tasks, ranging from S&P 500 analysis to drafting sales pitches. A month later, its parent Butterfly Effect raised $75 million in a round led by Silicon Valley’s Benchmark, valuing it at $500 million. The investment trig...
Swerving the child abuse allegations, the new Michael Jackson film is yet another revisionist music movie in a long line. We know what’s in it for their subjects. What about the viewers? As a giant glittering ferris wheel dissolves into a closeup of Michael Jackson’s face, legendary producer Quincy Jones explains to him that what people want is “pure escapism”. Michael, a new biopic about Jackson’...
Swerving the child abuse allegations, the new Michael Jackson film is yet another revisionist music movie in a long line. We know what’s in it for their subjects. What about the viewers? As a giant glittering ferris wheel dissolves into a closeup of Michael Jackson’s face, legendary producer Quincy Jones explains to him that what people want is “pure escapism”. Michael, a new biopic about Jackson’s rise to fame directed by Antoine Fuqua, is certainly that: a fantastical greatest hits playlist scrubbed clean of the darkness that tarnished the singer’s reputation. The songs, which were licensed by Sony and the Jackson estate, remain glorious, transporting and indelible. Michael is the latest addition to a new canon of authorised music biopics including films about and featuring the official music of Elton John, Aretha Franklin, Elvis Presley, Whitney Houston, Amy Winehouse, Bob Marley, Robbie Williams, Bob Dylan and Bruce Springsteen. The genre was revived by the success of the 2018 Freddie Mercury biopic Bohemian Rhapsody, which was made with Queen’s involvement and took home four Oscars and $911m at the box office. Never mind that it was dismissed by critics ; the boost it gave to the band’s streaming figures set a new precedent for hungry estate holders keen to cash in – and to control the narrative. Continue reading...
Private credit assets aren’t traded on an open market, so valuations are often based on internal models rather than real-time price discovery. That leads to what looks like smooth, stable returns. But that stability is, to a large extent, an illusion. Public markets reprice assets every second they’re open. Private credit funds, on the other ... Forget private credit – earn yields of ~10% with thi...
Private credit assets aren’t traded on an open market, so valuations are often based on internal models rather than real-time price discovery. That leads to what looks like smooth, stable returns. But that stability is, to a large extent, an illusion. Public markets reprice assets every second they’re open. Private credit funds, on the other ... Forget private credit – earn yields of ~10% with this BDC ETF
Earnings Call Insights: First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) Q1 2026 Management View “The first quarter was a busy one as we closed the BankFinancial acquisition, completed the conversion of Westfield Bank and wrapped up the sale of the BankFinancial multifamily loan portfolio,” said (President, CEO & Director Archie Brown). Brown highlighted adjusted profitability at “$0.77” per share and said the com...
Earnings Call Insights: First Financial Bancorp. (FFBC) Q1 2026 Management View “The first quarter was a busy one as we closed the BankFinancial acquisition, completed the conversion of Westfield Bank and wrapped up the sale of the BankFinancial multifamily loan portfolio,” said (President, CEO & Director Archie Brown). Brown highlighted adjusted profitability at “$0.77” per share and said the company’s net interest margin was “resilient despite the Fed funds rate cut in December,” adding, “Assuming no short-term rate reductions by the Fed, we expect the margin to remain stable in the near term.” Brown said loan growth optics were shaped by acquisitions and ICRE payoffs: “Loan balances increased slightly for the quarter due to the BankFinancial acquisition,” but “excluding the BankFinancial portfolio, loans declined for the quarter” as “extended payoff pressure in the ICRE portfolio” offset production. He also tied the growth setup to pipelines and normalization of payoffs: “Loan pipelines are very healthy, and we expect strong production in the second quarter” and “payoff activity in ICRE [to] approach more normal levels.” “Our net interest margin remains very strong at 3.99%, increasing 1 basis point during the quarter,” said (Executive VP, CFO & COO James Anderson). Anderson attributed the quarter’s balance-sheet changes to acquisition mix and payoffs, noting “end-of-period loan balances increased $71 million, which included $228 million acquired in the BankFinancial transaction,” partially offset by “a $152 million decrease in ICRE balances.” Outlook Brown provided second-quarter ranges and key assumptions: “We expect mid-single-digit loan growth on an annualized basis during the second quarter” and “core deposit balances to remain relatively flat compared to the first quarter.” He guided the margin: “we expect it to hold steady in a 3.99% to 4.04% range over the next quarter, assuming no rate cuts.” Brown guided fee and expense lines: “we expect fee income to b...
Doralin Tunas/iStock via Getty Images It's been about 2 and a half years since the first time I looked at Interface, Inc. ( TILE ), and now that the company has reported its FY25 numbers, I thought it would be a good time to revisit. If you owned it for the last three years, you beat the SPY ( SPY ) by a massive margin. I like the company for the reason that it could provide me further diversifica...
Doralin Tunas/iStock via Getty Images It's been about 2 and a half years since the first time I looked at Interface, Inc. ( TILE ), and now that the company has reported its FY25 numbers, I thought it would be a good time to revisit. If you owned it for the last three years, you beat the SPY ( SPY ) by a massive margin. I like the company for the reason that it could provide me further diversification from the AI growth story, as my portfolio is a bit too concentrated there; however, I would like to see some pullback before I commit any capital. The Performance Looking at the company’s top-line performance, we can see that, over the last three years, the company’s revenues began to recover from their lows back in 2024. That was the year when the company’s operations hit an inflection point in revenues due to the world returning largely to normal. A lot more return-to-office and back-to-school activity led to office refresh and stronger demand in other end markets such as education and healthcare. The management specifically called out double billing in education, shared gains in the corporate office, and a stronger healthcare setup as key drivers of the recovery. Seeking Alpha In the latest available quarter, Q4 ’25 , sales grew around 4.2% to $349 million, which missed estimates slightly, but performance was driven once again by Healthcare and Education sectors, with global billings up 215% and 8%, respectively. Going over to the company’s profitability and efficiency, we can see that the company’s margins were in an overall uptrend in the last three years. The company became more profitable across the board, and that is precisely what an investor wants to see. Q4 non-GAAP EPS was around $0.49, which beat estimates by a respectable 9 cents. Gross margins in the last year improved over 200 bps as well, while operating margins went from around 9% to around 10% on GAAP terms. Seeking Alpha Looking at the company’s other key efficiency metrics, we can see the same tren...
Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC, XETRA:INL) shares surged 24% to around $83 on Friday following stronger-than-expected quarterly results, with analysts at Wedbush and Jefferies pointing to accelerating AI-driven demand for server chips and improving near-term visibility for the company’s manufacturing...
Intel Corp (NASDAQ:INTC, XETRA:INL) shares surged 24% to around $83 on Friday following stronger-than-expected quarterly results, with analysts at Wedbush and Jefferies pointing to accelerating AI-driven demand for server chips and improving near-term visibility for the company’s manufacturing...