Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) is set to report its earnings on Monday, May 4, 2026. The company has $334 Bil in current market capitalization. Revenue over the last twelve months was $4.5 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $1.4 Bil in operating profits and net income of $1.6 Bil. While a lot will depend on how results stack up against consensus and expectations, understanding hist...
Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ:PLTR) is set to report its earnings on Monday, May 4, 2026. The company has $334 Bil in current market capitalization. Revenue over the last twelve months was $4.5 Bil, and it was operationally profitable with $1.4 Bil in operating profits and net income of $1.6 Bil. While a lot will depend on how results stack up against consensus and expectations, understanding historical patterns might just turn the odds in your favor if you are an event-driven trader. There are two ways to do that: understand the historical odds and position yourself prior to the earnings release, or look at the correlation between immediate and medium-term returns post earnings and position yourself accordingly after the earnings are released. See earnings reaction history of all stocks Individual stocks swing, but a balanced asset allocation doesn’t. Trefis’ Boston-based wealth management partner blends strategy and discipline to smooth out market noise. Trefis: PLTR Stock Insights Palantir Technologies’s Historical Odds Of Positive Post-Earnings Return Some observations on one-day (1D) post-earnings returns: There are 20 earnings data points recorded over the last five years, with 11 positive and 9 negative one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 55% of the time. and one-day (1D) returns observed. In summary, positive 1D returns were seen about 55% of the time. Notably, this percentage increases to 67% if we consider data for the last 3 years instead of 5. Median of the 11 positive returns = 20%, and median of the 9 negative returns = -12% Additional data for observed 5-Day (5D) and 21-Day (21D) returns post earnings are summarized along with the statistics in the table below. Forward Returns Earnings Date 1D 5D 21D 2/2/2026 6.8% -3.3% 3.7% 11/3/2025 -7.9% -6.5% -14.1% 8/4/2025 7.8% 13.7% -3.6% 5/5/2025 -12.0% -4.3% 5.0% 2/3/2025 24.0% 39.3% 7.6% 11/4/2024 23.5% 45.5% 68.7% 8/5/2024 10.4% 22.0% 27.0% 5/6/2024 -15.1% -16.9% -...
FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images By Mark Barnes, PhD, Head of Global Investment Research, Americas | Indhu Raghavan, CFA, Manager, Global Investment Research Sensitivity to Middle East oil disruption and higher rates drive asset returns in March Near-term inflation pressures and the expected supply shock to the global economy left major central banks in wait-and-see mode. Global Equities – US equit...
FreshSplash/E+ via Getty Images By Mark Barnes, PhD, Head of Global Investment Research, Americas | Indhu Raghavan, CFA, Manager, Global Investment Research Sensitivity to Middle East oil disruption and higher rates drive asset returns in March Near-term inflation pressures and the expected supply shock to the global economy left major central banks in wait-and-see mode. Global Equities – US equities fare better in March’s global equity rout Given the US’s relative insulation from the Middle East energy supply shock, US equities outperformed global peers. Asia Pacific equities, with some of the highest exposures to the supply disruption, lagged badly. Global Fixed Income – Duration out of favor given higher inflation expectations In a reversal from February, long-duration government bonds, and longer-duration corporate bond sectors such as investment grade, generally lagged. The sharper rise in UK & European yields in March compared to the US were also reflected in returns. Equity Industries – Energy soars; Real Estate struggles most On average, Energy led industry returns across regions and was often the only positive/accretive industry in March. Yield rises and flattening yield curves challenged Real Estate and Financials in particular, but most industries were in the red. Alternative Indices (USD) – Energy and metals diverge Global crude, especially Brent, saw historic price spikes and volatility over March. Gold and Silver pulled back, possibly due to profit-taking after a massive runup over 12M. REITs indices remained under pressure from rising rates. Equity Factors – Value continues to outperform In LCY* terms, Value outperformed broadly in March and over 3M, signaling a continued rotation into pockets of the market less favored during the Tech-led rally. Foreign exchange – US dollar finds its footing The US dollar, which had begun to appreciate in February versus major currencies such as the euro, pound and yen, strengthened more broadly in March, helped by U...
Earnings Call Insights: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Q1 2026 Management view “In Q1, MPS achieved record quarterly revenue of $804 million, 7% higher than the fourth quarter of 2025 and 26% higher than the first quarter of 2025,” said Tony Balow. Balow highlighted demand drivers and strategic expansion: “Our communications end market grew 33% sequentially on the strength of our power solutions ...
Earnings Call Insights: Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) Q1 2026 Management view “In Q1, MPS achieved record quarterly revenue of $804 million, 7% higher than the fourth quarter of 2025 and 26% higher than the first quarter of 2025,” said Tony Balow. Balow highlighted demand drivers and strategic expansion: “Our communications end market grew 33% sequentially on the strength of our power solutions for optical modules and switches,” and “MPS continued to grow our capacity past our original $4 billion plan with a new goal of reaching $6 billion in the near future.” On product expansion, Balow said, “We sampled our first high-speed interface products for DDR5 at major customers,” and positioned the longer-term shift: “MPS…accelerate our transition from chips only to a full-service silicon-based solution provider.” CEO Michael R. Hsing emphasized competitive differentiation and execution: “We are the best in the market segment because we provide a total monolithic power solutions,” and “we don't want to be the dominant suppliers…our goal is to diversify growth.” Outlook Management raised its Enterprise Data growth framing vs. last quarter: “In the last call, we kind of rose that to a 50% floor…at this point in time, I think we're comfortable raising that floor up to around 85% year-over-year growth,” said Tony Balow. On gross margin direction and caution, Balow said, “For Q2…we did have the confidence to increase incrementally our gross margins…[but] we do…see some strong headwinds potentially in the second half. And so we're not…remaining cautious for the guidance in the second half of the year.” (No specific Q2 revenue, EPS, or gross margin percentage guidance was stated in the transcript.) On end-market pacing, Balow reiterated: “Auto…would be roughly flat for the first half of the year and ramping in later in the year,” and for Storage & Compute, “we're still very optimistic on storage…more cautious on notebook.” Financial results The company reported “record quarter...