Retirement is often framed as a time to kick back, relax, and enjoy the freedom of not having to report to a job. But there's one thing that doesn't retire just because you do -- inflation. At first, inflation may not seem like a major threat, since it's something a lot of people are used to by the time they retire. The problem is that over time, even modest inflation could quietly eat away at you...
Retirement is often framed as a time to kick back, relax, and enjoy the freedom of not having to report to a job. But there's one thing that doesn't retire just because you do -- inflation. At first, inflation may not seem like a major threat, since it's something a lot of people are used to by the time they retire. The problem is that over time, even modest inflation could quietly eat away at your buying power. That could put your savings at risk of running out. Image source: Getty Images. Continue reading
The Federal Open Market Committee kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting, citing the uncertainty over the U.S. economic and global macro outlooks. The rate is 75 basis points lower than the 4.25%-4.50% range it was in a year ago. Developing… Check back for updates. Dear readers: We recognize that politics often intersects with the financial news of the day, so w...
The Federal Open Market Committee kept its policy rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a third straight meeting, citing the uncertainty over the U.S. economic and global macro outlooks. The rate is 75 basis points lower than the 4.25%-4.50% range it was in a year ago. Developing… Check back for updates. Dear readers: We recognize that politics often intersects with the financial news of the day, so we invite you to click here to join the separate political discussion. More on the Federal Reserve Senate committee advances Warsh's nomination as Fed chair Middle East Turmoil Fuels Inflation Fears, Testing Fed's Patience A Perfect Storm Awaits Warsh At The Fed Powell gets high marks on pandemic, weaker grade on inflation, Bullard says
The world must accelerate the shift to renewables, regardless of the economic effects of Abu Dhabi’s decision Opec appears to be the latest casualty of the Iran war. On Tuesday, the United Arab Emirates announced that it was leaving the oil cartel after 60 years. The loss of a critical member is a blow to the group and its de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, in the midst of the biggest supply crisis in...
The world must accelerate the shift to renewables, regardless of the economic effects of Abu Dhabi’s decision Opec appears to be the latest casualty of the Iran war. On Tuesday, the United Arab Emirates announced that it was leaving the oil cartel after 60 years. The loss of a critical member is a blow to the group and its de facto leader, Saudi Arabia, in the midst of the biggest supply crisis in history. This is a geopolitical decision, not merely an economic one. The UAE has built itself into an increasingly interventionist and unilaterally minded power, not only challenging Riyadh’s dominance but undermining its more cautious approach to regional affairs. The rift has become increasingly public and bitter – with Saudi Arabia bombing what it called a UAE-linked arms shipment in Yemen in December. Abu Dhabi, as the main target of Iranian strikes among the Gulf countries, is also enraged by what it sees as a feeble regional response to the current conflict, and has been privately pushing for counterattacks. Continue reading...
JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Eli Lilly and Company ( LLY ) has seen its stock fall by more than 20% since peaking in mid-January and has not even participated in the latest stock market rally. That may be about to change, at least for the short term. Based on options positioning after the company reports results, the stock could head back toward $1,000. The options market has become...
JHVEPhoto/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Eli Lilly and Company ( LLY ) has seen its stock fall by more than 20% since peaking in mid-January and has not even participated in the latest stock market rally. That may be about to change, at least for the short term. Based on options positioning after the company reports results, the stock could head back toward $1,000. The options market has become so bearish on Eli Lilly shares that it may actually prove bullish. First-quarter results are expected to be strong, with earnings rising by 99.5% to $6.66 per share, on revenue growth of 38.4% to $17.6 billion. Meanwhile, analysts estimate second-quarter earnings growth to slow to 28.1%, to $8.08 per share, with revenue growth down to 26.4%, to $19.66 billion. Elevated Implied Volatility Still, put positioning appears to heavily outweigh call positioning, resulting in a negative overall delta and gamma. Normally, options positioning is not an overall problem except when heading into earnings. Currently, implied volatility levels are very high, running above 80%, and are due to fall sharply after the company reports results. Mott Capital/ Optioncharts.io For example, an $865 strike price put expiring on May 1 currently has a premium of about $28 and an IV around 100%. As a result, the stock would need to fall to $837 for the owner of those puts to start earning a profit. But after earnings, the implied volatility for both puts and calls will fall sharply and could even be cut in half. That means the put premium could also decline to roughly $16. So the options immediately start to lose value. LSEG Options Positioning May Favor A Rally As a result, put premiums may very well start to decay across all strike prices, and market makers may find themselves overhedged against put positioning, potentially forcing them to buy back shares. Holders of puts at lower strike prices may begin unwinding their positions, potentially adding more upward pressure to the stock. Mott Capital, L...
