Right now, Polymarket traders are giving Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) only a 12% chance of hitting $150,000 by the end of the year. Given Bitcoin's current price of $68,000, there's basically a 1-in-8 chance of Bitcoin soaring in value by 120% to close out the year. If you're thinking about investing in Bitcoin, are those odds that you're willing to take? To answer that question, it's helpful to consider...
Right now, Polymarket traders are giving Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) only a 12% chance of hitting $150,000 by the end of the year. Given Bitcoin's current price of $68,000, there's basically a 1-in-8 chance of Bitcoin soaring in value by 120% to close out the year. If you're thinking about investing in Bitcoin, are those odds that you're willing to take? To answer that question, it's helpful to consider several key factors. Expecting any asset to soar in value by 100% or more in a single year is a lot to ask. But not so much for Bitcoin. In the period from 2012 to 2025, Bitcoin delivered triple-digit returns in seven of those years. That's half of the time. Continue reading