James O'Neil/DigitalVision via Getty Images "We all navigate different rivers in life. Sometimes those rivers cross, then separate again, until they meet once more." GSP Introduction In The Contrarian, we have a long history with RH ( RH ), including my October 14th, 2016 purchases, the more recent FAM DCA purchases, various member articles over the years, including, one of my favorites published ...
James O'Neil/DigitalVision via Getty Images "We all navigate different rivers in life. Sometimes those rivers cross, then separate again, until they meet once more." GSP Introduction In The Contrarian, we have a long history with RH ( RH ), including my October 14th, 2016 purchases, the more recent FAM DCA purchases, various member articles over the years, including, one of my favorites published on November 22nd, 2021, titled, " Brainstorming Session 11/22/2021: Building Your Conviction & Finding The Compounders Of Capital Opportunities ". This particular article expounds on my proclamation that conviction must be earned, not borrowed, because when times get tough, and paradoxically opportunities arise, borrowed conviction will not hold up to the increased pressure and scrutiny. Additionally, the aforementioned article hammers in the point that some of the market's most successful stocks have executed significant stock buybacks at accretive prices over the years. Circling back, the current time frame is one where conviction is being tested, as RH shares are down roughly 18% in premarket trading, after already being down 21.9% year-to-date through yesterday, March 31st, 2026's closing price. Last night, I highlighted the brutal reaction to RH's 4th quarter earnings, even though RH relatively outperformed peers like Williams Sonoma ( WSM ), and Arhaus ( ARHS ) during the quarter. In fact, Gary Friedman said in the company's earnings conference call that, "In 2025, RH achieved revenue growth of 8% and 2-year growth of 15%, far outpacing our furniture industry peers by 8 to 30 points." The market didn't care about this relative outperformance though, instead focusing on the fact that RH missed guidance, and reduced guidance, not a surprise in my opinion, given that housing sale s in the U.S. are at 2009 levels. And, for all its expansion in its drive to be America's first borne luxury brand, RH, at its core, still sells a lot furniture, and these transactions tend to b...