The following companies are expected to report earnings after hours on 04/29/2026. Visit our Earnings Calendar for a full list of expected earnings releases.Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)is reporting for the quarter ending March 31, 2026. The computer software company's consensus
The following companies are expected to report earnings after hours on 04/29/2026. Visit our Earnings Calendar for a full list of expected earnings releases.Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)is reporting for the quarter ending March 31, 2026. The computer software company's consensus
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Follow Seeking Profits on Seeking Alpha! Read Seeking Profits' Article on Seeking Alpha! Sign Up For Premium Today! Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Content is offered for information purposes only. Unless stated otherwise, any and all individuals participating in the video are third parties that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body. Unless stated otherwise, the views or opinions expressed may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. The accuracy and completeness of content shared cannot be guaranteed. Seeking Alpha does not take account of your objectives or financial situation and does not offer any personalized investment advice. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker, US investment advisor, or investment bank. Nicole Benjamin : Hey, everybody. It's Nicole Benjamin, your host here at Seeking Alpha to bring to you another episode of our series, Portfolio Pulse, where, as the name suggests, we're going to be keeping a pulse to all the big financial moves happening in the market. Now, joining us for today's episode is Scott of Seeking Profits. So, thank you so much, Scott, for joining us today. Scott : Thanks for having me, Nicole. Excited to be here. NB : Absolutely. Now, Scott, I see you've been on Seeking Alpha since 2013. So, tell us a little bit more about that. How'd you get on the platform? How'd you get into investing? What's your investment style? All those things. SP : Yeah. No. As you said, I've been on Seeking Alpha for like 13 years now. I've worked in the investment management industry for most of that time. And I did particularly enjoy writing and discussing my ideas and providing ideas for readers and getting interactions to their comments and starting a conversation. So, when I think about how I invest and how I – the ideas I tend to share, I'm very fundamental in my thinking versus maybe a more technical or qu...
Powell's Final FOMC Sees Most Dissents In 34 Years As Fed Keeps Rate Unch (As Expected) Since the last FOMC meeting (on March 18), gold has been clubbed like a baby seal ("EM piggy bank") while stocks and oil have surged (with the former ignoring the peril of the latter)... During that time, Fed rate-change expectations have swung violently from a full rate-cut to a full rate-hike and fallen back ...
Powell's Final FOMC Sees Most Dissents In 34 Years As Fed Keeps Rate Unch (As Expected) Since the last FOMC meeting (on March 18), gold has been clubbed like a baby seal ("EM piggy bank") while stocks and oil have surged (with the former ignoring the peril of the latter)... During that time, Fed rate-change expectations have swung violently from a full rate-cut to a full rate-hike and fallen back to no change at all in 2026, notably (hawkishly) rising in the last few days as oil prices surged back to war highs... On the macro front, The Fed's dual mandate is in play as (surprisingly) inflation has surprised to the downside while growth has surprised to the upside ... Notably, The Fed doesn't need to cut rates today for monetary policy to get easier as inflation expectations are rising so much that ex-ante real rates have fallen to the lowest since November and are close to turning negative... As we detailed earlier, recent labor data (March jobs, ADP, claims) has shown resilience and potentially some green shoots. To Bank of America, this should reduce the sense of urgency to shore up the labor market among the doves. But, as a result of latent inflation threats, some of the most prominent doves on the committee have changed their tone of late . In a speech last week, Waller emphasized not only upside risks to inflation from the Iran war. Nevertheless, with all that behind us, the market is expecting a big fat nothingburger from Fed Chair Powell's last (maybe) FOMC meeting, but is expecting an indication of 'two-sided risks' with a single dissent (from Miran calling for a 25bps cut). What The Fed Did and Said... Most divided (8-4) Fed in 34 years votes to hold rates unchanged as expected BUT... With 4 No Votes, Powell's Final Meeting Garners Most Dissents in 34 Years *FED: HAMMACK, KASHKARI, LOGAN VOTED AGAINST EASING BIAS, BACKED *FED SAYS GOVERNOR STEPHEN MIRAN DISSENTS IN FAVOR OF RATE CUT Fed officials also changed slightly their characterization of the uncertai...
The US Supreme Court on Wednesday sharply limited the use of race in drawing electoral districts, in a decision that could reshape congressional maps nationwide and boost Republican prospects ahead of midterm elections. In a 6-3 ruling split along ideological lines, the conservative-dominated court struck down a map that creates a second majority-black district in Louisiana, finding it amounted to...
The US Supreme Court on Wednesday sharply limited the use of race in drawing electoral districts, in a decision that could reshape congressional maps nationwide and boost Republican prospects ahead of midterm elections. In a 6-3 ruling split along ideological lines, the conservative-dominated court struck down a map that creates a second majority-black district in Louisiana, finding it amounted to an unconstitutional racial gerrymander despite being drawn to comply with the 1965 Voting Rights...